Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5
USCUSC
14
-Final
28
WashingtonWashington
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Washington by 11.3

Home Win Probability

Washington 74%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
077014
WashingtonWashington
14311028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-014-717-720-728-14
WashingtonUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASUSCWASPUNT833ydPUNT827ydPUNT3-4ydTD535ydTO2-3ydTD438ydPUNT630ydPUNT3-3ydTD1239ydEND1149ydFG745ydPUNT36ydPUNT635ydTO579ydTD296ydTD565ydPUNT628ydPUNT35ydTO1-8ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1074ydPUNT37ydTO529ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Washington
StatisticUSCWashington
Passing19-3216-26
Pass Yards163180
Rush Yards212193
Total Yards375373
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-133-12
Penalties8-807-44
Possession31:0928:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Matt Fink
19/32, 163 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Stephen Carr
7 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Michael Pittman Jr.
4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Washington
passing
Jacob Eason
16/26, 180 YDS
rushing
Salvon Ahmed
17 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aaron Fuller
6 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Matt Fink pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 4 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Matt Fink pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 5 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Vavae Malepeai run for 9 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matt Fink pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 5 yds to the Wash 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Matt Fink pass incomplete to Drake London

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Wash 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.45

Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 15 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 6 yds to the Wash 46

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Salvon Ahmed

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Jacob Eason sacked by Max Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 45

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Joel Whitford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 4 yds to the USC 23

3rd & 2Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.63

Matt Fink sacked by Kyler Manu for a loss of 12 yards to the USC 11

4th & 14Punt+11 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 35 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 11 yds to the USC 35

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Chico McClatcher run for 19 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 8 yds to the USC 8

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the USC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Richard Newton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USC 32

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -0.32

Matt Fink pass intercepted Cameron Williams return for 14 yds to the USC 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.42

Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 23 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the USC 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown0 ydsPPA +2.44

Andre Baccellia 0 Yd Fumble Recovery (Peyton Henry Kick)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Vavae Malepeai run for 15 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Matt Fink pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Drew Richmond) to the USC 45

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Matt Fink run for 8 yds to the Wash 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 5

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

Ahmed, Salvon rush for 15 yards to the WASHINGTON20, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 2 yards to the WASHINGTON3, NO PLAY.

1st & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Wash 3

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Wash 4

3rd & 11Penalty-2 yds

WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-2 Yards) to the Wash 2

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Joel Whitford punt for 43 yds , Amon-Ra St. Brown returns for 6 yds to the Wash 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt Fink run for 5 yds to the Wash 34

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.25

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matt Fink pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown

4th & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.59

Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 5 yds to the Wash 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 6 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Wash 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 9 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Wash 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Matt Fink run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade Otton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Richard Newton run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Chico McClatcher run for 2 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 20 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the USC 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.47

Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 10 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 17

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 7 yds to the USC 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.85

Peyton Henry 28 Yd Field Goal

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.23

Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 36 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 6 yds to the USC 20

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jaxson Kirkland) to the USC 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacob Eason pass complete to Sean McGrew for 1 yd to the USC 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia

4th & 12Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.15

Peyton Henry 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Josh Falo) to the USC 29

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the USC 36

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 39

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Matt Fink run for 1 yd to the USC 40

4th & 4Punt+12 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 54 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 12 yds to the Wash 18

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Wash 26

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter Bryant

3rd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.99

Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Roughing Passer (John Houston Jr.) to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Eason, Jacob rush for 6 yards to the USC41, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 10 yds to the USC 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joel Whitford punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 11

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.98

Stephen Carr run for 60 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 5 yds to the Wash 24

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt Fink pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 6 yds to the Wash 10

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -4.61

Matt Fink pass intercepted Elijah Molden return for 4 yds to the Wash 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 11

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+89 ydsPPA +6.62

Salvon Ahmed run for 89 yds for a TD, (Jacob Eason pass to Chico McClatcher for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Fink pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 3 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 6 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Drew Richmond) to the USC 41

1st & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.00

Stephen Carr run for 15 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 44 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 43

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 46

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the USC 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds, downed at the USC 2

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the USC 9

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Fink pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.44

Hunter Bryant run for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 43 Hunter Bryant fumbled, recovered by USC Chris Steele , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Vavae Malepeai run for 6 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Fink, Matt pass complete to Vaughns, Tyler for 7 yards to the WASHINGTON44, PENALTY USC pass interference 15 yards to the USC34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt Fink pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Matt Fink pass complete to Josh Falo for 6 yds to the USC 40

4th & 13Punt+3 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 48 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 3 yds to the Wash 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 22

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Richard Newton run for no gain to the Wash 22

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Eason sacked by Jay Tufele for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Joel Whitford punt for 56 yds, downed at the USC 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Matt Fink pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Stephen Carr run for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 12 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.43

Markese Stepp run for 35 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Wash 13

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the Wash 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the Wash 4

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Fink run for 2 yds to the Wash 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 4

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 10

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 10

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds , Michael Pittman Jr. returns for no gain to the USC 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.32

Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 19 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Matt Fink pass complete to Stephen Carr for no gain to the Wash 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Fink pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt Fink pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+10 yds

Fink, Matt pass incomplete to St. Brown, Amon-Ra, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference 10 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.26

Matt Fink pass intercepted Cameron Williams return for no gain to the Wash 1

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacob Eason run for 5 yds to the Wash 6

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 10

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 15

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play