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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Colorado 58%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Air ForceAir Force
61403730
ColoradoColorado
100013023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-610-1310-2010-2316-2323-23
ColoradoAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFCOLAFAFCOLTD1175ydTO39ydFG515ydTD775ydPUNT77ydTD1278ydPUNT611ydTD278ydTO2-5ydTO1038ydEND1-1ydTO740ydPUNT828ydPUNT619ydPUNT421ydFG1351ydTD1275ydPUNT3-4ydTD1360ydEND1-2ydTD125ydDOWNS79yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Colorado
StatisticAir ForceColorado
Passing7-1226-43
Pass Yards155220
Rush Yards284105
Total Yards439325
Turnovers31
3rd Down7-1211-19
Penalties4-306-35
Possession34:0425:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
7/12, 155 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kadin Remsberg
23 CAR, 146 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Benjamin Waters
2 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colorado
passing
Steven Montez
26/43, 220 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaren Mangham
10 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Laviska Shenault Jr.
8 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 4 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, false start (William Sherman) to the Colo 30

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.96

Steven Montez sacked by Jeremy Fejedelem for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 22

2nd & 23Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the Colo 30

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.08

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 17 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the AFA 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 34 Taven Birdow fumbled, forced by Aaron Maddox, recovered by Colo Davion Taylor , return for no gain to the AFA 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 13 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon, broken up by Zane Lewis

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.08

James Stefanou 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Kadin Remsberg run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the Colo 28

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

HAMMOND III, DJ rush for 6 yards to the COLO22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AF holding (FERGUSON, Parke) 10 yards to the COLO38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nolan Eriksen run for 6 yds to the Colo 32

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.19

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 32 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds to the Colo 38 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Brady Russell) to the Colo 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 6 yds to the Colo 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, false start (Brady Russell) to the Colo 32

2nd & 15Uncategorized0 yds

TEAM fumbled, Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jaren Mangham

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.

4th & 15Punt+6 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 52 yds , Ben Peterson returns for 6 yds to the AFA 22

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Taven Birdow run for 19 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Timothy Jackson run for 11 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the Colo 32

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 11 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the Colo 17

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Colo 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Taven Birdow run for 9 yds to the Colo 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 3 yds to the Colo 24

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, false start (Dimitri Stanley) to the Colo 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.02

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 17 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.92

Steven Montez sacked by Lakota Wills for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 28

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 20 , Ben Peterson returns for no gain to the AFA 20 Ben Peterson fumbled, recovered by AFA Ben Peterson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 19

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +7.02

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 81 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dimitri Stanley run for no gain to the Colo 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, false start (William Sherman) to the Colo 20

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.14

Steven Montez pass intercepted Milton Bugg III return for no gain to the Colo 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the Colo 39

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the Colo 34

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the Colo 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 12 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds to the Colo 13

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the Colo 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Colo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Colo 6

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.47

Donald Hammond III pass intercepted, touchback. Mikial Onu return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Benjamin Waters run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the AFA 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.59

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 11 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -2.68

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the Colo 35 Kadin Remsberg fumbled, forced by Mikial Onu, recovered by Colo Nu'umotu Falo Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 7 yds to the Colo 42

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 5 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Timothy Jackson run for 8 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin Waters

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nolan Eriksen run for 3 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Benjamin Waters

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 19

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.49

Jaren Mangham run for 19 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Steven Montez pass complete to Jaren Mangham for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr., broken up by Zane Lewis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Kadin Remsberg run for 16 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Nolan Eriksen run for 9 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the Colo 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Colo 36

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Colo 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.83

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 7 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HAMMOND III, DJ rush for 6 yards to the COLO20 (Johnson, Mustaf), PENALTY AF holding (KREPSZ, Kyle) 10 yards to the COLO36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the Colo 32

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the Colo 30

3rd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 1 yd to the Colo 29

4th & 13Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.37

Jake Koehnke 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Steven Montez pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Steven Montez pass complete to Jalen Harris for 4 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 12 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Steven Montez pass complete to Jalen Harris for 8 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Steven Montez pass complete to Jalen Harris for 5 yds to the AFA 38

4th & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.15

Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 19 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Steven Montez pass complete to Jalen Harris for 5 yds to the AFA 14

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the AFA 13

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 13 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 23

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Geraud Sanders) to the AFA 18

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, FD (Kade Waguespack) to the AFA 13

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 22Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 40

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

N/A run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 37

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.72

Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 15 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 2 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 7 yds to the AFA 23

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Steven Montez pass complete to Jaren Mangham for no gain to the AFA 19

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 8Uncategorized+12 yds

TEAM fumbled, for a 1ST down Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 12 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the AFA 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for loss of 2 yds to the AFA 28

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Kadin Remsberg run for 25 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jalen Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 7 yds to the AFA 18

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 4 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Alex Fontenot

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the AFA 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 16

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.93

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play