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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2019Week 12
NavyNavy
20
-Final
52
Notre DameNotre Dame

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 12.6

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 81%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
0371020
Notre DameNotre Dame
14247752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-031-038-045-345-1052-1752-20
Notre DameNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNAVNDNAVNDTD1175ydTO1148ydTD273ydTO814ydTD439ydPUNT3-7ydTD170ydDOWNS518ydFG729ydTO23ydTD824ydEND972ydPUNT416ydTD778ydPUNT420ydPUNT521ydTD774ydPUNT37ydTD2-6ydTD1875ydDOWNS49ydFG625ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Notre Dame
StatisticNavyNotre Dame
Passing4-1316-22
Pass Yards79305
Rush Yards281105
Total Yards360410
Turnovers40
3rd Down5-164-9
Penalties2-202-15
Possession35:3724:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Perry Olsen
1/5, 43 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malcolm Perry
25 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
Mychal Cooper
3 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
14/20, 284 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Ian Book
5 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Chase Claypool
7 REC, 117 YDS, 4 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.20

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 23 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 14 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 37

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 40

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Ian Book run for 2 yds to the Navy 38

3rd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.05

Ian Book run for 15 yds to the Navy 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Braden Lenzy run for 10 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Jamale Carothers run for 8 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Myles Fells run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 37

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the NDame 29

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.32

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 27 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by NDame Asmar Bilal

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.94

Lawrence Keys III run for 11 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 47 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.53

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 48

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Malcolm Perry sacked by Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 15 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 14 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Ian Book run for 7 yds to the Navy 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 21

2nd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.25

Malcolm Perry sacked by Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and Ovie Oghoufo for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 17

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 18

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Owen White punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for 2 yds to the NDame 20 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the NDame 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 70 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tazh Maloy run for 10 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 44

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 43

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 5 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 8 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the Navy 15

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the Navy 14

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ian Book run for no gain to the Navy 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.55

Jonathan Doerer 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 21

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 24 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by NDame Drew White

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the Navy 19

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 3 yds to the Navy 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Ian Book run for 7 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 14 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Malcolm Perry pass complete to CJ Williams for 6 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 38

3rd & 4Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.65

Malcolm Perry run for 46 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the NDame 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the NDame 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.85

Bijan Nichols 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Malcolm Perry run for 12 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 35

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 4 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tazh Maloy run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.33

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 27 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.07

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 28 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tony Jones Jr.

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.46

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 20 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 16 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to CJ Williams

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Owen White punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for 7 yds to the NDame 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jahmir Smith run for 2 yds to the NDame 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.77

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 17 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jafar Armstrong run for 4 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.74

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 4 yds to the NDame 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Perry Olsen run for 1 yd to the Navy 27

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.77

Jamale Carothers run for 9 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Perry Olsen run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Perry Olsen run for 7 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Perry Olsen pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 43 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NDame 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Perry Olsen pass incomplete to Ryan Mitchell

2nd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown-27 ydsPPA -7.61

Paul Moala 27 Yd Fumble Return (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaac Ruoss run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Perry Olsen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Isaac Ruoss run for 5 yds to the Navy 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Perry Olsen run for 2 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Perry Olsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Perry Olsen run for 4 yds to the Navy 43

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.55

Myles Fells run for 5 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Perry Olsen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 46

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.36

CJ Williams run for 13 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

CJ Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 38

3rd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.96

Isaac Ruoss run for 26 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the NDame 11

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Perry Olsen run for 8 yds to the NDame 3

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaac Ruoss run for no gain to the NDame 3

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.60

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the NDame 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Perry Olsen run for 2 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the NDame 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the NDame 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the NDame 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the NDame 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Perry Olsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.75

Myles Fells run for 23 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chance Warren pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Perry Olsen run for no gain to the NDame 21

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the NDame 19

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.08

Bijan Nichols 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 23

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 20

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
30 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play