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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2019Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 14.4

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 17%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
01002838
Colorado StateColorado State
1400721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-714-1014-1714-2421-3121-38
Colorado StateAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSAFAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSCSTD1475ydTD1028ydPUNT615ydPUNT71ydPUNT3-1ydMISS43ydTD565ydTO59ydFG721ydEND744ydPUNT411ydDOWNS930ydTO10ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT36ydPUNT611ydTD775ydPUNT3-4ydTD858ydTD275ydTD875ydTD566ydEND1057yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Colorado State
StatisticAir ForceColorado State
Passing5-1128-43
Pass Yards126347
Rush Yards22739
Total Yards353386
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-154-16
Penalties2-225-42
Possession30:4729:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
5/11, 126 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kadin Remsberg
17 CAR, 101 YDS
receiving
Geraud Sanders
2 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colorado State
passing
Patrick O'Brien
28/43, 347 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus McElroy
11 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Warren Jackson
8 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 6 yds to the ColSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Marcus McElroy run for 14 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 11 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Marcus McElroy run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the AFA 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 11 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 2 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the AFA 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Adam Prentice for 9 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marcus McElroy run for 6 yds to the AFA 3 Marcus McElroy fumbled, forced by Jeremy Fejedelem, recovered by ColSt Marcus McElroy

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 4

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson, broken up by Zane Lewis

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.94

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 4 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 44

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the ColSt 47

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the ColSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+63 ydsPPA -4.21

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 5 yards Donald Hammond III fumbled, forced by Emmanuel Jones, recovered by ColSt Mohamed Kamara , return for 63 yds (Max Poduska KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the AFA 34

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, offside defense (Cam'ron Carter) to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the ColSt 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 7 yds to the ColSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Patrick O'Brien run for 9 yds to the ColSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante Wright, broken up by Jeremy Fejedelem

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

O'BRIEN, Patrick pass complete to McBRIDE, Trey for 5 yards to the AF48, out-of-bounds (DONALDSON, Grant), PENALTY CSU pass interference (McBRIDE, Trey) 15 yards to the CSU32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.18

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Jake Ksiazek for a loss of 12 yards to the ColSt 20

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 62 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 17

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+21 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the COLOST 45 AIR FORCE Penalty, kick catching interference (Jeremy Fejedelem) to the AFA 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Trey McBride

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Patrick O'Brien run for 3 yds to the AFA 35

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Cayden Camper 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Donald Hammond III run for 23 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the ColSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.46

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 9 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Marcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the ColSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Marcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the ColSt 38

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.68

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Jake Ksiazek and Michael Purcell for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 34 Patrick O'Brien fumbled, recovered by AFA Jake Ksiazek , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the ColSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the ColSt 19

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the ColSt 15

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the ColSt 13

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Koehnke 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to EJ Scott for 9 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 5 yds to the ColSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 5 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to EJ Scott, broken up by Milton Bugg III

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.04

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Jake Ksiazek for 0 yards to the AFA 44 Patrick O'Brien fumbled, recovered by ColSt Jaylen Thomas , return for 0 yards

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 13 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Timothy Jackson run for 16 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Timothy Jackson run for no gain to the AFA 41

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 40

3rd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 36

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 48 yds , Dante Wright returns for 2 yds to the ColSt 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the ColSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 3 yds to the ColSt 26

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the ColSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 7 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 2 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the ColSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Adam Prentice run for 1 yd to the ColSt 48

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -3.31

Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Cam'ron Carter return for 19 yds to the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-Myers, broken up by Zane Lewis

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.81

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 10 yards to the AFA 41

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin Waters

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 27

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

THOMAS, Jaylen rush for 4 yards to the CSU31 (MEEKS, Demonte), PENALTY CSU holding (TAYLOR, Jeff) 10 yards to the CSU17, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 4 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 10 yds to the ColSt 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.30

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 12 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to EJ Scott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante Wright

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.74

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Christopher Herrera for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 38

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 37 yds, downed at the AFA 25

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Kadin Remsberg run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.60

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 9 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Dane Kinamon, broken up by Tron Folsom

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +6.08

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 50 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.82

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Demonte Meeks for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 10

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the ColSt 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-Myers, broken up by Zane Lewis

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the ColSt 49

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.65

Kadin Remsberg run for 10 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the ColSt 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 28 yds for a TD COLORADO ST Penalty, offside defense (Devin Phillips) to the ColSt 1 (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.50

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 58 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 17 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Timothy Jackson run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the ColSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.55

Kadin Remsberg run for 29 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the ColSt 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Rhett Myers for 8 yds to the ColSt 10

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Timothy Jackson run for 9 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 24 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Patrick O'Brien run for no gain to the AFA 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to EJ Scott for 39 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Interception Return Touchdown-99 ydsPPA -11.55

Patrick O'Brien pass intercepted for a TD Zane Lewis return for 99 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 10 yards to the ColSt 15

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to EJ Scott, broken up by Grant Theil

3rd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 13 yds to the ColSt 28

4th & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.25

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to EJ Scott for 10 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.10

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 23 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 15 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to EJ Scott, broken up by Milton Bugg III

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.52

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Kyle Johnson and Jake Ksiazek for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 18

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play