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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 26.7

Home Win Probability

Penn State 94%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
07007
Penn StatePenn State
2170735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-028-028-735-7
Penn StatePurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPUNT3-5ydTD656ydPUNT3-4ydTD533ydPUNT2-5ydTD271ydTO510ydTD765ydPUNT52ydTO417ydTD562ydMISS1058ydTO3-9ydDOWNS78ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT719ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT728ydPUNT417ydPUNT819ydPUNT514ydTD787ydPUNT36ydTO532ydTO26ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Penn State
StatisticPurduePenn State
Passing14-2820-29
Pass Yards123264
Rush Yards-19196
Total Yards104460
Turnovers13
3rd Down1-158-15
Penalties7-374-49
Possession26:2233:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
Jack Plummer
13/27, 119 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
King Doerue
11 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
David Bell
3 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
20/29, 264 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Noah Cain
12 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jahan Dotson
2 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Lamont Wade
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 32

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.83

Jack Plummer sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 28

4th & 15Punt+17 yds

Brooks Cormier punt for 45 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 17 yds to the PnSt 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Sean Clifford run for 16 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 9 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King Doerue

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Plummer sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21

4th & 14Punt+26 yds

Brooks Cormier punt for 38 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 26 yds to the Prdue 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (Cam Allen) to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 5 yds to the Prdue 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Sean Clifford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Plummer, Jack pass complete to Bell, David for 5 yards to the PURDUE30, PENALTY PURDUE illegal touching (Bell, David) 5 yards to the PURDUE25, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Zac Collins punt for 36 yds , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 25 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 28

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.73

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Zac Collins punt for 35 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 5 yds to the PnSt 35 KJ Hamler fumbled, recovered by PnSt KJ Hamler

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ricky Slade run for 4 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jahan Dotson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.13

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 48 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Prdue 6

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ricky Slade run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 8

3rd & 8Penalty+4 yds

Clifford, Sean pass incomplete, PENALTY PURDUE personal foul 4 yards to the PURDUE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.92

Ricky Slade run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.93

Jack Plummer sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 37

4th & 18Punt-2 yds

Brooks Cormier punt for 35 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 4 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.77

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 9 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA -2.53

Sean Clifford pass intercepted Simeon Smiley return for 15 yds to the Prdue 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 1 yd to the Prdue 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.25

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 43 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.20

Jack Plummer sacked by Fred Hansard for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 26

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Jack Plummer run for 11 yds to the PnSt 15

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.07

Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.90

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 9 yds to the Prdue 41

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Prdue 31

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to George, Daniel, PENALTY PURDUE holding 10 yards to the PURDUE21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.37

KJ Hamler run for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 29

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Noah Cain

3rd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Sean Clifford run for 12 yds to the Prdue 17

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Jake Pinegar 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Plummer sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Zac Collins punt for 25 yds , Jonathan Sutherland returns for no gain to the Prdue 36 Jonathan Sutherland fumbled, recovered by Prdue

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.26

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaquan Brisker) to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King Doerue

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.77

Jack Plummer sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 48

3rd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds to the PnSt 43

4th & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.57

Jack Plummer sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 44

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.36

Sean Clifford sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 20

4th & 20Punt-7 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 51 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 22

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Plummer sacked by Robert Windsor for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 16

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 19

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brooks Cormier punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 6 yds to the Prdue 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Devyn Ford run for no gain to the Prdue 46

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.28

Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Prdue 23

4th & 7Punt-3 yds

Zac Collins punt for 38 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for no gain to the PnSt 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 1 yd to the PnSt 41

4th & 5Punt+25 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the PENNST 20 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-14 Yards) to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Plummer pass complete to Alfred Armour for no gain to the Prdue 34

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 29

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King Doerue

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brooks Cormier punt for 42 yds, downed at the PnSt 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.77

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 12 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

KJ Hamler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Ricky Slade

4th & 8Punt+41 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Prdue 4 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (2 Yards) to the Prdue 2

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.40

King Doerue run for 14 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

King Doerue run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 11

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Prdue 19

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zac Collins punt for 51 yds, downed at the PnSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 1 yd to the PnSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Sean Clifford pass complete to Dan Chisena for 6 yds to the PnSt 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.51

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the PnSt 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.57

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sean Clifford run for no gain to the Prdue 48

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mike Miranda) to the PnSt 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Jack Plummer sacked by Lamont Wade for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 38

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jackson Anthrop run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.98

Jack Plummer sacked by Micah Parsons for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 34

4th & 21Punt-6 yds

Zac Collins punt for 47 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 13

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Noah Cain run for 11 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.61

Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 22 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Noah Cain run for 16 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Noah Cain run for 8 yds to the Prdue 29

2nd & 2Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.25

Noah Cain run for 27 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Noah Cain run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.48

King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 27 King Doerue fumbled, forced by Charlie Katshir, recovered by Prdue Jackson Anthrop

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Zac Collins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 33

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Devyn Ford run for 20 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.62

Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.03

Will Levis run for no gain to the Prdue 35 Will Levis fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jaylan Alexander

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 39

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the PnSt 48 Jackson Anthrop fumbled, forced by DJ Brown, recovered by PnSt Drew Hartlaub

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 45

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 43

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
11%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
47%
32 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play