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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2019Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 20.1

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 86%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercer
00077
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
212114056

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-028-042-049-056-056-7
North CarolinaMercer

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERNCMERTO1-1ydTD419ydPUNT37ydTD257ydTO1764ydTD487ydPUNT34ydTD764ydDOWNS47ydTD133ydPUNT512ydTD1079ydPUNT33ydPUNT4-2ydEND33ydTD160ydPUNT411ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-6ydTD766ydPUNT821ydPUNT732ydTD1090ydPUNT3-1ydEND417yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercer and North Carolina
StatisticMercerNorth Carolina
Passing21-3611-15
Pass Yards161161
Rush Yards64376
Total Yards225537
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-172-8
Penalties4-306-50
Possession33:4826:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercer
passing
Harrison Frost
5/7, 92 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyray Devezin
20 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
David Durden
7 REC, 69 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
10/13, 152 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
9 CAR, 159 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Dyami Brown
3 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaelan Riley pass complete to David Durden for 2 yds David Durden fumbled, forced by Don Chapman, recovered by NCaro Chazz Surratt

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the Mercr 11

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the Mercr 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Michael Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 11

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Antonio Williams run for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyray Devezin run for 4 yds to the Mercr 32

4th & 3Punt+25 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 40 yds MERCER Penalty, kick catching interference (David Durden) to the NCaro 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 12 yds to the Mercr 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Michael Carter run for 45 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 10

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyray Devezin run for 5 yds to the Mercr 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyray Devezin run for 1 yd to the Mercr 16

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Grant Goupil punt 34 yards to the 50 yardline, fair catch by Groves, R, PENALTY NC roughing the kicker (Simmons, E) 5 yards to the MER21, 1ST DOWN MER, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyray Devezin run for 9 yds to the Mercr 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Tucker Cannon for 6 yds to the Mercr 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 5 yds to the Mercr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 1 yd to the Mercr 45

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.33

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 9 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to David Durden

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the NCaro 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.56

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 14 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kaelan Riley pass complete to David Durden for 2 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MERCER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 32

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Tucker Cannon

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.97

Harrison Frost pass intercepted Storm Duck return for no gain to the NCaro 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 5 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Javonte Williams run for 11 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 66 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyray Devezin run for 4 yds to the Mercr 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the Mercr 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the Mercr 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 35 yds, downed at the NCaro 36

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Sam Howell run for 17 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Mercr 42

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Antonio Williams run for 10 yds to the Mercr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.82

Antonio Williams run for 26 yds to the Mercr 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the Mercr 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the Mercr 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Sam Howell pass complete to Jake Bargas for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to David Durden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 7 yds to the Mercr 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 2 yds to the Mercr 35

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyray Devezin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 33

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 33 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to David Durden, broken up by DeAndre Hollins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 1 yd to the Mercr 23

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

Kaelan Riley middle pass intercepted by Ross, G at the MER27, Ross, G return to the MER27, PENALTY NC holding (Ross, G) 10 yards to the MER33, 1ST DOWN MER, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Kaelan Riley pass complete to David Durden for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 31

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Yahsyn McKee

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 45 yds, downed at the NCaro 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 8 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 11 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 5 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 5Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.64

Michael Carter run for 31 yds to the Mercr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the Mercr 15

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Javonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Mercr 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Mercr 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Michael Carter run for 9 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Tyray Devezin

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to David Durden, broken up by Storm Duck

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rontavius Groves at the NCaro 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 11 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Sam Howell pass complete to Antonio Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

Howell, S deep pass complete to Groves, R for 68 yards to the MER0, clock 01:18, PENALTY NC holding (Anderson, B) 10 yards to the NC22, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tucker Cannon at the Mercr 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Yahsyn McKee

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 32

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyray Devezin run for 5 yds to the Mercr 37

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Michael Carter run for 60 yds for a TD (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Chris Ellington for 11 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.21

Kaelan Riley pass complete to Chris Ellington for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Yahsyn McKee

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Rontavius Groves at the NCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Vincent Amendola pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

Amendola, V deep pass incomplete to Ross, D, QB hurry by Dorian Kithcart, PENALTY NC ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY MER pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tucker Cannon at the Mercr 25

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Kaelan Riley sacked by Raymond Vohasek for a loss of 7 yards to the Mercr 18

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the Mercr 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to David Durden

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Rontavius Groves at the NCaro 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Mercr 49

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Antonio Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt+12 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 23 , Tucker Cannon returns for 12 yds to the Mercr 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 26

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaelan Riley sacked by Javon Terry for a loss of 9 yards to the Mercr 17

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to David Durden

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 49 yds, downed at the NCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 7Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Josh Henderson run for 35 yds to the Mercr 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Mercr 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the Mercr 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Vincent Amendola pass complete to Kamari Morales for 9 yds to the Mercr 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

British Brooks run for 4 yds to the Mercr 12

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

British Brooks run for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kareem Rogers run for 2 yds to the Mercr 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kareem Rogers run for 5 yds to the Mercr 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Kaelan Riley pass complete to David Durden for 7 yds to the Mercr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kareem Rogers run for 1 yd to the Mercr 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Kaelan Riley pass complete to David Durden for 12 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

David Durden pass incomplete to Tucker Cannon, broken up by D.J. Ford

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kareem Rogers run for 2 yds to the NCaro 46

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kaelan Riley run for 2 yds to the NCaro 44

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

MERCER Penalty, false start (John Thomas) to the NCaro 49

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

MERCER Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mercr 46

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Grant Goupil punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.00

Josh Henderson run for 21 yds to the Mercr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Josh Henderson run for 9 yds to the Mercr 35

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the Mercr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the Mercr 25

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Mercr 25

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Mercr 24

4th & 4Penalty-15 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Kamari Morales) to the Mercr 39

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tucker Cannon at the Mercr 10

1st & 10Uncategorized-3 yds

Harrison Frost fumbled, TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 7

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.57

Harrison Frost pass complete to David Durden for 23 yds to the Mercr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Brandon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 28

2nd & 12Uncategorized-1 yds

Harrison Frost fumbled, Brandon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 27

3rd & 13Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.56

Harrison Frost pass complete to Yahsyn McKee for 26 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.01

Harrison Frost pass complete to David Durden for 28 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brandon Marshall run for 7 yds to the NCaro 12

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brandon Marshall run for 8 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brandon Marshall run for 2 yds to the NCaro 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Harrison Frost pass complete to Kareem Rogers for 2 yds for a TD (Caleb Dowden KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 19

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.41

British Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 13 British Brooks fumbled, forced by Ken Standley, recovered by NCaro British Brooks

2nd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the NCaro 19

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the NCaro 23

4th & 11Punt-3 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds , Tucker Cannon returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Rogers run for 4 yds to the Mercr 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Harrison Frost pass incomplete to DeMond Ellison

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Harrison Frost pass complete to Steven Peterson for 13 yds to the Mercr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kareem Rogers run for no gain to the Mercr 42

Situational Analysis

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
70%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play