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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2019Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 1.8

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 42%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
777021
Georgia StateGeorgia State
776828

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-1414-2120-2128-21
Georgia StateArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSDOWNS630ydDOWNS712ydTD457ydTD975ydTO1172ydTO1043ydTD346ydTD1275ydEND522ydTD1275ydTD1675ydPUNT716ydTD1181ydTO1547ydEND416yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Georgia State
StatisticArmyGeorgia State
Passing6-1120-28
Pass Yards65232
Rush Yards278147
Total Yards343379
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-156-10
Penalties3-251-5
Possession38:0821:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Kelvin Hopkins Jr.
6/10, 65 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Connor Slomka
10 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Camden Harrison
4 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
20/28, 232 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tra Barnett
17 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cornelius McCoy
7 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 20 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 6 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the Army 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 2 yds to the Army 44

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.52

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.65

Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.32

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line Kelvin Hopkins Jr. fumbled, , return to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 3 yds to the GeoSt 47

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Zach Potter pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Dan Ellington run for 16 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the Army 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 6 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Ifedi, Jonathan, PENALTY ARMY offside defense (Bonsu, Kwabena) 5 yards to the ARMY24, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 24 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 12 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.19

Connor Slomka run for 38 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Slomka, Connor rush for 4 yards to the GSU19 (StephensMcQueen), PENALTY GSU offside defense (Curney, Ed) 5 yards to the GSU18, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.40

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 14

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 4

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 13 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Tra Barnett run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the Army 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.65

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 30 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney, broken up by Jabari Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 15 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Seth Paige run for no gain to the Army 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Seth Paige

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.46

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 3 Dan Ellington fumbled, recovered by Army Cole Christiansen

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 10

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 18 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.63

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 46 Jakobi Buchanan fumbled, forced by Victor Heyward, recovered by GeoSt Remy Lazarus

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Pinckney, Sam, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Bourdeau, J.) 15 yards to the ARMY31, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the Army 24

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.05

Tra Barnett run for 12 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 17 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 47

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Sandon McCoy run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.16

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 12

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Sandon McCoy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 9 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 9 yds to the GeoSt 47

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Slomka run for no gain to the Army 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 7 yds to the Army 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.92

Connor Slomka run for 32 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Artice Hobbs IV run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 16

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Jalen Moy run for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Tra Barnett run for 9 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.10

Tra Barnett run for 9 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the Army 29

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Dan Ellington run for 10 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Paige run for no gain to the Army 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Jaylon McClinton

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 12 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan Ifedi

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 6 yds to the Army 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Wright PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Walters run for 3 yds to the Army 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon Walters

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 23

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 7 yds to the GeoSt 28

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.38

Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 29 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the Army 35

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the Army 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.40

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Tra Barnett run for 13 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 6 yds to the Army 8

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.37

Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 8 yds for a TD, (Dan Ellington pass to Roger Carter for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Artice Hobbs IV, broken up by Remy Lazarus

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Camden Harrison, broken up by Quavian White

4th & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.49

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 16 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 38

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.96

Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 4 yds to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Malik Hancock run for no gain to the GeoSt 28

4th & 4Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA -2.78

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass intercepted Quavian White return for 27 yds to the GeoSt 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.54

Tra Barnett run for 19 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 45

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
17%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays