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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2019Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 13.2

Home Win Probability

Nevada 77%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
703010
NevadaNevada
0140721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-714-1021-10
NevadaNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVNMNEVNMNEVNMNEVNMNEVNMNMNEVNMNEVNMNEVNMNEVNMNEVNMNEVNMPUNT837ydTD990ydPUNT615ydPUNT523ydTD1580ydPUNT37ydTD473ydMISS939ydDOWNS1056ydEND1-1ydFG843ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS948ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydPUNT629ydPUNT946ydPUNT35ydTD546ydPUNT415ydPUNT34ydDOWNS731yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Nevada
StatisticNew MexicoNevada
Passing19-3627-39
Pass Yards237297
Rush Yards10959
Total Yards346356
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-155-15
Penalties7-706-30
Possession23:4831:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Tevaka Tuioti
19/36, 237 YDS
rushing
Ahmari Davis
15 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Williams
6 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Carson Strong
27/39, 297 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Devonte Lee
9 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Romeo Doubs
11 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (Ben Gansallo) to the Nevad 30

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Gray Davis) to the Nevad 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Aaron Frost) to the Nevad 32

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the Nevad 38

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (Ben Gansallo) to the Nevad 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 12 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 44

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 6 yds to the NMex 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Strong punt for 28 yds, downed at the NMex 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 11 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.26

Tevaka Tuioti run for 20 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 40

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ahmari Davis run for no gain to the NMex 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.41

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 18 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 24 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 14 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ahmari Davis run for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for no gain to the Nevad 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 11 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 16 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Nate Brown) to the Nevad 47

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the NMex 43

3rd & 5Sack-17 ydsPPA -2.61

Carson Strong sacked by Alexander Vainikolo for a loss of 17 yards to the Nevad 40

4th & 22Punt+9 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 45 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 9 yds to the NMex 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Ahmari Davis run for 7 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 11 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for 5 yds to the NMex 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 25

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Carson Strong run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 33

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Devonte Lee run for 19 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the NMex 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 7 yds to the NMex 39

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Devonte Lee run for 14 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Devonte Lee run for 8 yds to the NMex 17

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Romeo Doubs) to the NMex 22

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.10

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 14 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the NMex 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Reagan Roberson) to the NMex 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the NMex 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Daevon Vigilant

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tevaka Tuioti run for 7 yds to the NMex 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ahmari Davis run for no gain to the NMex 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nevad 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Carson Strong run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 22 Carson Strong fumbled, recovered by Nevad Carson Strong

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.81

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 21 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 57 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 5 yds to the NMex 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 5 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 20 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 18 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Marcu, PENALTY NM pass interference (WILLIAMS, Marcu) 15 yards to the NEV42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bryson Carroll run for 5 yds to the Nevad 37

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryson Carroll run for 1 yd to the Nevad 36

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Andrew Shelley 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the Nevad 43

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 15 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 6 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by De'John Rogers

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to DOUBS, Romeo, PENALTY NM pass interference (ROGERS, De'John) 15 yards to the NM16, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the NMex 9

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic Christian

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the NMex 8

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Reagan Roberson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Ahmari Davis run for 19 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ahmari Davis run for 5 yds to the Nevad 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.36

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 30 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 1 yd to the Nevad 15

3rd & 6Sack-17 ydsPPA -3.53

Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 17 yards to the Nevad 32 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 23Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +2.54

Andrew Shelley 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 25

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 48 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 15 yds to the NMex 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 5 yds to the NMex 46

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.58

Ahmari Davis run for 19 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tevaka Tuioti run for 4 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Ahmari Davis run for 8 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the Nevad 14

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the Nevad 12

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryson Carroll run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

Ahmari Davis run for no gain to the Nevad 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 13

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic Christian

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 53 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 9 yds to the NMex 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Daevon Vigilant

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to KRESS, Jordan (BROWN, Daniel), PENALTY NM ineligible downfield on pass (ESTRELLA, Chris) 5 yards to the NM35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Marcus Williams, broken up by Isaiah Hamilton

4th & 13Punt+34 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 44 yds, downed at the NEVADA 19 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 29

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.46

Dominic Christian run for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 20 NEVADA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

2nd & 19Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.20

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 17 yds to the Nevad 37

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

Devonte Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 42 yds, downed at the NMex 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 10 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Tevaka Tuioti run for 13 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the Nevad 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the Nevad 19

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to DOUBS, Romeo, PENALTY NM pass interference (ROGERS, De'John) 15 yards to the NEV34, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 5 yds to the Nevad 39

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Devonte Lee run for 10 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.31

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 17 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic Christian

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Carson Strong sacked by Alex Hart for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 42

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 32 yds, downed at the NMex 10

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 4 Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by NMex Tevaka Tuioti

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 2 yds to the NMex 6

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 9 yds to the NMex 15

4th & 5Punt+24 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 55 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 24 yds to the NMex 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 13 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 11 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Aaron Frost) to the NMex 27

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Carson Strong run for 1 yd to the NMex 26

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the NMex 20

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.32

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 20 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 21 yds Emmanuel Logan-Greene fumbled, forced by Kyle Adams, recovered by NMex Marcus Williams for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.11

Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic Christian

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 48 yds, downed at the NMex 29

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for no gain to the NMex 29

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tevaka Tuioti run for 5 yds to the NMex 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.37

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 26 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Marcus Williams, broken up by Tyson Williams

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress, broken up by EJ Muhammad

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
73%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays