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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2019Week 8
DukeDuke
14
-Final
48
VirginiaVirginia
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Virginia 61%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
007714
VirginiaVirginia
01724748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-017-027-027-734-748-748-14
VirginiaDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKVIRDUKDUKVIRTO1245ydPUNT520ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydTD978ydTO40ydFG48ydDOWNS49ydTD834ydTO623ydPUNT30ydEND11ydTO1-4ydFG45ydPUNT38ydTD870ydTD1275ydTD00ydTO31ydTD521ydTO613ydTD240ydDOWNS827ydTO836ydTD865ydDOWNS47ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Virginia
StatisticDukeVirginia
Passing15-3014-28
Pass Yards118153
Rush Yards132154
Total Yards250307
Turnovers52
3rd Down2-147-15
Penalties5-552-30
Possession25:3134:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Quentin Harris
13/26, 88 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Quentin Harris
8 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Scott Bracey
2 REC, 43 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
13/26, 141 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Wayne Taulapapa
14 CAR, 77 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Hasise Dubois
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Duke 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 4 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Duke 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Duke 42

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Duke 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 16 yds to the Duke 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Duke 11

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the Duke 11

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted, touchback. Leonard Johnson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Quentin Harris run for 9 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalon Calhoun run for 2 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 1 yd to the Duke 37

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Joe Reed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 20

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 47 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 6 yds to the Duke 31 DUKE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Duke 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the Duke 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun, broken up by Mandy Alonso

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Austin Parker punt for 38 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 2 yds to the Virg 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for no gain to the Virg 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 32 yds, downed at the Duke 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 32

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaylen Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.08

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 13 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 23 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 19 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 12 yds to the Duke 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Duke 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the Duke 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun, broken up by Zane Zandier

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 29 DUKE Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the Duke 16

2nd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Quentin Harris run for 9 yds to the Duke 25

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-17 ydsPPA +0.13

Quentin Harris pass intercepted Brenton Nelson return for 17 yds to the Duke 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Duke 17

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Duke 13

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Duke 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.87

Brian Delaney 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the Duke 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 4 yds to the Duke 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Duke 34

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.81

Bryce Perkins sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 40

2nd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.53

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 13 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Duke 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Perkins, B pass incomplete to Chatman, T, PENALTY DU OF (Rumph,C.) 5 yards to the DU15, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Bryce Perkins sacked by Victor Dimukeje and Tahj Rice for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds to the Duke 14

3rd & 4Penalty+12 yds

Perkins, B pass incomplete to Dubois, H, PENALTY DU pass interference (Johnson,L.) 12 yards to the DU2, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Duke 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the Duke 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Mataeo Durant

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Quentin Harris pass complete to Eli Pancol for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Quentin Harris pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 7 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Quentin Harris run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Mataeo Durant, broken up by Zane Zandier

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -2.04

Quentin Harris pass complete to Mataeo Durant for a loss of 2 yards Mataeo Durant fumbled, forced by Noah Taylor, recovered by Virg Mandy Alonso

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 34 yds, downed at the Duke 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 21 Deon Jackson fumbled, recovered by Virg Charles Snowden

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by Jeremiah Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Duke 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Michael Carter II

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.52

Brian Delaney 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 32

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 3 yds to the Duke 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.51

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 22 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Tavares Kelly Jr. run for 17 yds to the Duke 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Bryce Perkins run for 11 yds to the Duke 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Scott Bracey

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Noah Gray

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 7 yds to the Duke 32

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Austin Parker run for 5 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the Duke 43

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jake Bobo

4th & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +3.20

Austin Parker run for 12 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Virg 45

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Quentin Harris run for 9 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Scott Bracey, broken up by Charles Snowden

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 36 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

AJ Reed kickoff for 60 yds , Joe Reed return for 95 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 5 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.63

Quentin Harris sacked by Jordan Mack for a loss of 10 yards to the Duke 21 Quentin Harris fumbled, recovered by Virg Eli Hanback , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Perkins, B pass incomplete to Brissett, D, PENALTY DU pass interference (Lewis,J.) 15 yards to the DU6, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Duke 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the Duke 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 20

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 15 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Aaron Young

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 38

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -0.27

Quentin Harris pass intercepted Joey Blount return for 20 yds to the Duke 40

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.76

Wayne Taulapapa run for 31 yds to the Duke 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds for a TD, (Justin Duenkel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 34

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.43

Deon Jackson run for 10 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Chris Katrenick run for 1 yd to the Duke 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chris Katrenick pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr., broken up by De'Vante Cross

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Chris Katrenick pass complete to Jake Marwede for 7 yds to the Virg 48

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Chris Katrenick pass incomplete to Eli Pancol

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lamont Atkins run for 5 yds to the Duke 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Lindell Stone pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 12 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Duke 28

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.05

Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Duke 17

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Duke 15

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Wayne Taulapapa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 16

4th & 5Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -3.52

Lindell Stone pass intercepted Jalen Alexander return for 20 yds to the Duke 0 VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Dontayvion Wicks) to the Duke 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Deveaux run for 7 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

Chris Katrenick run for no gain to the Duke 42

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Elijah Deveaux run for 3 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Elijah Deveaux run for no gain to the Duke 45

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Katrenick,C. pass incomplete to Harding,D., PENALTY VA personal foul (Faumui, A) 15 yards to the VA40, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Deveaux run for 3 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Eli Pancol run for 8 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Chris Katrenick run for 6 yds to the Virg 23

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Chris Katrenick pass complete to Eli Pancol for 23 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Deveaux run for 2 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Deveaux run for 3 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaylen Coleman run for no gain to the Virg 25

4th & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.91

Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the Virg 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 22

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 20

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
48%
25 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays