Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 30.8

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 96%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
070714
Notre DameNotre Dame
731141466

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-028-045-752-759-766-766-14
Notre DameNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNMNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMNDNMPUNT711ydTD428ydPUNT1039ydPUNT735ydPUNT34ydTD1049ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT31ydTO518ydTD159ydPUNT727ydTD280ydTO3-2ydTD254ydTD575ydEND446ydPUNT32ydTD260ydDOWNS940ydTD665ydTO842ydTD958ydPUNT622ydTD1088ydTD275ydPUNT38ydEND732yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Notre Dame
StatisticNew MexicoNotre Dame
Passing10-2917-27
Pass Yards151434
Rush Yards212157
Total Yards363591
Turnovers40
3rd Down4-181-10
Penalties5-397-53
Possession35:0624:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Tevaka Tuioti
6/13, 132 YDS
rushing
Bryson Carroll
6 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aaron Molina
2 REC, 79 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
15/24, 360 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Ian Book
9 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Claypool
4 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 5 yds to the NMex 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 3 yds to the NMex 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NMex 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.81

Ian Book run for 1 yd to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.37

Ian Book sacked by Alex Hart for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 46

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NMex 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, downed at the NMex 2

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Sheriron pass incomplete to Umeh, Anselem, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Pride Jr., Troy) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Javohn Jones run for 11 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Williams

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Javohn Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 30

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-34 ydsPPA -7.08

Kyle Hamilton 34 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 12 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the NMex 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Ahmari Davis run for 4 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Sheriron Jones run for 7 yds to the NMex 48

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.77

Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.04

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Javohn Jones for 6 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Javohn Jones run for 7 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.04

Javohn Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 1 yd to the NDame 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds, downed at the NDame 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDame 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 15 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 5 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Patrick Peek) to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 39

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris Finke

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , De'John Rogers returns for no gain to the NMex 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Sheriron Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Anu Somoye

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Williams, broken up by Jalen Elliott

4th & 6Punt+17 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 45 yds , Chris Finke returns for 17 yds to the NMex 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Ian Book run for 7 yds to the NMex 42

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Lawrence Keys III run for 7 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.11

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 20 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NMex 11

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the NMex 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the NMex 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ian Book run for no gain to the NMex 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Ian Book 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 25

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Javohn Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 63 yds, downed at the NDame 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 3 yds to the NDame 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris Finke

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by De'John Rogers at the NMex 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 41

2nd & 7Penalty+3 yds

Jones, Sheriron pass incomplete to Williams, Marcus, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Owusu-Koramoah, Jeremiah) 3 yards to the NEWMEXICO44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Q' Drennan pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Jalen Elliott

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Sheriron pass incomplete to Williams, Marcus, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Vaughn, Donte) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Molina

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 44

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Jalen Elliott return for 2 yds to the NDame 41

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Avery Davis 59 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jay Griffin IV run for 8 yds to the NMex 24

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Molina

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Daevon Vigilant run for 15 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Daevon Vigilant run for no gain to the NMex 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Rogers, De'John) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tony Jones Jr.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.26

Javon McKinley 65 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for no gain to the NMex 33

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.01

Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Shaun Crawford return for no gain to the NDame 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 17 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Chase Claypool 37 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the NMex 25

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Bryson Carroll run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Sheriron Jones run for 17 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Alohi Gilman

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.66

Bryson Carroll 47 Yd Run (Andrew Shelley Kick)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Ian Book run for 24 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 22 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -1.42

Jonathan Doerer 36 Yd Field Goal

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.36

Chris Finke 54 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 7 yds to the NMex 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Tyson Dyer run for 2 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 24 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tevaka Tuioti run for 5 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Shaun Crawford

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tony Jones Jr. run for 9 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the NDame 44

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.55

Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.14

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 29 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Javon McKinley 20 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jeffrey Jones Jr. for 8 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.41

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Aaron Molina for 41 yds to the NDame 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Ahmari Davis run for 7 yds to the NDame 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 5

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.95

TEAM run for a loss of 28 yards to the NDame 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NDame TaRiq Bracy , return for 9 yds to the NDame 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.51

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 52 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.75

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 10

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Micah Jones) to the NMex 15

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the NMex 12

3rd & 12Penalty+6 yds

Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Davis, Avery, PENALTY NEWMEXICO unsportsmanlike conduct (Sellers, Trent) 6 yards to the NEWMEXICO6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the NMex 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the NMex 3

3rd & 3Penalty+2 yds

Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Wilkins, Joe, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding (Hunt, Antonio) 2 yards to the NEWMEXICO1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Colin Grunhard) to the NMex 6

1st & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.75

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 10

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.34

Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 19

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (C'Bo Flemister) to the NMex 24

3rd & 24Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.34

Phil Jurkovec run for 23 yds to the NMex 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

C'Bo Flemister 1 Yd Run (Harrison Leonard Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Bryson Carroll run for 9 yds to the NMex 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Kentrail Moran run for 8 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kentrail Moran run for no gain to the NMex 42

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kentrail Moran run for 5 yds to the NMex 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 41 yds , Joe Wilkins returns for no gain to the NDame 12

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Braden Lenzy run for 14 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendon Clark run for 1 yd to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.56

Kyren Williams run for 14 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendon Clark run for 5 yds to the NMex 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendon Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brendon Clark run for 4 yds to the NMex 36

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Brendon Clark run for 14 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Braden Lenzy 22 Yd pass from Brendon Clark (Harrison Leonard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Aaron Molina for 38 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Bobby Cole 37 Yd Run (Andrew Shelley Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mick Assaf run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 24

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Mick Assaf run for 8 yds to the NDame 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Mick Assaf run for 1 yd to the NDame 33

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 35 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 2 yds to the NMex 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Trae Hall run for 11 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Lawrence Johnson run for 2 yds to the NMex 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Lawrence Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the NDame 46

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Hall, Trae pass incomplete to Patterson III, Cedric (Griffith, Houston), PENALTY NOTREDAME offside (Spears, Hunter) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Lawrence Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Kentrail Moran run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 40

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kentrail Moran run for 6 yds to the NDame 34

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
33 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
63%
27 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
5 plays