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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2019Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 29.8

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 95%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
33006
NorthwesternNorthwestern
02132145

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-621-624-631-645-6
NorthwesternMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORMASNORMASNORMASMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORMASNORNORMASNORMASPUNT35ydFG1038ydTO736ydPUNT31ydTO845ydTD1271ydFG1169ydTD860ydPUNT33ydTD595ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydEND1-1ydPUNT626ydPUNT620ydPUNT612ydTO2-4ydDOWNS4-4ydPUNT39ydTO20ydFG4-1ydDOWNS725ydTD146ydPUNT3-8ydTD656ydTD533ydPUNT33ydDOWNS49ydEND431yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Northwestern
StatisticMassachusettsNorthwestern
Passing25-467-13
Pass Yards22776
Rush Yards83334
Total Yards310410
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-197-14
Penalties8-550-0
Possession30:0829:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Randall West
19/36, 175 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Bilal Ally
16 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Brennon Dingle
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Aidan Smith
7/13, 76 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Evan Hull
24 CAR, 220 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Riley Lees
7 REC, 76 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley Lees

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle Horn

3rd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.56

Bilal Ally run for 31 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Randall West pass incomplete to Bilal Ally

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the Nwest 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 5 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WEST, Randall pass complete to EMILUS, Samuel for 11 yards to the NU0, clock 11:54, PENALTY UMASS ineligible downfield on pass (YERARDI, Mike) 5 yards to the NU16, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Randall West pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 10 yds to the Nwest 6

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.40

Randall West sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 15

4th & 14Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA +0.18

Cooper Garcia 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Aidan Smith run for 8 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Evan Hull

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.87

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 18 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the UMass 29

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -4.14

Aidan Smith pass intercepted Xavier Steele return for 2 yds to the UMass 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Randall West pass incomplete to Bilal Ally

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Randall West pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, downed at the Nwest 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.88

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 27 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Drake Anderson run for 9 yds to the UMass 43

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 44 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by Isaiah Rodgers,

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the UMass 41

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.60

Aidan Smith pass intercepted Josh Wallace return for no gain to the UMass 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.04

Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Randall West pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 11 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Randall West pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 9 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Randall West pass complete to Bilal Ally for 11 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 12

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 13

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+85 yds

Cooper Garcia 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joe Gaziano Chris Bergin return for 85 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jermaine Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 16 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 4 yds to the UMass 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 15 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 15 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 14 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Randall West pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Nwest 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Cooper Garcia 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 4 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.16

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Aidan Smith run for 19 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the UMass 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan Smith run for 10 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jason Whittaker run for 4 yds to the UMass 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Evan Hull run for 6 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Randall West pass incomplete to Dariyan Wiley

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Randall West pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr., broken up by JR Pace

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 57 yds, downed at the Nwest 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 6Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.60

Evan Hull run for 48 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley Holman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan Smith run for 5 yds to the UMass 38

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.22

Evan Hull run for 38 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 2 yds to the UMass 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Trae Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 7 yds to the UMass 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nwest 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 46

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Jason Whittaker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 45

4th & 3Punt+43 yds

Andrew David punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NORTHWSTRN 22 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Wallace) to the UMass 12

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 9

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 9

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.23

Cam Roberson run for 12 yds to the UMass 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 38

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 12 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Cameron Ruiz

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle Horn

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Randall West run for no gain to the Nwest 44

4th & 10Punt+29 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 10 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Riley Lees run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 2 yds to the UMass 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 37

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 38 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Joe Gaziano

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the UMass 41

4th & 9Punt+33 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds , Riley Lees returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 40 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -0.47

Berkeley Holman run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 21 Berkeley Holman fumbled, recovered by UMass Chinedu Ogbonna

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Larnel Coleman) to the Nwest 26

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 28

2nd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 1 yd to the Nwest 27

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 2 yds to the Nwest 25

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Randall West pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Trae Williams

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-40 ydsPPA -0.55

Randall West pass intercepted Blake Gallagher return for 40 yds to the UMass 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the UMass 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Aidan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.20

Aidan Smith sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 13 Aidan Smith fumbled, recovered by Nwest Jared Thomas , return for 0 yards

4th & 11Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.24

Charlie Kuhbander 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Trae Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Andrew Brito pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 7 yds to the UMass 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 13 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Andrew Brito pass complete to Adam Billard for 4 yds to the UMass 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Andrew Brito run for 1 yd to the UMass 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Cameron Ruiz

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Evan Hull run for 46 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Joe Gaziano

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.22

Andrew Brito sacked by Trent Goens for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 15

4th & 18Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 44

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Andrew Marty run for 8 yds to the UMass 48

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Evan Hull run for no gain to the UMass 48

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Andrew Marty run for 7 yds to the UMass 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the UMass 31

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.32

Evan Hull run for 31 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Raymond Niro III run for 4 yds to the UMass 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Raymond Niro III run for 5 yds to the UMass 24

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, (5 Yards) to the UMass 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Raymond Niro III run for 3 yds to the UMass 16

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Andrew Marty run for 5 yds to the UMass 11

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Raymond Niro III run for 11 yds for a TD (Drew Luckenbaugh KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ROBERSON, Cam rush for 3 yards to the UMASS44 (Bergin, Chris), PENALTY UMASS clipping (COLEMAN, Larnel) 15 yards to the UMASS26, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 26

2nd & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 5 yds to the UMass 31

3rd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.47

Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 13 yds to the UMass 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 28 yds, downed at the Nwest 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Raymond Niro III run for 9 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.35

Conrad Rowley run for no gain to the Nwest 24 Conrad Rowley fumbled, recovered by Nwest Raymond Niro III

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Raymond Niro III run for 10 yds to the Nwest 34

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Raymond Niro III run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Cam Roberson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Cam Roberson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 16

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.00

Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
27 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
38%
16 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play