Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 2, 2019Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 2.4

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 41%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
71021038
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
31414031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-73-1010-1017-1017-2417-3124-3131-38
North CarolinaVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRPUNT3-5ydPUNT618ydFG561ydTD1370ydDOWNS954ydFG876ydTD575ydPUNT30ydTD859ydTD1378ydEND1-1ydTD275ydPUNT627ydTD785ydTD675ydTD575ydTD575ydPUNT735ydDOWNS1488ydPUNT735ydDOWNS716ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and North Carolina
StatisticVirginiaNorth Carolina
Passing31-4015-29
Pass Yards383353
Rush Yards134186
Total Yards517539
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-137-13
Penalties1-56-46
Possession33:3826:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
30/39, 378 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bryce Perkins
24 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Terrell Jana
13 REC, 146 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
15/29, 353 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Javonte Williams
16 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
Dyami Brown
6 REC, 202 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.01

Sam Howell sacked by Jowon Briggs for a loss of 12 yards to the NCaro 23

2nd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Howell pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 43 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 8 yds to the Virg 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 6 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Virg 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the NCaro 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.72

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 57 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the Virg 17

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Javonte Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 19

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.26

Noah Ruggles 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.20

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 9 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Virg 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 12 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the NCaro 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 5 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 17 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Javonte Williams run for 11 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Javonte Williams run for 10 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Javonte Williams run for 13 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.19

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 5 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the Virg 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 6 yds to the Virg 20

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the Virg 20

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.46

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 9 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

PK Kier run for 5 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 5Penalty+12 yds

Perkins, B sideline pass incomplete to Dubois, H, PENALTY NC pass interference (Hollins, D) 12 yards to the NC48, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.37

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 40 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 9

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the NCaro 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Brian Delaney 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 13 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Michael Carter run for 9 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Javonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 47 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 32

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Bryce Perkins sacked by D.J. Ford for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCaro 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dazz Newsome run for 4 yds to the NCaro 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.23

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Virg 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.47

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.40

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 34 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 11 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 11 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 5 yds to the NCaro 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 13 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 7 yds to the NCaro 6

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Bryce Perkins run for 65 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Michael Carter run for 13 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Michael Carter run for no gain to the NCaro 38

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Michael Carter run for 14 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Sam Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 49

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the Virg 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 15

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 12

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 14

3rd & 11Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.28

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 34 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Bryce Perkins run for 12 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (Jason Strowbridge) to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the NCaro 18 Wayne Taulapapa fumbled, forced by Tomari Fox, recovered by Virg Terrell Jana

2nd & 1Penalty+9 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tomari Fox) to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Williams, J rush up middle for 27 yards to the VA48 (Grant, N), PENALTY NC holding (Tucker, J) 10 yards to the NC15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 4 yds to the NCaro 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome, broken up by Aaron Faumui

3rd & 16Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.36

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 19 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 50 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 20 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (Allen Cater) to the 50 yard line

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.54

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.42

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 39 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Grant Misch for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Javonte Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Javonte Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Javonte Williams run for 21 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 42 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 21 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 5 yds to the NCaro 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 15 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the NCaro 30 Bryce Perkins fumbled, forced by Chazz Surratt, recovered by Virg Chris Glaser

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the NCaro 30

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 35

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.83

Bryce Perkins sacked by Tyrone Hopper and Jeremiah Gemmel for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 41

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 35 yds, downed at the NCaro 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 12 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 22

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 25

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.07

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Javonte Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 39

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Javonte Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Michael Carter run for 19 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Sam Howell sacked by Eli Hanback for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 38

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

Howell, S sideline pass complete to Corrales, B for 10 yards to the VA28, out-of-bounds (Cross, D), PENALTY NC ineligible downfield on pass (Tucker, J) 5 yards to the VA43, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.98

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 31 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the Virg 11

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the Virg 6

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.97

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 7

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the Virg 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 16 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Bryce Perkins sacked by Dominique Ross and Allen Cater for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 30

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Virg 34

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 41

4th & 3Punt+20 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 41 , Dazz Newsome returns for 20 yds to the NCaro 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown, broken up by Chris Moore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.04

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 13 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 41

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 39

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
59%
34 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
70%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play