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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2019Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Air Force 56%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Utah StateUtah State
00707
Air ForceAir Force
0177731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-017-724-731-7
Air ForceUtah State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFTO853ydPUNT37ydTO1144ydPUNT32ydTD1085ydPUNT34ydTD857ydPUNT431ydFG1250ydTD975ydPUNT67ydPUNT37ydTD841ydPUNT515ydTD1166ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT943ydPUNT30ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Utah State and Air Force
StatisticUtah StateAir Force
Passing14-232-6
Pass Yards11424
Rush Yards14448
Total Yards128472
Turnovers02
3rd Down1-910-13
Penalties0-04-40
Possession14:1745:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Utah State
passing
Jordan Love
14/23, 114 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gerold Bright
6 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Siaosi Mariner
3 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
rushing
Timothy Jackson
25 CAR, 148 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Benjamin Waters
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 8 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 41

1st & 20Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.90

Isaiah Sanders run for 21 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -3.49

Isaiah Sanders run for 15 yds to the UthSt 22 Isaiah Sanders fumbled, forced by Cameron Haney, recovered by UthSt DJ Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 2 yds to the UthSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gerold Bright run for 5 yds to the UthSt 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Love pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 71 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Timothy Jackson run for 9 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Joshua Stoner run for 10 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the UthSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the UthSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.46

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 29

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -3.85

Geraud Sanders run for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 36 Geraud Sanders fumbled, forced by Devon Anderson, recovered by UthSt Nick Heninger

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Love pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 8Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.84

Timothy Jackson run for 40 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the UthSt 37

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the UthSt 13

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 4 yds to the UthSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32

3rd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan Love sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taven Birdow run for no gain to the AFA 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 16 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the UthSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.90

Timothy Jackson run for 20 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the UthSt 6

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Jordan Love pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 31 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 2 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Jordan Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 33 yds, downed at the AFA 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the AFA 20

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.60

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Donald Hammond III run for 11 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Dane Kinamon

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the UthSt 46

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Donald Hammond III run for 11 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SANDERS, Isaiah rush for 9 yards to the USU26 (WOODWARD, David), PENALTY AF holding (MITCHELL, Chris) 10 yards to the USU45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 43

3rd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 39

4th & 14Field Goal Good+57 ydsPPA +2.32

Jake Koehnke 57 yd FG GOOD

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Carson Terrell, broken up by Jeremy Fejedelem

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 10 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to MARINER, Siaosi, dropped pass, PENALTY AF holding (BUGG III, Milto) 10 yards to the USU45, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 4 yds to the UthSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 8 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 3 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 2 yds to the AFA 27

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.42

Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 27 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Lesley Dalger

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.80

Donald Hammond III sacked by Nick Heninger for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 46 Donald Hammond III fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 53 yds, downed at the UthSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 3

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Gerold Bright run for no gain to the UthSt 3

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the UthSt 8

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 33 yds, downed at the UthSt 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the UthSt 35

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Donald Hammond III run for 13 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the UthSt 18

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the UthSt 14

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 6

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 9

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.97

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 7 yds to the UthSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Gerold Bright run for 5 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Jordan Love sacked by Demonte Meeks and Christopher Herrera for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 29

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 11 yds to the UthSt 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 40

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.90

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Donald Hammond III run for 14 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Timothy Jackson run for no gain to the UthSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Donald Hammond III run for 11 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Taven Birdow run for 9 yds to the UthSt 20

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Kadin Remsberg run for 10 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the UthSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 39

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon Scarver

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Donald Hammond III run for 11 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Taven Birdow run for 11 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MALLARD, Christ rush for 3 yards to the USU37 (VONGPHACHANH, A), PENALTY AF holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Christian Mallard run for 3 yds to the UthSt 47

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian Mallard run for 5 yds to the UthSt 42

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian Mallard run for 5 yds to the UthSt 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 32 yds, downed at the UthSt 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 7

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Love pass incomplete to Siaosi Mariner

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Love pass complete to Riley Burt for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 5

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Christopher Bartolic punt for 65 yds, downed at the AFA 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 28

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 26

Situational Analysis

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
14 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
34 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
55%
11 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play