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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 11.9

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 19%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
377724
Colorado StateColorado State
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-103-173-2410-24
Colorado StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSCSSDSFG761ydPUNT34ydPUNT511ydFG752ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-8ydTD646ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS1795ydEND314ydTO1-14ydTD311ydPUNT38ydPUNT31ydDOWNS47ydPUNT614ydTO634ydPUNT3-9ydTO10ydTD539ydTO10ydPUNT3-17ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT3-1ydTD374ydDOWNS1144yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Colorado State
StatisticSan Diego StateColorado State
Passing16-2019-32
Pass Yards147217
Rush Yards9118
Total Yards238235
Turnovers04
3rd Down3-144-13
Penalties7-555-33
Possession35:4424:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Ryan Agnew
16/20, 147 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Juwan Washington
22 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Kobe Smith
7 REC, 101 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Colorado State
passing
Patrick O'Brien
19/30, 217 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus McElroy
11 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Dante Wright
6 REC, 80 YDS
defense
Jamal Hicks
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.58

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 42 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 18 yds to the ColSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 4

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 7

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryan Agnew run for 3 yds to the ColSt 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Matt Araiza 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Byrd run for 4 yds to the SDSt 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 8 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 33

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 32

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Rashad Ajayi

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 30 , Dante Wright returns for 15 yds to the ColSt 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 25

3rd & 15Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.65

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 57 yds to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Marcus McElroy run for no gain to the SDSt 18

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 23

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Marcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the SDSt 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.03

Cayden Camper 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Ryan Agnew sacked by Jan-Phillip Bombek and Cam'ron Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chance Bell for 10 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 5 yds to the SDSt 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Christian Hunter run for 3 yds to the ColSt 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.47

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 12

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.08

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Darren Hall and Keshawn Banks for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 6

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the ColSt 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the ColSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 7 yds to the ColSt 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 14 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Juwan Washington run for 14 yds to the ColSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the ColSt 8

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 20

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the ColSt 20

3rd & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Cameron Thomas and Caden McDonald for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 19

4th & 16Punt+12 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 56 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 12 yds to the SDSt 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

BJ Busbee run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 34

4th & 13Punt-7 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 54 yds for a 1ST down , Dante Wright returns for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the ColSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the ColSt 7

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Marcus McElroy run for 11 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Adam Prentice for 7 yds to the ColSt 25

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.14

Marcus McElroy run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the ColSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.21

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 21 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante Wright

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the SDSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Marvin Kinsey Jr. for 10 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 9 yds to the SDSt 23

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Myles Cheatum) to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-Myers, broken up by Luq Barcoo

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 23

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Patrick O'Brien run for 6 yds to the SDSt 17

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 12 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 4 yds to the SDSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the SDSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Marcus McElroy run for no gain to the SDSt 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 3

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Chase Jasmin run for 10 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 11 Marvin Kinsey Jr. fumbled, forced by Kyahva Tezino, recovered by SDSt Dwayne Johnson Jr.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 12

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Byrd run for 4 yds to the ColSt 8

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nikko Hall for 5 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante Wright, broken up by Tariq Thompson

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 48 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 3 yds to the SDSt 36 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (Parker Houston) to the SDSt 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 7

1st & 15Penalty-3 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Spalding) to the SDSt 4

1st & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 4

2nd & 18Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SDSt 14

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Ryan Agnew sacked by Devin Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 13

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dante Wright run for 3 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 5 yds to the SDSt 32

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 33

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.45

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Ty McCullouch

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 8 yds to the SDSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Chance Bell run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chance Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 1 yd to the SDSt 47

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Isaiah Richardson, broken up by Keevan Bailey

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Christian Hunter for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 6

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Christian Hunter for 4 yds to the ColSt 10

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Tayler Hawkins) to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Christian Hunter run for no gain to the ColSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Christian Hunter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.76

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nikko Hall for 19 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.63

Patrick O'Brien pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for no gain to the SDSt 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 21

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 21

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Agnew sacked by Damion Dickens for a loss of 12 yards to the SDSt 9

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -3.16

Justice McCoy pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for 5 yds to the COLOST 45 COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Butler) to the ColSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.56

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 22 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the ColSt 16

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the ColSt 8

3rd & 1Penalty+6 yds

AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to HOUSTON, Parker (HICKS, Jamal), PENALTY CSU pass interference (HICKS, Jamal) 6 yards to the CSU2, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Justice McCoy pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for no gain to the SDSt 28

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 24

2nd & 14Penalty-12 yds

BYRD, Jordan rush for 19 yards to the SDSU43 (CAMERON, Marshaun), PENALTY SDSU personal foul (DEDEAUX, Ethan) 12 yards to the SDSU12, NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 16

3rd & 22Rush0 ydsPPA -0.02

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 16

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Kyree Woods) to the SDSt 11

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 44

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.67

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 33

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nikko Hall

3rd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Marvin Kinsey Jr. for 3 yds to the ColSt 36

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Ryan Agnew sacked by Jan-Phillip Bombek for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 19

4th & 11Punt-3 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 52 yds , Dante Wright returns for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Marvin Kinsey Jr. for 20 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.65

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 41 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 13 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 2 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the ColSt 36

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker Houston, broken up by Jamal Hicks

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.66

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Juwan Washington run for 9 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the ColSt 12

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the ColSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the ColSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the ColSt 1

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the ColSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the ColSt 1

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nikko Hall, broken up by Darren Hall

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 5 yds to the ColSt 9 lat. to Dante Wright for 3 yds to the ColSt 9

2nd & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Jalil Lecky for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 8

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the ColSt 1

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
18%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play