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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Texas by 7.4

Home Win Probability

North Texas 64%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
143141546
North TexasNorth Texas
0612725

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-143-176-2412-2418-3118-3925-46
North TexasHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUNTNTHOUNTHOUNTHOUPUNT924ydTD385ydPUNT39ydTD981ydDOWNS624ydFG641ydFG942ydPUNT35ydPUNT1041ydPUNT415ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydFG727ydTD860ydTD1175ydTD00ydTD875ydPUNT514ydTD37ydDOWNS47ydPUNT6-5ydTD1385ydTD475ydDOWNS49ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and North Texas
StatisticHoustonNorth Texas
Passing16-2036-58
Pass Yards124360
Rush Yards23596
Total Yards359456
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-118-22
Penalties3-306-57
Possession27:0232:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
16/20, 124 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Patrick Carr
16 CAR, 139 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Marquez Stevenson
7 REC, 64 YDS
defense
North Texas
passing
Mason Fine
35/55, 353 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tre Siggers
14 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Lawrence
9 REC, 120 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for no gain to the NoTex 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 18 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 7 yds to the Houst 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 7 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 44

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the Houst 42

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.57

Mason Fine run for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 49 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Mason Fine

4th & 22Punt+3 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 39 yds , Bryson Smith returns for 3 yds to the Houst 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 1 yd to the Houst 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 16 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Patrick Carr run for 68 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Greg White

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 12 yds to the NoTex 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 47 yds, downed at the Houst 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 10 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Houst 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Houst 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.96

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for 9 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 9 yds to the NoTex 46

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Chandler Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.88

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 32 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Clayton Tune pass complete to Courtney Lark for 12 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds to the NoTex 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 13 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 8 yds to the NoTex 48

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 48

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Loren Easly run for 1 yd to the NoTex 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the NoTex 47

2nd & 8Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.95

Clayton Tune run for 38 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the NoTex 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Taylor Robinson

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Clayton Tune sacked by Tyreke Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.70

Dalton Witherspoon 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Mason Fine run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 10 yds to the NoTex 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.10

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Tre Siggers run for 26 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mason Fine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive offside (Deontay Anderson) to the Houst 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence

4th & 5Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.01

Ethan Mooney 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Houst 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Houst 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Bryson Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre Torrey

2nd & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.78

Tre Siggers run for 41 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the Houst 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 9 yds to the Houst 31

3rd & 1Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.85

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 1 yd to the Houst 30 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Jyaire Shorter) to the Houst 40

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Mason Fine run for 1 yd to the Houst 39

4th & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.11

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.04

DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 31

2nd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.62

Mason Fine sacked by Payton Turner and Derek Parish for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 40

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre Torrey

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 11

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Patrick Carr run for 13 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Houst 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 26

4th & 8Punt+15 yds

Dane Roy punt for 58 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 15 yds to the NoTex 41 HOUSTON Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by Garrison Vaughn

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 6 yds to the NoTex 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Manase Mose) to the NoTex 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Houst 9

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

Patrick Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 7

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for 3 yds to the Houst 10

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 46 yds, downed at the NoTex 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Mason Fine pass complete to Deion Hair-Griffin for 9 yds to the Houst 47

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 12 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mason Fine pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden

4th & 10Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.03

Ethan Mooney 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for 11 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kelan Walker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Patrick Carr run for 7 yds to the NoTex 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for 12 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chandler Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 23

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Taylor Robinson) to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Patrick Carr run for 6 yds to the NoTex 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Patrick Carr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 8 yds to the NoTex 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Mason Fine pass complete to Roderic Burns for 8 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 9 yds to the NoTex 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.44

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 16 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mason Fine run for 5 yds to the Houst 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Mason Fine pass complete to Roderic Burns for 11 yds to the Houst 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mason Fine pass complete to Deion Hair-Griffin for 7 yds to the Houst 12

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the Houst 10 Mason Fine fumbled, forced by Damarion Williams,

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tre Siggers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+82 yds

Ethan Mooney kickoff for 47 yds , Marquez Stevenson return for 82 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, intentional grounding (Mason Fine) to the NoTex 13

2nd & 22Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.60

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 17 yds to the NoTex 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.97

Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 21 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the Houst 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 9 yds to the Houst 40

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for no gain to the Houst 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre Torrey, broken up by David Anenih

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.40

Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 33 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Houst 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.80

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 9 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the NoTex 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 1 yd to the NoTex 45

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the NoTex 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 43 yds, downed at the NoTex 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 4 yds to the NoTex 5

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the NoTex 10

3rd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 8

4th & 3Punt+60 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 52 yds , Bryson Smith returns for 60 yds for a TD, (Clayton Tune pass to Marquez Stevenson for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire Shorter, broken up by Damarion Williams

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Mason Fine run for 9 yds to the NoTex 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 45

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 7 yds to the NoTex 36

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.94

Patrick Carr run for 5 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 34 Team fumbled, recovered by Houst Clayton Tune

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Clayton Tune pass complete to Chandler Smith for no gain to the NoTex 34

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 44

3rd & 23Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Clayton Tune sacked by Joe Ozougwu for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 48

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deion Hair-Griffin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deion Hair-Griffin, broken up by Damarion Williams

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 2 yds to the NoTex 17

4th & 8Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.08

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 42 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 46

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 7 yds to the Houst 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mason Fine pass incomplete, broken up by David Anenih

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Jason Bean run for 9 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 9 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 6 yds to the Houst 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Tre Siggers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deonte Simpson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.82

Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 15 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 20

2nd & 15Rush+55 ydsPPA +4.44

Clayton Tune run for 55 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Patrick Carr run for 13 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Patrick Carr run for 12 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jason Bean pass complete to Greg White for 7 yds to the NoTex 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 48

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.00

Team run for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 44

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
4 plays