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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Clemson by 29.2

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 4%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ClemsonClemson
0140721
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
770620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-714-1420-21
North CarolinaClemson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLENCCLETD475ydMISS840ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydPUNT1030ydTD1090ydPUNT31ydTO214ydTD442ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT3-4ydTD1078ydEND15ydDOWNS829ydPUNT32ydPUNT49ydPUNT515ydPUNT35ydPUNT42ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS726ydTD655ydTD1675ydEND2-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Clemson and North Carolina
StatisticClemsonNorth Carolina
Passing18-3015-27
Pass Yards206144
Rush Yards125146
Total Yards331290
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-157-17
Penalties6-303-20
Possession28:1131:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Clemson
passing
Trevor Lawrence
18/30, 206 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Travis Etienne
14 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tee Higgins
6 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Isaiah Simmons
2.5 TFL, 1 PD
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
15/27, 144 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
16 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Dyami Brown
3 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Chazz Surratt
2 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.91

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 26 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 40 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 2 yds to the Clem 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 46

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Trevor Lawrence run for 10 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 14 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 2 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trevor Lawrence run for 6 yds to the NCaro 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for no gain to the NCaro 22

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+40 yds

B.T. Potter 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

3rd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 24

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to J.C. Chalk

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Javonte Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 9 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 11 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the Clem 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 6 yds to the Clem 43

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.76

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the Clem 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Carl Tucker

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 10

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (Travis Etienne) to the Clem 6

1st & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 6

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 16 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds to the Clem 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the Clem 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 16 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Lyn-J Dixon run for 9 yds to the NCaro 47

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.73

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 31 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 13

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Travis Etienne run for 13 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Howell sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 18

2nd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the NCaro 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 46 yds, downed at the Clem 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Travis Etienne run for 9 yds to the Clem 37

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.46

Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 42 Travis Etienne fumbled, recovered by NCaro Jason Strowbridge

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.77

Michael Carter run for 31 yds to the Clem 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 4 yds to the Clem 7

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 12

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the Clem 10

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 10 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari Rodgers

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.37

Trevor Lawrence sacked by Chazz Surratt for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 18

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 40

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Marcus McKethan) to the NCaro 35

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Javonte Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 34

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Dyami Brown run for 2 yds to the NCaro 36

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 42 yds, downed at the Clem 22

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for no gain to the Clem 22

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 28

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Trevor Lawrence run for 16 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.61

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 28 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Trevor Lawrence run for no gain to the NCaro 28

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the NCaro 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 17 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Trevor Lawrence run for 6 yds to the NCaro 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the NCaro 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Trevor Lawrence run for 3 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Ezeudu) to the NCaro 15

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Michael Carter run for 15 yds to the NCaro 30

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 10 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 4 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (John Simpson) to the Clem 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.97

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 14 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to J.C. Chalk

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Travis Etienne run for 9 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jackson Carman) to the NCaro 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Michael Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 3 yds to the NCaro 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 63 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to J.C. Chalk for 10 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 34

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (John Simpson) to the Clem 29

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 48 yds, downed at the Clem 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lyn-J Dixon run for 5 yds to the Clem 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 54 yds, downed at the NCaro 31

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Javonte Williams run for 12 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.15

Sam Howell sacked by Isaiah Simmons for a loss of 9 yards to the NCaro 37

3rd & 16Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Sam Howell sacked by Tyler Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 33

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 29

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 30

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the NCaro 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 10 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Michael Carter run for 9 yds to the Clem 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Sam Howell pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Sam Howell run for no gain to the Clem 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.57

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the Clem 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.57

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to J.C. Chalk for 6 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (J.C. Chalk) to the NCaro 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.35

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 38 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Sam Howell run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 12 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Michael Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 11 yds to the Clem 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the Clem 38

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.57

Michael Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 40

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 7 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Clem 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Javonte Williams run for 6 yds to the Clem 25

3rd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.56

Javonte Williams run for 22 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Sam Howell pass complete to Jake Bargas for 2 yds to the Clem 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 47

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Clemson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play