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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2019Week 2
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 3.1

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 39%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MiamiMiami
3106625
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
1703828

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-317-317-617-1320-1920-2528-25
North CarolinaMiami

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCFG755ydPUNT35ydTD162ydFG1042ydTD975ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydMISS1251ydPUNT49ydFG960ydPUNT31ydTD647ydEND10ydDOWNS1156ydFG1058ydTD775ydPUNT631ydPUNT425ydMISS1062ydTD868ydTD975ydMISS743ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami and North Carolina
StatisticMiamiNorth Carolina
Passing30-3917-25
Pass Yards309292
Rush Yards17997
Total Yards488389
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-112-10
Penalties7-571-5
Possession35:2324:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami
passing
Jarren Williams
30/39, 309 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
DeeJay Dallas
14 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Mike Harley
5 REC, 79 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
16/24, 274 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Javonte Williams
10 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dyami Brown
4 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 7 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.45

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 39 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 19

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sam Howell pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.28

Noah Ruggles 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jarren Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 3 yds to the MiaFl 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 2 yds to the MiaFl 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 62 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 10 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

DeeJay Dallas run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 6 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 14 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 10 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Jeff Thomas, broken up by Trey Morrison

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.17

Jarren Williams sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 33

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jarren Williams pass incomplete

4th & 18Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +2.23

Bubba Baxa 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Javonte Williams run for 18 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 13 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Sam Howell run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 33

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, targeting (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Sam Howell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 21

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 12 yds to the MiaFl 9

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Javonte Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 9

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mark Pope run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 1 yd to the MiaFl 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Rontavius Groves run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 1 yd to the NCaro 31

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.53

Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 15 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jarren Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 11 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

DeeJay Dallas run for 14 yds to the NCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the NCaro 18

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jeff Thomas run for 5 yds to the NCaro 13

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

K.J. Osborn run for 5 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the NCaro 8

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarren Williams sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 9 Jarren Williams fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Jarren Williams , return for 0 yards

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jarren Williams pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for no gain to the NCaro 9

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Bubba Baxa 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 25

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Williams, A rush right for loss of 1 yard to the NC24 (Quarterman, S.;Patchan, S.), PENALTY UM holding (Nnoruka, C.) 10 yards to the NC35, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Antonio Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Sam Howell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.46

Sam Howell sacked by Trajan Bandy for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 29

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarren Williams pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 3 yds to the MiaFl 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 16 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Cam'Ron Harris run for 20 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Cam'Ron Harris run for 8 yds to the NCaro 17

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.03

Cam'Ron Harris run for 10 yds to the NCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarren Williams pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cam'Ron Harris run for 5 yds to the NCaro 2

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Bubba Baxa 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Michael Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 21 yds, downed at the NCaro 47

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.77

DeeJay Dallas run for 16 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 14 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Mike Harley

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

DeeJay Dallas run for 13 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jarren Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 6 Jarren Williams fumbled, recovered by MiaFl DeeJay Dallas

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 6 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 9 yds to the MiaFl 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

DeeJay Dallas run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 7 yds to the MiaFl 47

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Jeff Thomas, broken up by Trey Morrison

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.81

Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 20 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Jarren Williams pass complete to Michael Irvin II for 8 yds to the NCaro 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the NCaro 19

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.69

Jarren Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 19

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Michael Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 16

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Sam Howell pass complete to Carl Tucker for 16 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.59

Sam Howell run for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 25 Sam Howell fumbled, recovered by NCaro Sam Howell

2nd & 17Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.96

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 36 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Dyami Brown pass complete to Sam Howell for 18 yds to the MiaFl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Carl Tucker

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Howell, S pass incomplete to Corrales, B, PENALTY UM offside (Pinckney, M.) 5 yards to the UM16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.70

Sam Howell sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 23

4th & 12Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.68

Noah Ruggles 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Jarren Williams pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jarren Williams pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 7 yds to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 4 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.54

Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 38 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 11 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 12 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 9 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Michael Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 44

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the MiaFl 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.43

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 29 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Jarren Williams sacked by Aaron Crawford for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 44

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jarren Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 49

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.54

Jarren Williams sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 44

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for no gain to the NCaro 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales, broken up by Trajan Bandy

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Javonte Williams run for 14 yds to the NCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.57

Javonte Williams run for 19 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 12 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves, broken up by Romeo Finley

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Michael Carter run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 32

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 31

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Noah Ruggles 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Jarren Williams pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 8 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cam'Ron Harris run for 11 yds to the UNC 46 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive holding (DJ Scaife Jr.) to the MiaFl 44

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jarren Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 12 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.30

DeeJay Dallas run for 37 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Will Mallory) to the NCaro 11

1st & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.59

Jarren Williams pass complete to Will Mallory for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Javonte Williams run for 22 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 4 yds to the MiaFl 49

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.39

Sam Howell sacked by Shaquille Quarterman for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 44

3rd & 13Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Howell sacked by Gregory Rousseau for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 40

4th & 17Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +4.04

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 20 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 12 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 24

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Howell, S pass incomplete to Corrales, B, dropped pass, PENALTY UM offside (Hill, T.) 5 yards to the UM19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Carter run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 10 yds for a TD, (M. Carter Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jarren Williams run for 18 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jarren Williams pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 8 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.62

Jarren Williams pass complete to Mike Harley for 17 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jarren Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jarren Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 32

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jarren Williams pass incomplete to Mike Harley

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Bubba Baxa 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 29

Situational Analysis

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
47%
36 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
6 plays
100%
1 play
57%
14 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays