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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2019Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Texas by 17.8

Home Win Probability

North Texas 88%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTSAUTSA
03003
North TexasNorth Texas
71714745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-031-338-345-3
North TexasUTSA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTUTSNTTO32ydTD642ydMISS1468ydPUNT535ydPUNT31ydPUNT30ydPUNT522ydTD871ydTO38ydTD125ydDOWNS835ydMISS737ydFG1269ydFG461ydTD575ydDOWNS1148ydPUNT31ydTO420ydTD966ydTO826ydTD851ydDOWNS623ydDOWNS46ydDOWNS4-7ydDOWNS518ydPUNT38ydEND418yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTSA and North Texas
StatisticUTSANorth Texas
Passing17-4017-26
Pass Yards128211
Rush Yards167290
Total Yards295501
Turnovers40
3rd Down6-207-14
Penalties1-154-38
Possession30:1229:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTSA
passing
Lowell Narcisse
16/36, 124 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Lowell Narcisse
15 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
Sheldon Jones
6 REC, 41 YDS
defense
North Texas
passing
Mason Fine
15/22, 195 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tre Siggers
14 CAR, 143 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
DeAndre Torrey
3 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 27

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.01

Lowell Narcisse pass intercepted Nick Harvey return for no gain to the TexSA 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Tre Siggers run for 11 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 5 yds to the TexSA 14

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Jacob Brammer) to the TexSA 19

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the TexSA 10

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 6 yds to the TexSA 26

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 37

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Deven Boston run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.98

Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 8 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.45

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 25 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 26 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (13 Yards) to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 14

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Hunter Duplessis 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Tre Siggers run for 20 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire Shorter

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mason Fine pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Nick Harvey

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Brenden Brady

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the NoTex 46

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 30 Tre Siggers fumbled, forced by Andrew Martel, recovered by NoTex Manase Mose , return for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 30

3rd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.25

Mason Fine pass complete to Deion Hair-Griffin for 11 yds to the NoTex 41

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 47 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 17

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Sincere McCormick run for 10 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 8 yds to the TexSA 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 1 yd to the TexSA 36

4th & 1Punt+13 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 13 yds to the NoTex 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deion Hair-Griffin

3rd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.18

Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 21 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 17 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Deion Hair-Griffin) to the TexSA 39

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 10 yds to the TexSA 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre Torrey, broken up by Kelechi Nwachuku

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, roughing passer (Eric Banks) to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

DeAndre Torrey run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 23

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.10

Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the TexSA 25 Lowell Narcisse fumbled, forced by LaDarius Hamilton, recovered by NoTex Jamie King

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Tre Siggers run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lowell Narcisse run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Sincere McCormick run for 20 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the NoTex 40

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Mason Fine pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.83

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 30 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the TexSA 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 23

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Ethan Mooney 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 12 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Taylor Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Lowell Narcisse run for 12 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the NoTex 37

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.72

Lowell Narcisse run for 17 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Lowell Narcisse run for 1 yd to the NoTex 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Duplessis 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

DeAndre Torrey run for 22 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

DeAndre Torrey run for 9 yds to the TexSA 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.37

Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 30 yds to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -1.45

Ethan Mooney 31 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the NoTex 32

2nd & 3Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.91

Tre Siggers run for 53 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 16

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the TexSA 9

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.76

Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 1 yd to the TexSA 22

3rd & 13Rush+42 ydsPPA +4.23

Lowell Narcisse run for 42 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the NoTex 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sincere McCormick, broken up by Jamie King

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the NoTex 25

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Lowell Narcisse sacked by Dion Novil and Cam Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 27

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds to the NoTex 29

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire Shorter

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Alvin Kenworthy punt for 40 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 9 yds to the TexSA 41

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (LaDarius Hamilton) to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Lowell Narcisse sacked by Dayton LeBlanc and Tyreke Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Dywan Griffin for 6 yds to the NoTex 39

4th & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.61

Lowell Narcisse pass intercepted Makyle Sanders return for no gain to the NoTex 34

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the NoTex 42

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 12 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the TexSA 33

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Loren Easly run for 3 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Loren Easly run for 4 yds to the TexSA 26

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Loren Easly run for 6 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 20 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 6 yds to the TexSA 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 36

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.80

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 12 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.24

Deven Boston run for no gain to the NoTex 49 Deven Boston fumbled, recovered by NoTex KD Davis

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Loren Easly run for 3 yds to the TexSA 48

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.55

Jason Bean run for 20 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the TexSA 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jason Bean pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Nic Smith run for 10 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSA 16

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.38

Jason Bean run for 13 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 3 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the TexSA 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 8 yds to the TexSA 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 48

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Loren Easly run for no gain to the TexSA 42

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

Jason Bean pass incomplete to Deonte Simpson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Cordale Grundy run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen

4th & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.16

Cordale Grundy sacked by Asher Frow for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Austin Aune pass complete to Greg White for 13 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Evan Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 19

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Evan Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 17

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15

4th & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -3.72

Nic Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Leroy Watson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cordale Grundy pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the TexSA 21

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cordale Grundy run for 4 yds to the TexSA 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 44

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Evan Johnson run for 7 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Evan Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Loren Easly run for 9 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Loren Easly run for no gain to the TexSA 38

Situational Analysis

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
18 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
59%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play