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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2019Week 12
USCUSC
41
-Final
17
CaliforniaCalifornia
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 4.5

Home Win Probability

California 36%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
10717741
CaliforniaCalifornia
730717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-1010-1010-1710-2410-2710-3417-41
CaliforniaUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALUSCCALUSCCALUSCCALUSCCALUSCCALUSCCALUSCCALUSCCALCALUSCCALUSCCALUSCTD775ydTD875ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT3-9ydFG940ydFG1557ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT35ydTD1179ydEND1-6ydTD674ydPUNT512ydFG649ydTO722ydTD423ydTO416ydPUNT33ydTD674ydTD475ydPUNT37ydPUNT728ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and California
StatisticUSCCalifornia
Passing29-3515-32
Pass Yards406128
Rush Yards56135
Total Yards462263
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-133-10
Penalties8-753-11
Possession31:5228:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Kedon Slovis
29/35, 406 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kenan Christon
9 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Michael Pittman Jr.
11 REC, 180 YDS, 1 TD
defense
California
passing
Devon Modster
11/22, 95 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
DeShawn Collins
15 CAR, 103 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordan Duncan
5 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Evan Weaver
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 10 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Clark, Trevon (Steele, Chris), PENALTY USC pass interference (Steele, Chris) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.97

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 18 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Chase Garbers run for 11 yds to the USC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Brown Jr., Chri rush for loss of 4 yards to the USC14 (Rector, Christi), PENALTY USC personal foul (Rector, Christi) 5 yards to the USC5, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

DeShawn Collins run for 5 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 2 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 21 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the USC 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 7 yds to the Cal 44

3rd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.68

Kenan Christon run for 23 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 9 yds to the Cal 12

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (Jalen McKenzie) to the Cal 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Stephen Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 18

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.17

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 18 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Makai Polk, broken up by Chris Steele

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 5 yds to the Cal 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the Cal 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown, broken up by Camryn Bynum

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

USC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the USC 17

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. Brown

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Marcel Dancy

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.29

Chase Garbers sacked by Brandon Pili for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 30

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 19Punt+7 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds , Amon-Ra St. Brown returns for 7 yds to the USC 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Stephen Carr for 3 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 8 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 1 yd to the USC 49

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.12

Kedon Slovis sacked by Tevin Paul for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 40

3rd & 18Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.48

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 45 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.79

Kedon Slovis sacked by Luc Bequette and Kuony Deng for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 23

4th & 18Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +1.36

Chase McGrath 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

DeShawn Collins run for 8 yds to the Cal 31

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

DeShawn Collins run for 3 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Chase Garbers sacked by Caleb Tremblay and Marlon Tuipulotu for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 31

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.82

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 14 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

DeShawn Collins run for 6 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Devon Modster pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 11 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DeShawn Collins run for 5 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

DeShawn Collins run for no gain to the USC 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 8 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

DeShawn Collins run for 1 yd to the USC 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 9Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.09

Greg Thomas 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 20

2nd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.26

Kedon Slovis sacked by Aaron Maldonado for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 12

3rd & 22Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.07

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kenan Christon for 11 yds to the USC 23

4th & 11Punt+19 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 42 , Ashtyn Davis returns for 19 yds to the Cal 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Devon Modster pass complete to Jake Tonges for 9 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -2.38

Devon Modster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 47 Devon Modster fumbled, recovered by Cal Devon Modster

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Collin Moore

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the USC 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.73

Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the USC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 9 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.41

Stephen Carr run for no gain to the USC 40

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Stephen Carr run for 12 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete, broken up by Evan Weaver

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.92

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 17 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 1 yd to the Cal 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 2 yds to the Cal 28

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, false start (Stephen Carr) to the Cal 33

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.63

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Devon Modster sacked by Drake Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Josh Falo for no gain to the USC 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.80

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 18 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.50

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 50 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 9 yds to the Cal 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

DeShawn Collins run for 7 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.17

Devon Modster sacked by Talanoa Hufanga for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 34

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Devon Modster pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 3 yds to the Cal 37

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

4th & 14Punt+13 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds , Amon-Ra St. Brown returns for 13 yds to the USC 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.46

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 45 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Cal 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.29

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 8 yds to the Cal 6 USC Penalty, Offensive holding (Drake London) to the Cal 22

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 8 yds to the Cal 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

DeShawn Collins run for 7 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

DeShawn Collins run for 4 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Devon Modster pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

DeShawn Collins run for 2 yds to the Cal 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Devon Modster run for 2 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-32 ydsPPA -1.75

Devon Modster pass intercepted Greg Johnson return for 32 yds to the Cal 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 14 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 6 yds to the Cal 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty+1 yds

Slovis, Kedon pass incomplete to Pittman, Michae (Hicks, Elijah), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Hicks, Elijah) 1 yards to the CAL2, 1ST DOWN USC, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Stephen Carr run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devon Modster run for 7 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Devon Modster run for 2 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

USC Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 7 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Modster, Devon pass incomplete to Young, Monroe, PENALTY CAL ineligible downfield on pass (Saffell, Michae) 5 yards to the CAL41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -1.47

Devon Modster pass intercepted Isaiah Pola-Mao return for 24 yds to the Cal 35 Isaiah Pola-Mao fumbled, forced by DeShawn Collins, recovered by Cal McKade Mettauer USC Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Devon Modster pass incomplete to DeShawn Collins

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Devon Modster run for 8 yds to the Cal 43

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Matthew Cindric) to the Cal 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.00

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 22 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the Cal 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.35

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 32 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the Cal 10

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Josh Falo for 5 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

DeShawn Collins run for 16 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

Modster, Devon pass incomplete to Walker III, Ric, PENALTY USC pass interference (Taylor-Stuart,) 9 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

DeShawn Collins run for 2 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Devon Modster pass complete to Jake Tonges for 14 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

DeShawn Collins run for 34 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the USC 43

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Matt Fink run for 2 yds to the USC 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 53 yds, downed at the Cal 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 9 yds to the Cal 11

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

DeShawn Collins run for 3 yds to the Cal 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Devon Modster sacked by Nick Figueroa for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 12

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 14 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Devon Modster pass complete to Makai Polk for 4 yds to the Cal 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Devon Modster pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt Fink run for 1 yd to the USC 39

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Quincy Jountti run for 3 yds to the USC 42

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Quincy Jountti run for 5 yds to the USC 47

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.49

Quincy Jountti run for 6 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 49

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
42%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play