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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 22.2

Home Win Probability

Air Force 90%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
7301424
Air ForceAir Force
71413741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-721-721-1034-1041-1041-1741-24
Air ForceSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFTD1075ydTD1375ydDOWNS1260ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1143ydTD575ydPUNT3-12ydTD937ydFG967ydTO856ydEND1-1ydTD875ydTD620ydDOWNS1264ydTO556ydDOWNS43ydTD1688ydTD875ydDOWNS49ydTD422ydEND2-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Air Force
StatisticSan José StateAir Force
Passing24-425-10
Pass Yards280131
Rush Yards98382
Total Yards378513
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-1310-13
Penalties4-208-76
Possession26:5033:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Josh Love
19/35, 198 YDS
rushing
Nick Nash
11 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Tre Walker
6 REC, 69 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
5/9, 131 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Taven Birdow
25 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Geraud Sanders
3 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Josh Love pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 4 yds to the SJSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.76

Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 18 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DeJon Packer run for 5 yds to the AFA 7

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 6 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

DeJon Packer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.02

Isaiah Sanders run for 17 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the SJSt 25

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the SJSt 14 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 24

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 25

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Sailosi Latu) to the SJSt 11

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 7

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +1.95

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 12 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the SJSt 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.35

Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 22 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Love pass incomplete to Nick Nash, broken up by Grant Theil

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 5 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Nick Nash run for 5 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 3 yds to the AFA 14

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.90

DeJon Packer run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 21

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 16

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+52 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 42 yds SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the SJSt 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 9 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Zane Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.91

Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 11 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.45

Josh Love pass complete to Tyler Nevens for 7 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the AFA 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Milton Bugg III

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 64 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Josh Love run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Love sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 13 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by SJSt Tyler Nevens , return for 0 yards

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Alex Galland punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Mallard run for 2 yds to the SJSt 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Ben Peterson for 9 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.80

Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 13 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +0.99

Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 35 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the AFA 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Mercurio 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.34

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 32 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 12 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the SJSt 12

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -4.67

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 9 Kadin Remsberg fumbled, recovered by SJSt Jesse Osuna

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.99

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 14 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Mallard run for 5 yds to the SJSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.36

Joshua Stoner run for 43 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Christian Mallard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the SJSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the SJSt 13

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the SJSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the SJSt 2 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the SJSt 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Christian Mallard run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the SJSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 11 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 11 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Nash run for no gain to the AFA 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.38

Nick Nash pass complete to Tre Walker for 28 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Holiness run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 13

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Zane Lewis) to the AFA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Nash run for no gain to the AFA 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Josh Love pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 4

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.84

Kadin Remsberg run for 23 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+42 ydsPPA -2.14

Christian Mallard run for 10 yds to the AFA 15 Christian Mallard fumbled, forced by Tre Webb, recovered by SJSt Nehemiah Shelton for a 1ST down , return for 27 yds to the AIRFORCE 34 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the AFA 7

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the AFA 7

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Lakota Wills

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 12

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.58

Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 20

2nd & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 26 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the AFA 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 16

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.73

Taven Birdow run for 17 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Mallard run for 5 yds to the SJSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Christian Mallard run for 4 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Christian Mallard run for 14 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the SJSt 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the SJSt 19

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Taven Birdow run for 12 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the SJSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the SJSt 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Nick Nash run for 19 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Nick Nash pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Nick Nash run for 5 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Nash pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by James Jones IV

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Nick Nash pass complete to Andre Crump for 30 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Matthew Murla run for 4 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Matthew Murla run for 3 yds to the AFA 20

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Matthew Murla run for 2 yds to the AFA 22

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA +0.09

Mike Schmidt run for no gain to the AFA 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Nick Nash run for 10 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Nash pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 23

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 21

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
30 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
43%
14 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays