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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 15.1

Home Win Probability

Oregon 82%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
70007
OregonOregon
0010717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-710-717-7
OregonCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALOREPUNT38ydTO954ydTD663ydTO1462ydPUNT38ydTO222ydMISS847ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydMISS958ydTO931ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydFG1372ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT411ydPUNT36ydTD330ydPUNT31ydDOWNS631ydTO616ydTD564ydMISS1253ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS46ydEND1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Oregon
StatisticCaliforniaOregon
Passing17-3420-33
Pass Yards190214
Rush Yards66190
Total Yards256404
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-175-13
Penalties11-988-85
Possession30:5029:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Devon Modster
17/34, 190 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Christopher Brown Jr.
15 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Trevon Clark
6 REC, 69 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Justin Herbert
20/33, 214 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Travis Dye
15 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Jacob Breeland
5 REC, 87 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 46 yds, downed at the Oregn 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 11 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

CJ Verdell run for 11 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Cal 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.11

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cal 39

1st & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.04

Travis Dye run for 19 yds to the Cal 20

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.46

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Cal 10

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Cal 25

2nd & 19Pass Interception Return-31 ydsPPA -3.20

Justin Herbert pass intercepted Ashtyn Davis return for 31 yds to the Cal 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hawkins

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Matthew Cindric) to the Cal 32

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.04

Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 36 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Oregn 22

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Oregn 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 31

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.65

CJ Verdell run for 10 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Cal 41

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 7 yds to the Cal 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Justin Herbert pass complete to CJ Verdell for 6 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Herbert run for 7 yds to the Cal 13

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Cal 12

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Cal 11

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.00

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Cal 9 Travis Dye fumbled, recovered by Cal Kuony Deng

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 14

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

DeShawn Collins run for 1 yd to the Cal 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Devon Modster pass complete to Jeremiah Hawkins for 2 yds to the Cal 17

4th & 2Punt+43 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds, downed at the OREGON 35 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.52

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 19 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Cal 38 Travis Dye fumbled, forced by Trey Turner III, recovered by Cal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hawkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.64

Devon Modster pass complete to Jake Tonges for 24 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 15 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Oregn 23

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Devon Modster run for 8 yds to the Oregn 15

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Greg Thomas 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the Oregn 26

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Justin Herbert sacked by Zeandae Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 9 yds to the Oregn 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Modster run for 3 yds to the Cal 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

DeShawn Collins run for 3 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 4Punt+53 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, downed at the OREGON 25 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Oregn 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 11 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the Oregn 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.97

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Justin Herbert pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 21 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Brenden Schooler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 2 yds to the Cal 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Camden Lewis 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cal 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Devon Modster run for 8 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

DeShawn Collins run for 3 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 16 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

DeShawn Collins run for no gain to the Oregn 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.13

Devon Modster sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 42 Devon Modster fumbled, forced by Kayvon Thibodeaux, recovered by Cal

4th & 17Pass Interception Return-40 ydsPPA -0.29

Devon Modster pass intercepted Jevon Holland return for 40 yds to the 50 yard line

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the Cal 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Devon Modster pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for no gain to the Cal 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 53 yds, downed at the Oregn 18

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Travis Dye run for 12 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 18 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Travis Dye

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 5 yds to the Cal 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 10 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 11 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 6 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaylon Redd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 14

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the Cal 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob Breeland

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.67

Camden Lewis 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Cal 12

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

3rd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 38 yds, downed at the Oregn 45

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Travis Dye run for 12 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob Breeland

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 19

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 16

4th & 4Punt+24 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 38 yds , Jevon Holland returns for 24 yds to the Cal 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.58

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 30 yds to the Cal 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (McKade Mettauer) to the Cal 15

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 16

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 5 yds to the Cal 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jevon Holland at the Oregn 41

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Herbert run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46 Justin Herbert fumbled, forced by Luc Bequette, recovered by Oregn Dallas Warmack

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 18 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Travis Dye

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 8 yds to the Cal 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.01

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (McKade Mettauer) to the Cal 19

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.47

Devon Modster run for 10 yds to the Cal 29

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gus Cumberlander) to the Cal 34

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (McKade Mettauer) to the Cal 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 11 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Devon Modster pass complete to Jeremiah Hawkins for 7 yds to the Cal 46

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.12

Devon Modster run for 9 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Tonges) to the Cal 45

1st & 20Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -1.45

Devon Modster pass intercepted Troy Dye return for 3 yds to the Oregn 48 OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (18 Yards) to the Oregn 36

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Justin Herbert pass complete to Travis Dye for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 48

2nd & 13Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.82

Justin Herbert run for 26 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (13 Yards) to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 11 yds to the Cal 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 1 yd to the Cal 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.37

Devon Modster run for 21 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.29

Devon Modster sacked by Isaac Slade-Matautia for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 30

3rd & 19Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.41

Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 6 yds to the Oregn 44

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

OREGON Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Devon Modster pass complete to Trevon Clark for 7 yds to the Oregn 22

2nd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.62

Devon Modster sacked by Popo Aumavae for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 29

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Oregn 24

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 29

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Greg Thomas 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the Oregn 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Dallas Warmack) to the Oregn 20

3rd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Oregn 27

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 43 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 3 yds to the Cal 30 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Cal 23

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Devon Modster sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 17

2nd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Modster pass complete to Nikko Remigio for no gain to the Cal 17

3rd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.23

Devon Modster pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 12 yds to the Cal 29

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Modster pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 34

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play