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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Middle Tennessee by 0.5

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 50%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
141710041
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
308718

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-173-243-3411-4118-41
Middle TennesseeDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTDUKDUKMTDUKMTDUKMTDUKMTDUKMTDUKMTDUKMTDUKFG1351ydTD1467ydTD547ydPUNT37ydFG631ydDOWNS937ydTD1062ydPUNT32ydTD967ydEND20ydFG671ydTD775ydTD1284ydTD1475ydPUNT731ydDOWNS953ydPUNT53yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Middle Tennessee
StatisticDukeMiddle Tennessee
Passing24-2719-27
Pass Yards237201
Rush Yards226138
Total Yards463339
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-145-12
Penalties3-202-20
Possession34:0725:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Quentin Harris
24/27, 237 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Quentin Harris
11 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Aaron Young
6 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
Asher O'Hara
19/27, 201 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Asher O'Hara
18 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Jimmy Marshall
3 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zack Dobson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Dalton Frantz for 13 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayy McDonald run for 2 yds to the Duke 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 12 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 4 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 8 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

O'HARA, Asher pass complete to PIERCE, Jarrin for 7 yards to the DU19 (Singleton,D.), PENALTY MT pass interference (FRANTZ, Dalton) 15 yards to the DU41, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Asher O'Hara sacked by Chris Rumph II for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 45

2nd & 29Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Duke 44

3rd & 28Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.57

Asher O'Hara run for 20 yds to the Duke 24

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.33

Crews Holt 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quentin Harris run for 5 yds to the Duke 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.06

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 8 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 12 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.16

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 9 yds to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Quentin Harris run for no gain to the MTnSt 18

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the MTnSt 18

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.71

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 4 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 12

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 6

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.12

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the MTnSt 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.47

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 27 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 12 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Asher O'Hara pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Zack Dobson

4th & 3Punt+30 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the MIDDLETENN 33 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Duke 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 4 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.11

Mataeo Durant run for 22 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Quentin Harris pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 6 yds to the MTnSt 30

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 27

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 31

4th & 5Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.62

AJ Reed 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to DJ England-Chisolm, broken up by Josh Blackwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.52

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 17 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the Duke 36

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 38

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 7 yds to the Duke 45

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.52

Quentin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.67

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 18 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Noah Gray

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 8 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Quentin Harris pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 6 yds to the MTnSt 18

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Quentin Harris pass complete to Eli Pancol for 11 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Asher O'Hara sacked by Tre Hornbuckle for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the Duke 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the Duke 35

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.72

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 14 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 47 Deon Jackson fumbled, forced by Reed Blankenship, recovered by Duke Jalon Calhoun

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.39

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 9 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Quentin Harris pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 9 yds to the MTnSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.41

Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 25 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Brad Anderson run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Asher O'Hara run for 20 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 24

2nd & 7Rush+65 ydsPPA +4.06

Quentin Harris run for 65 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the MTnSt 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.75

AJ Reed 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Asher O'Hara run for 28 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 9 yds to the Duke 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 40

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.36

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 8 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the Duke 26

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.65

CJ Windham 26 Yd pass from Asher O'Hara (Asher O'Hara Pass to Jimmy Marshall for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quentin Harris run for 5 yds to the Duke 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 25

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Quentin Harris run for 3 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 9 yds to the Duke 37

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quentin Harris run for 4 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Deon Jackson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 6 yds to the MTnSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Quentin Harris run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Waters run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 18 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Brandon Hill

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to WINDHAM, CJ, PENALTY DU offside (Hornbuckle,T.) 5 yards to the MT36, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Asher O'Hara sacked by Edgar Cerenord for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 35

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

DJ England-Chisolm run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 41

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside (Chris Rumph II) to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Asher O'Hara sacked by Chris Rumph II for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ Windham

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the Duke 46

4th & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.76

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 13 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the Duke 33

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 37

3rd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.70

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 23 yds to the Duke 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the Duke 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 14 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 22

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Quentin Harris run for 15 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Duke 43

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 48

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 49

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 36 yds, downed at the MTnSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.97

Asher O'Hara pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 28 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Terelle West run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 46

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.51

Terelle West run for 23 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terelle West run for 5 yds to the Duke 26

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Jayy McDonald run for 9 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jayy McDonald run for 4 yds to the Duke 13

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Terelle West run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 16

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.09

Asher O'Hara sacked by Dylan Singleton for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 19

4th & 12Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.68

Asher O'Hara sacked by Brandon Hill for a loss of 16 yards to the Duke 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 38

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Mataeo Durant run for 9 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 49

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Quentin Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 44

3rd & 13Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylen Coleman run for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 38

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 14

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
30 plays
2nd
14%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
38%
8 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play