Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
Air ForceAir Force
25
-Final
34
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Navy 42%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
3331625
NavyNavy
01471334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-314-614-921-921-1221-1928-25
NavyAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVAFNAVAFAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFPUNT64ydTO853ydTO210ydTO37ydFG48ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTD564ydPUNT35ydTD866ydFG1353ydPUNT33ydEND1-2ydFG639ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-9ydTD544ydDOWNS542ydMISS643ydFG868ydTO418ydTD837ydPUNT37ydTD672ydTD1175ydTD4-10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Navy
StatisticAir ForceNavy
Passing11-266-8
Pass Yards246162
Rush Yards108214
Total Yards354376
Turnovers33
3rd Down5-174-11
Penalties1-127-52
Possession32:0927:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
10/25, 205 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Donald Hammond III
12 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Benjamin Waters
4 REC, 128 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Malcolm Perry
5/7, 144 YDS
rushing
Malcolm Perry
23 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mychal Cooper
3 REC, 90 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 25

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Malcolm Perry run for 13 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SMITH, Nelson rush for 2 yards to the NAVY40 (DONALDSON, Gran;FIFITA, Mosese), PENALTY NAVY personal foul (HONAKER, Billy) 15 yards to the NAVY23, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 22Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 21

3rd & 27Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Nelson Smith run for 8 yds to the Navy 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the AFA 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.56

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 22 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.35

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 25 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Mallard run for 2 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Joshua Stoner run for 2 yds to the Navy 24

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -3.64

Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Evan Fochtman return for 5 yds to the Navy 19

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Malcolm Perry run for 11 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Mosese Fifita

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Navy 22

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -3.99

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the Navy 33 Kadin Remsberg fumbled, forced by J'arius Warren, recovered by Navy Jackson Pittman , return for 11 yds to the Navy 33 Jackson Pittman fumbled, forced by J'arius Warren, recovered by AFA Parker Ferguson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Navy 28

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Navy 25

4th & 2Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -0.24

Jake Koehnke 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 35

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 44 yds , Ben Peterson returns for no gain to the AFA 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin Waters

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Kade Waguespack

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds , Garrett Winn returns for no gain to the Navy 37 Garrett Winn fumbled, recovered by Navy Garrett Winn

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

CJ Williams run for no gain to the Navy 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.42

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 38 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.76

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 24 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nelson Smith 1 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.50

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Christian Mallard

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.80

Malcolm Perry pass complete to CJ Williams for 22 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

CJ Williams run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Tazh Maloy run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 42

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.23

Chance Warren run for 9 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

CJ Williams run for 2 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.78

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 28 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Nelson Smith 3 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders, broken up by Diego Fagot

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.12

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 13 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Donald Hammond III run for 17 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Christian Mallard run for 3 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Joshua Stoner run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Navy 38

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.96

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Donald Hammond III run for 12 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 22

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.37

Jake Koehnke 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 37

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 41

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 54 yds, downed at the AFA 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 7Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.35

Donald Hammond III run for 42 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Navy 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders, broken up by Michael McMorris

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.27

Donald Hammond III sacked by Paul Carothers for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 31

4th & 16Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +1.88

Jake Koehnke 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 19

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.79

Benjamin Waters run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 14

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.06

Donald Hammond III sacked by Jacob Springer for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 10

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 34 yds, downed at the AFA 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Malcolm Perry run for 12 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the AFA 20

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.86

Malcolm Perry run for 20 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

HAMMOND III, DJ pass complete to SANDERS, Geraud for 21 yards to the AF46, PENALTY AF pass interference (WAGUESPACK, Kad) 12 yards to the AF13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.04

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 47 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 43

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders, broken up by Evan Fochtman

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Daniel Morris for 10 yds to the Navy 33

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.45

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

2nd & 9Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.43

Nelson Smith run for 37 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the AFA 28

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the AFA 24

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Bijan Nichols 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for 29 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.69

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 19 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Christian Mallard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 11

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Navy 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Koehnke 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 20

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 36 Malcolm Perry fumbled, forced by Kyle Johnson, recovered by Navy Kevin Brennan for a 1ST down , return for 15 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.85

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 37 Nelson Smith fumbled, forced by Mosese Fifita, recovered by AFA Grant Donaldson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Joshua Stoner

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 10 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 9 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.46

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Navy 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Joshua Stoner run for 6 yds to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

NAVY Penalty, Defensive offside (Jackson Pittman) to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Ryan Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 40 yds, downed at the AFA 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 21 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.02

Chance Stevenson pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 41 yds to the Navy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the Navy 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Chance Warren pass complete to Tazh Maloy for 18 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PERRY, Malcolm rush for no gain to the NAVY43, out-of-bounds (DONALDSON, Gran), PENALTY NAVY holding (HONAKER, Billy) 10 yards to the NAVY33, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete, broken up by Jake Ksiazek

2nd & 20Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +4.03

Malcolm Perry pass complete to CJ Williams for 32 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Mychal Cooper run for 7 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the AFA 23

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the AFA 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the AFA 15

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.58

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Malcolm Perry run for 11 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Malcolm Perry 3 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders, broken up by Michael McMorris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin Waters

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders, broken up by Evan Fochtman

4th & 10Fumble Return Touchdown-8 ydsPPA -6.73

Tony Brown 8 Yd Fumble Return

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
14 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
27%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play