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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2019Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 17.8

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 83%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
31001326
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
3771431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-1010-1017-1317-2024-2031-26
Western KentuckyMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTWKMTWKMTMTWKMTWKMTWKWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKFG1366ydPUNT636ydPUNT30ydFG1140ydPUNT37ydTD337ydPUNT618ydPUNT836ydTD396ydFG972ydEND540ydTD375ydPUNT838ydMISS1080ydTO22ydMISS44ydTD1080ydPUNT34ydDOWNS719ydTD236ydTO531ydTD656ydTD1278ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky
StatisticMiddle TennesseeWestern Kentucky
Passing18-3323-30
Pass Yards301294
Rush Yards165180
Total Yards466474
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-153-10
Penalties1-151-5
Possession30:4626:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Asher O'Hara
18/33, 301 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Asher O'Hara
29 CAR, 144 YDS
receiving
Chaton Mobley
2 REC, 82 YDS
defense
Khalil Brooks
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Western Kentucky
passing
Ty Storey
23/30, 294 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Gaej Walker
14 CAR, 119 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lucky Jackson
8 REC, 110 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Clay Davis
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 28 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the WKent 36

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the WKent 33

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the WKent 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 11

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.77

Crews Holt 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 26 yds to the WESTERNKY 44 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ty Storey pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 43 yds, downed at the MTnSt 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds , Roger Cray returns for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Ty Storey run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 2 yds to the MTnSt 29

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 23

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 11

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ty Storey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 3 yds to the MTnSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Cory Munson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 32 yds , Roger Cray returns for no gain to the WKent 37 Roger Cray fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Yusuf Ali

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Asher O'Hara run for 13 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Chaton Mobley run for 7 yds to the WKent 17

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.36

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Isiah Upton for 17 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 13

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.13

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 19 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.02

Ty Storey sacked by Brett Shepherd and Tyshun Render for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 34

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 29

2nd & 21Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 36

3rd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty Storey sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 32

4th & 18Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.43

Asher O'Hara run for 22 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the WKent 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the WKent 37

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jayy McDonald run for 2 yds to the WKent 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce, broken up by Trae Meadows

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.05

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Asher O'Hara , return for 5 yds to the WKent 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, downed at the WKent 4

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.18

Gaej Walker run for 47 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Gaej Walker run for 22 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Ty Storey run for 27 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.45

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 54 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 8 yds to the WKent 13

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the WKent 13

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jayy McDonald run for 1 yd to the WKent 12

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Trae Meadows

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Clay Davis

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.08

Crews Holt 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ty Storey run for 8 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 9 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 19 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 64 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Asher O'Hara sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 9 yds to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 10 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.87

Asher O'Hara run for 22 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the WKent 31

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.21

Asher O'Hara sacked by Clay Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 37

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacquez Sloan at the WKent 6

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 14

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 14 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 32 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Raheme Fuller

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 1 yd to the MTnSt 14

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Cory Munson 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Lee run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -0.25

Asher O'Hara pass intercepted Roger Cray return for 5 yds to the MTnSt 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the MTnSt 15

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Cory Munson 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 6 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.50

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 33 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the WKent 34

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the WKent 29

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.33

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 24 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 3 yds to the WKent 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 57 yds, downed at the MTnSt 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jayy McDonald run for no gain to the MTnSt 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel Tinsley

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 34

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.55

Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 33 yds to the MTnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 21 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 11 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.86

Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the WKent 44 Chaton Mobley fumbled, forced by Clay Davis, recovered by WKent Damon Lowe

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.67

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 16 yds to the WESTERNKY 40 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marcus LaFrance) to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Ty Storey run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Gaej Walker run for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ England-Chisolm run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 21

2nd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.39

Asher O'Hara sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 13

3rd & 19Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.31

Asher O'Hara run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 29

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.53

Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce, broken up by Dionte Ruffin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 15 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Tyrese Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 10 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the WKent 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.74

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 27 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Antwon Kincade

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 45

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
32 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
50%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays