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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2019Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 1.1

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 49%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
30003
San Diego StateSan Diego State
073313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-310-313-3
San Diego StateBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSPUNT718ydPUNT739ydPUNT32ydFG739ydPUNT38ydTO36ydDOWNS621ydDOWNS754ydPUNT37ydPUNT648ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-13ydTD1061ydEND1-1ydPUNT621ydFG1152ydTO721ydPUNT3-9ydMISS1582ydFG870ydTO623ydPUNT420ydMISS1687ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and San Diego State
StatisticBYUSan Diego State
Passing32-5419-25
Pass Yards338172
Rush Yards7897
Total Yards416269
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-174-14
Penalties4-204-30
Possession31:3928:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Zach Wilson
31/53, 316 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Zach Wilson
8 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Talon Shumway
6 REC, 83 YDS
defense
San Diego State
passing
Carson Baker
19/24, 172 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chase Jasmin
7 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Jesse Matthews
4 REC, 78 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Carson Baker pass complete to Parker Houston for 8 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Carson Baker run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 39 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 29

1st & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Carson Baker pass complete to Juwan Washington for 3 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Baker pass complete to Juwan Washington for 3 yds to the SDSt 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Carson Baker pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 4 yds to the SDSt 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 46 yds, downed at the BYU 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 20 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zach Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Aleva Hifo run for 5 yds to the BYU 41

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

WILSON, Zach pass incomplete to ROMNEY, Gunner, PENALTY SDSU offside 5 yards to the BYU46, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the SDSt 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Oldroyd punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 13

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Carson Baker sacked by Trajan Pili for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 12

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 14

4th & 8Punt+19 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 51 yds , Aleva Hifo returns for 19 yds to the SDSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 7 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.38

Aleva Hifo pass complete to Matt Bushman for 22 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aleva Hifo run for 4 yds to the SDSt 7

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for no gain to the SDSt 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Skyler Southam 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Carson Baker run for 5 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Carson Baker pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 3 yds to the SDSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+47 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds , Aleva Hifo returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the BYU 25

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Wilson pass intercepted Dwayne Johnson Jr. return for 20 yds to the BYU 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the BYU 23

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the BYU 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 7 yds to the BYU 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordon Brookshire run for 2 yds to the BYU 10

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.03

Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the BYU 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 9

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 12 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.92

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 35 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the SDSt 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the SDSt 40

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.39

Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 4 yds to the SDSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carson Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Carson Baker pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 33

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Carson Baker pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 10 yds to the SDSt 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the BYU 20

2nd & 2Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.56

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 34 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Zach Wilson run for 17 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dax Milne run for 4 yds to the SDSt 25

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

WILSON, Zach pass complete to SIMON, Micah for 8 yards to the SDSU17, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the SDSU35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by Myles Cheatum

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Lopini Katoa

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 40

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Danny Jones punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 45

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 45

3rd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.10

Zach Wilson sacked by Troy Cassidy for a loss of 14 yards to the BYU 31

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Jake Oldroyd punt for 30 yds, downed at the SDSt 39

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kaegun Williams run for 8 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.61

Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 46

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Carson Baker run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Carson Baker pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 8 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Carson Baker pass complete to Chance Bell for 6 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Carson Baker run for 3 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Carson Baker pass complete to Chance Bell for 1 yd to the BYU 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.16

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Team pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Aleva Hifo run for 9 yds to the BYU 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BYU 43

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.18

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Zach Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds to the BYU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Danny Jones punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.36

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the SDSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Chase Jasmin run for 17 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the BYU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 10 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the BYU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 2 yds to the BYU 27

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.14

Matt Araiza 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 8 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Aleva Hifo run for 1 yd to the BYU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 6 yds to the BYU 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 10 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 9 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 1Sack-10 ydsPPA -3.39

Zach Wilson sacked by Tariq Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 46 Zach Wilson fumbled, recovered by SDSt Tariq Thompson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Carson Baker pass complete to Justin Dinka for 7 yds to the BYU 39

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

JASMIN, Chase rush for loss of 1 yard to the BYU40 (WARNER, Troy), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the BYU49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.99

Carson Baker sacked by Dayan Ghanwoloku for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 45

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 11 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 11 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Zach Wilson run for 13 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney, broken up by Luq Barcoo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 5 yds to the SDSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.36

Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 21 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney, broken up by Luq Barcoo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 7 yds to the SDSt 19

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 3 yds to the SDSt 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by Darren Hall

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the SDSt 9 BYU Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Skyler Southam 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.21

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 33 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaegun Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.43

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 32 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Baker run for 1 yd to the BYU 8

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Carson Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.49

Matt Araiza 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 13 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 10 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne, broken up by Luq Barcoo

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon

4th & 10Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Wilson pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for 5 yds to the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Chase Jasmin run for 13 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the BYU 48

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the BYU 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds, downed at the BYU 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 6 yds to the BYU 10

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Wilson run for 10 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 3 yds to the BYU 23

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

WILSON, Zach pass incomplete to SHUMWAY, Talon, PENALTY BYU illegal touching 0 yards to the BYU23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.69

Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 21 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon Shumway, broken up by Trenton Thompson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 4 yds to the BYU 48

4th & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.22

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 10 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 12 yds to the SDSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Zach Wilson run for 13 yds to the SDSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zach Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by Darren Hall

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney, broken up by Luq Barcoo

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Skyler Southam 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 19

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
47%
34 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play