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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cal Poly by 4

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 36%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Cal Poly
70007
Oregon StateOregon State
21177045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-724-731-738-745-7
Oregon StateCal Poly

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSCPOSCPOSCPOSCPOSCPOSCPCPOSCPOSCPOSCPOSTD874ydTD875ydTD745ydPUNT3-2ydTD768ydTO31ydFG714ydMISS1346ydTD680ydMISS950ydTD275ydEND12ydPUNT49ydPUNT39ydPUNT635ydTD285ydPUNT812ydTO847ydTO1562ydEND1173yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cal Poly and Oregon State
StatisticCal PolyOregon State
Passing5-1021-27
Pass Yards112291
Rush Yards203258
Total Yards315549
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-173-6
Penalties7-663-30
Possession34:0925:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cal Poly
passing
Jalen Hamler
5/10, 112 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Duy Tran-Sampson
29 CAR, 137 YDS
receiving
J.J. Koski
2 REC, 61 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Jake Luton
17/22, 255 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
B.J. Baylor
7 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Champ Flemings
5 REC, 142 YDS, 2 TD
defense
John McCartan
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Artavis Pierce run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Artavis Pierce run for 18 yds to the CPoly 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 20 yds to the CPoly 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Artavis Pierce run for 14 yds to the CPoly 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the CPoly 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 8 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Lepi Lataimua run for 6 yds to the CPoly 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the CPoly 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the CPoly 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.49

Jalen Hamler pass complete to J.J. Koski for 53 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Jalen Hamler pass complete to Xavier Moore for 8 yds for a TD, (Colton Theaker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the CPoly 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.13

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 18 yds to the CPoly 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jesiah Irish, broken up by Sharky Reza

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jake Luton pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 7 yds to the CPoly 17

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.85

Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the CPoly 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 3 yards to the CPoly 17

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Hamler run for 1 yd to the CPoly 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. Koski, broken up by Isaiah Dunn

4th & 12Punt+1 yds

Mitch Souza punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 32 , Jesiah Irish returns for 1 yd to the OrgSt 19 OREGON ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 12 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.53

Artavis Pierce run for 25 yds to the CPoly 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 3 yds to the CPoly 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CPoly 33

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Luton,Jake pass incomplete to Pierce,Artavis (WRIGHT, Matt), PENALTY CP offside defense (WRIGHT, Matt) 5 yards to the CP28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Artavis Pierce run for 11 yds to the CPoly 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 11 yds to the CPoly 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the CPoly 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 4 yards to the CPoly 16

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. Koski, broken up by John McCartan

3rd & 14Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Hamler sacked by Hamilcar Rashed Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CPoly 21 Jalen Hamler fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Omar Speights , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 6 yds to the CPoly 15

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the CPoly 12

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.07

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the CPoly 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the CPoly 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Choukair 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Hamler run for 4 yds to the CPoly 39

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Hamler run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jalen Hamler run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Hamler run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 22

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Hamler run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 19

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Colton Theaker 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 7 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 8 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 9 yds to the CPoly 47

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.11

Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 47 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 10 yds to the CPoly 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Hamler run for 4 yds to the CPoly 39

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.99

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Hamler pass complete to J.J. Koski for 8 yds to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.00

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dusty Frampton run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 17

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Lepi Lataimua run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 20

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 25

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Colton Theaker 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Artavis Pierce

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Jake Luton pass complete to Champ Flemings for 75 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 10 yds to the CPoly 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 37

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 3 yards to the CPoly 34

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Hamler run for no gain to the CPoly 34

4th & 11Punt+7 yds

Mitch Souza punt for 42 yds , Jesiah Irish returns for 7 yds to the OrgSt 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the OrgSt 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Rodriguez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by J.J. Koski at the CPoly 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 5 yds to the CPoly 18

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.10

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 14 yds to the CPoly 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jalen Hamler run for 15 yds to the CPoly 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -3.18

Jalen Hamler sacked by Hamilcar Rashed Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the CPoly 46

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 48

4th & 9Punt+10 yds

Mitch Souza punt for 47 yds , Jesiah Irish returns for 10 yds to the OrgSt 15

1st & 10Rush+80 ydsPPA +4.74

B.J. Baylor run for 74 yds to the OREGONST 11 for a 1ST down CAL POLY Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Kevin Howell) to the CPoly 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Tristan Gebbia run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the CPoly 37

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Jalen Hamler run for 12 yds to the CPoly 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jalen Hamler run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Trey Nahhas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

HAMLER, Jalen rush for 6 yards to the OSU33 (Dunn,Isaiah), PENALTY CP illegal block (COLE, CJ) 15 yards to the CP46, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Chuby Dunu run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. Koski

3rd & 17Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Hamler sacked by John McCartan for a loss of 6 yards to the CPoly 48

4th & 23Punt+9 yds

Mitch Souza punt for 43 yds for a 1ST down , Jesiah Irish returns for 9 yds to the OREGONST 43 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tristan Gebbia run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.83

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 14 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the CPoly 31

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.05

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the CPoly 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -4.38

Tristan Gebbia pass intercepted Sharky Reza return for 8 yds to the CPoly 15

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 13

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.56

Xavier Moore run for 11 yds to the CPoly 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 3 yds to the CPoly 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Lepi Lataimua run for 2 yds to the CPoly 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the CPoly 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.16

Jalen Hamler pass complete to Drew Hernandez for 22 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, false start (Vatulele Finau) to the CPoly 48

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Hamler pass incomplete to J.J. Koski

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 1 yd to the CPoly 49

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.60

Jalen Hamler pass complete to Quentin Harrison for 21 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Duy Tran-Sampson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Hamler run for no gain to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Lepi Lataimua run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Jalen Hamler run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 23

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.02

Jalen Hamler pass intercepted Shawn Wilson return for no gain to the OrgSt 1

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Tyler,Calvin rush for no gain to the OSU22 (WRIGHT, Matt), PENALTY CP face mask (WRIGHT, Matt) 15 yards to the OSU37, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 9 yds to the CPoly 41

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ta'Ron Madison run for 6 yds to the CPoly 32

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Ta'Ron Madison run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 34

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the CPoly 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 26

Situational Analysis

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
53%
30 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play