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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Marshall by 2.8

Home Win Probability

Marshall 55%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
141417752
MarshallMarshall
0001414

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-140-210-280-350-387-4514-4514-52
MarshallCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINMARCINMARCINMARCINMARCINMARMARCINMARCINMARCINMARCINMARCINMARCINMARCINMARTD561ydPUNT35ydTD1964ydPUNT945ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydTD788ydPUNT615ydTD975ydEND865ydPUNT31ydTD1057ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-1ydFG650ydPUNT3-1ydTD257ydTD875ydTO415ydTD140ydPUNT30ydDOWNS726ydTD752ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Marshall
StatisticCincinnatiMarshall
Passing21-2611-30
Pass Yards295131
Rush Yards230125
Total Yards525256
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-144-15
Penalties9-757-65
Possession37:0822:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
18/22, 221 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Tavion Thomas
11 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Alec Pierce
6 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jarell White
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Marshall
passing
Isaiah Green
11/29, 131 YDS
rushing
Brenden Knox
16 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Brenden Knox
4 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 26 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 14 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Desmond Ridder run for 12 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

WARREN, Michael rush for 4 yards to the MAR4 (COUCH, Marquis;DRAYTON, B.), PENALTY CIN illegal formation 5 yards to the MAR13, NO PLAY.

1st & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.72

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 13 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the Marsh 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 15 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Marsh 41

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the Marsh 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Marsh 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 5 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Marsh 10

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Marsh 5

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Marsh 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (Desmond Ridder) to the Marsh 8

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Marsh 8

3rd & 8Sack+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Ridder sacked by Omari Cobb and Darius Hodge for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (5 Yards) to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Marsh 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -1.80

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren II CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the Marsh 19

3rd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Marsh 17

4th & 17Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +4.67

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 17 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 23

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.30

Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 15 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Isaiah Green run for 8 yds to the Marsh 48

3rd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.37

Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the MARSHALL 41 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Darrick Forrest) to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.11

Isaiah Green sacked by Ethan Tucky for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 36 MARSHALL Penalty, intentional grounding (Isaiah Green) to the Cincy 36

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Cincy 32

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Isaiah Green punt for 26 yds, downed at the Cincy 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Cincy 12

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 7

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Rashad Medaris run for 1 yd to the Cincy 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

James Smith punt for 52 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 5 yds to the Marsh 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 12 , Ryan Montgomery returns for 8 yds to the MARSHALL 46 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 6 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.37

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 46 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.48

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 15 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 13 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brenden Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 16

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Brenden Knox

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 8 yds to the Marsh 24

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

LEFEVRE, Robert punt 40 yards to the CIN36, MONTGOMERY, R. return to the MAR45 (BEARDALL, Matt), PENALTY CIN roughing the kicker (SANDERS, Myjai) 5 yards to the MAR29, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GREEN, Isaiah pass complete to GAINES, Xavier for 3 yards to the MAR32 (FORREST, D.), PENALTY MAR illegal touching (GAINES, Xavier) 5 yards to the MAR24, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 28

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds to the Marsh 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Michael Warren II run for 11 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 5 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 8 yds to the Marsh 46

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Gerrid Doaks run for 7 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to GEDDIS, Thomas, QB hurry by HAMES, Channing, QB hurry by EDWARDS, Jamare, PENALTY MAR pass interference (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J) 15 yards to the MAR24, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 12 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Marsh 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Marsh 7

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.79

Josiah Deguara 2 Yd Run (Sam Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 20 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 8 yds to the Cincy 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik Keaton

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the Cincy 46

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to GAINES, Xavier, QB hurry by VANN, Malik, PENALTY CIN pass interference off-setting, PENALTY MAR ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.17

Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson, broken up by Coby Bryant

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.84

Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 33 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds, downed at the Cincy 43

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 5 yds to the Marsh 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 6 yds to the Marsh 24

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.06

Gerrid Doaks run for 11 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Marsh 12

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Marsh 4

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 4 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Isaiah Green pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 6 yds to the Marsh 33 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey Gammage

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 3 yds to the Marsh 24

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Green sacked by Michael Pitts for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 20

4th & 11Punt+6 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 51 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 6 yds to the Cincy 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 5Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.49

Tavion Thomas run for 38 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the Marsh 14

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Marsh 14

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik Keaton, broken up by Jarell White

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Brenden Knox

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Robert LeFevre punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.53

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 56 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 6 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 42

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 23 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Cincy 23

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Willie, QB hurry by WHITE, Jarell, PENALTY CIN holding (GARDNER, Ahmad) 10 yards to the CIN13, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Sheldon Evans run for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Cincy 31

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Ben Bryant run for 9 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.24

Ben Bryant run for no gain to the Cincy 40 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by Marsh Domenick Murphy

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Willie Johnson run for 40 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ryan Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Cincy 27

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 22

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Cincy 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 49 yds, downed at the Marsh 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Sheldon Evans run for 9 yds to the Marsh 35

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.51

Isaiah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 34

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.40

Sheldon Evans run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey Gammage

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryan Wright for 7 yds to the MARSHALL 45 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Ben Bryant pass complete to Blue Smith for 11 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mike Kopaygarodsky run for 4 yds to the Marsh 15

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Mike Kopaygarodsky run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 16

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Mike Kopaygarodsky run for 12 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Mike Kopaygarodsky run for 3 yds to the Marsh 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Michael Kopaygorodsky 1 Yd Run (Sam Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Marsh 19

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
70%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Marshall

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play