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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 3.3

Home Win Probability

Air Force 57%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colgate
00707
Air ForceAir Force
72813048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-041-048-048-7
Air ForceColgate

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFTO30ydTD633ydPUNT36ydPUNT48ydMISS1056ydTD980ydDOWNS721ydTD346ydPUNT3-10ydTD860ydTO1-24ydTD11ydEND415ydTD875ydPUNT3-2ydTD974ydTD877ydPUNT517ydPUNT520ydTO110ydDOWNS47ydEND1255yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colgate and Air Force
StatisticColgateAir Force
Passing11-181-1
Pass Yards8641
Rush Yards75423
Total Yards161464
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-114-7
Penalties3-252-25
Possession27:2232:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colgate
passing
Grant Breneman
9/16, 81 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Malik Twyman
14 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Nick Diaco
2 REC, 29 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Isaiah Sanders
1/1, 41 YDS
rushing
Taven Birdow
9 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Geraud Sanders
1 REC, 41 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Grant Breneman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 25

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA +0.13

Grant Breneman pass intercepted Milton Bugg III return for 7 yds to the Colg 33

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Taven Birdow run for 12 yds to the Colg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 23

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the Colg 15

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the Colg 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Colg 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Myles Bradley run for no gain to the Colg 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Grant Breneman pass complete to Malik Twyman for 1 yd to the Colg 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Grant Breneman pass complete to Myles Bradley for 5 yds to the Colg 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 41 yds , Ben Peterson returns for no gain to the AFA 28 Ben Peterson fumbled, recovered by AFA Ben Peterson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 36

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 43 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 33

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.95

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Diaco for 26 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Twyman run for 6 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Malik Twyman run for 12 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Diaco for 3 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Alex Mathews run for 9 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Grant Breneman pass complete to Mike Bevino for 4 yds to the AFA 11

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Draught

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Chris Puzzi 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Joshua Stoner run for 19 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the Colg 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Colg 42

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.72

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Colg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the Colg 33

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.06

Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the Colg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the Colg 17

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Donald Hammond III run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Twyman run for 5 yds to the Colg 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Gill for 5 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Draught

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Gill for 7 yds to the Colg 46

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Draught, broken up by Zane Lewis

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +1.66

Taven Birdow run for 41 yds to the Colg 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the Colg 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Grant Breneman sacked by Demonte Meeks and Mosese Fifita for a loss of 3 yards to the Colg 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Gill, broken up by Zane Lewis

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.15

Grant Breneman sacked by Jordan Jackson and Jeremy Fejedelem for a loss of 7 yards to the Colg 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the Colg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the Colg 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the Colg 10

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Colg 6 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the Colg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the Colg 41

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colg 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Lakota Wills

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Grant Breneman run for 6 yds to the Colg 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Alex Mathews run for 3 yds to the Colg 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Joshua Stoner run for 1 yd to the AFA 39

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.75

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 41 yds to the Colg 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the Colg 15

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Joshua Stoner run for 14 yds to the Colg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Twyman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 18

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Grant Breneman run for 8 yds to the Colg 26

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Colg 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Colg Grant Breneman

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 26

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Christian Mallard run for 14 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Nolan Eriksen run for 9 yds to the Colg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Christian Mallard run for 11 yds to the Colg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Christian Mallard run for 1 yd to the Colg 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Colg 29

3rd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.03

Christian Mallard run for 19 yds to the Colg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Mallard run for 2 yds to the Colg 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Nolan Eriksen run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Garrett Oakey run for 8 yds to the Colg 31

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Mathews run for 4 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Mathews run for 3 yds to the Colg 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.17

Grant Breneman pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 17 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Alex Mathews run for 15 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the AFA 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Gill

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.07

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Gill for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Puzzi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Matthew Murla run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Matthew Murla run for 8 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dane Kinamon run for no gain to the AFA 41

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 37 TEAM fumbled,

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Matthew Murla run for 5 yds to the AFA 42

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Joseph Carlson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colg 24 , Abu Daramy-Swaray returns for 4 yds to the Colg 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Twyman run for 4 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Grant Breneman run for 9 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Twyman run for 4 yds to the Colg 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Colg 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Draught, broken up by Eric Ward

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.92

Colton Parton run for 3 yds to the AFA 35 Colton Parton fumbled, forced by Milton Braasch II, recovered by Colg Colin Troup

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Mathews, Alex rush for 3 yards to the AF32 (EURE, David;BUSH, Noah), PENALTY COLGATE holding 10 yards to the AF45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Jake Froschauer run for 7 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Froschauer run for 5 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Froschauer pass complete to Michael Kane for 1 yd to the AFA 32

4th & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.04

Jake Froschauer pass complete to Myles Bradley for 4 yds to the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Omar Fattah run for 8 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Zachar Larrier run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 33

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the AFA 36

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.04

Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

C Stevenson run for 7 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Jake Smith run for 11 yds to the Colg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Qawi Ntsasa run for 4 yds to the Colg 38

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Colton Parton run for 9 yds to the Colg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

L Leviston run for 8 yds to the Colg 21

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

C Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Colg 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Robert Gross run for 2 yds to the Colg 15

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 17

Situational Analysis

Colgate

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
16%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
62%
29 plays
2nd
56%
9 plays
71%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play