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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2019Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Boise State 74%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
0103619
Boise StateBoise State
01071330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-710-710-1010-1317-1323-1330-19
Boise StateAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSPUNT423ydPUNT826ydPUNT32ydPUNT617ydPUNT36ydTD646ydTD880ydPUNT414ydFG960ydEND1452ydPUNT426ydPUNT35ydFG843ydTD1177ydDOWNS627ydTD852ydTO319ydTD527ydTD775ydEND418yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Boise State
StatisticAir ForceBoise State
Passing8-1320-28
Pass Yards113260
Rush Yards24295
Total Yards355355
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-135-11
Penalties2-102-10
Possession34:1225:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
6/11, 83 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Taven Birdow
18 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Geraud Sanders
5 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boise State
passing
Hank Bachmeier
19/26, 263 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Robert Mahone
13 CAR, 73 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
CT Thomas
5 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 15 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John Bates

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 49

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Donald Hammond III run for no gain to the AFA 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT Thomas

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 42

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Khalil Shakir run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John Hightower

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 20 yds, downed at the BoiSt 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Kadin Remsberg run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 21

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Robert Mahone for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 12 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Bachmeier, Hank pass complete to Hightower, John for 7 yards to the BOISEST42, PENALTY BOISEST ineligible downfield on kick 5 yards to the BOISEST30, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 12 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 12 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 5 yds to the AFA 36

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 36 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Kadin Remsberg) to the AFA 36

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Benjamin Waters run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Donald Hammond III sacked by Ezekiel Noa for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Robert Mahone

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 19 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.93

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 29 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Lakota Wills for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 29

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 6 yds to the AFA 23

4th & 7Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.13

Eric Sachse 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.30

Taven Birdow run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 27

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Ben Peterson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Benjamin Waters run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 15 Benjamin Waters fumbled, forced by Chase Hatada, recovered by AFA Benjamin Waters

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 13

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Koehnke 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Scott Hattok) to the AFA 39

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 38

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 11 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian Butler

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Timothy Jackson run for 20 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 16

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 14

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the BoiSt 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.76

Jake Koehnke 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 24

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 23 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chase Cord pass incomplete to John Hightower

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 11 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

George Holani run for 1 yd to the AFA 37

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 38

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Kyle Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 38 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Robert Mahone , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the AFA 38

4th & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.17

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 13 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Khalil Shakir run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 28

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.51

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 28 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 16 yds to the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Taven Birdow run for no gain to the AFA 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Taven Birdow run for no gain to the BoiSt 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

George Holani run for 3 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 16 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

George Holani run for 2 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.89

Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 14 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Robert Mahone run for 10 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Donald Hammond III run for 14 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-50 ydsPPA -2.63

Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Kekaula Kaniho return for 50 yds to the AFA 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Robert Mahone run for 7 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the AFA 15

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the AFA 10

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Robert Mahone run for 10 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 11 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Joshua Stoner run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 8 yds to the BoiSt 31

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.52

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Robert Mahone run for 9 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.18

Robert Mahone run for 8 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 31

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
64%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
57%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays