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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2019Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 19.4

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 87%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
307717
San Diego StateSan Diego State
037313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-33-1010-1010-1713-17
San Diego StateNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVPUNT616ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT31ydPUNT517ydPUNT34ydFG45ydFG1371ydTO557ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydTO1263ydEND23ydTD1675ydTD1471ydPUNT420ydPUNT31ydTD555ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydFG1142ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS5-2ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and San Diego State
StatisticNevadaSan Diego State
Passing20-2718-35
Pass Yards197196
Rush Yards29113
Total Yards226309
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-127-18
Penalties4-289-79
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Carson Strong
19/26, 147 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Toa Taua
12 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
defense
San Diego State
passing
Ryan Agnew
18/35, 196 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chance Bell
11 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kobe Smith
5 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the Nevad 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.53

Carson Strong sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for no gain to the SDSt 38

4th & 9Punt+19 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 51 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 19 yds to the Nevad 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 19 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Devonte Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 47

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Carson Strong pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron Thomas

4th & 14Punt+2 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 49 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (8 Yards) to the SDSt 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the SDSt 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ryan Agnew run for 4 yds to the SDSt 13

4th & 6Punt+23 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 23 yds to the SDSt 36 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the SDSt 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 2 yds to the SDSt 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Luq Barcoo

4th & 5Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.47

Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.85

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 13 yds to the SDSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 10 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.94

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 28 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ryan Agnew run for 6 yds to the Nevad 17

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the Nevad 14

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 8 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the Nevad 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan Washington

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 2 yds to the Nevad 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Matt Araiza 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.97

Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 30 yds to the SANDIEGOST 45 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Devonte Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 18

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.90

Carson Strong pass intercepted Darren Hall return for no gain to the SDSt 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 9 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 8

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 7

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 49 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 5 yds to the Nevad 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Strong run for 3 yds to the SDSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Carson Strong pass complete to Reagan Roberson for no gain to the SDSt 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Strong punt for 23 yds, downed at the SDSt 25

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Ryan Agnew sacked by Sam Hammond and Lawson Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.04

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 17 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 18 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the Nevad 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 6 yds to the Nevad 39

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 11 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AGNEW, Ryan sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NEV34 (HAMMOND, Sam), PENALTY SDSU intentional grounding 10 yards to the NEV34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

AGNEW, Ryan pass complete to JASMIN, Chase for 4 yards to the NEV30 (HALL, Lawson), PENALTY SDSU illegal formation 5 yards to the NEV39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38

3rd & 24Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.21

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 23 yds to the Nevad 15

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Daniel Bellinger

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -4.17

Ryan Agnew pass intercepted Daniel Brown return for 22 yds to the Nevad 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 2 yds to the Nevad 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 9 yds to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 6 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the SDSt 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 5 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 9 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 4 yds to the SDSt 30

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Devonte Lee run for 11 yds to the SDSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 9 yds to the SDSt 10 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Darren Hall

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Devonte Lee run for no gain to the SDSt 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 13

1st & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.72

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 13 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.22

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 10 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the Nevad 48

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Jasmin run for 10 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 12 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 9

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, face mask (3 yards) (3 Yards) to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Chance Bell run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Carson Strong run for 11 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 5 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds to the SDSt 17

4th & 1Penalty-8 yds

JASMIN, Chase rush for 7 yards to the SDSU24 (HALL, Lawson), PENALTY SDSU holding 8 yards to the SDSU9, NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.39

Elijah Cooks pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 50 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Reagan Roberson

2nd & 5Penalty+3 yds

STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to COOKS, Elijah, PENALTY SDSU pass interference 3 yards to the SDSU2, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Toa Taua run for no gain to the SDSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the SDSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Ethan Dedeaux

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 8 yds to the SDSt 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Strong pass complete to Henry Ikahihifo for 6 yds to the Nevad 25

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 48 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 32

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.96

Ryan Agnew sacked by Sam Hammond and Hausia Sekona for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 23

3rd & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.74

Ryan Agnew run for 19 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Chance Bell run for 10 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Isaiah Richardson, broken up by EJ Muhammad

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 14 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to BJ Busbee, broken up by Austin Arnold

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt Araiza 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 28

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

Carson Strong sacked by Cameron Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 21

4th & 11Punt+9 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 44 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 9 yds to the SDSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by EJ Muhammad

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.49

Ryan Agnew run for 4 yds to the SDSt 48 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 38

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 4 yds to the SDSt 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to BJ Busbee

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.07

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker Houston

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 45

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 47

3rd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 48

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
14%
7 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play