Skip to main content
← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 6

Home Win Probability

Stanford 67%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
00077
StanfordStanford
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-010-010-7
StanfordNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORNORDOWNS736ydTO34ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT1147ydPUNT621ydTD1590ydDOWNS941ydEND517ydTO1066ydTO430ydMISS41ydPUNT725ydTO33ydMISS527ydPUNT620ydPUNT615ydTD1250ydTO631ydPUNT312ydPUNT627ydTD1-22ydEND19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Stanford
StatisticNorthwesternStanford
Passing12-2723-34
Pass Yards117233
Rush Yards93132
Total Yards210365
Turnovers42
3rd Down5-147-16
Penalties8-678-78
Possession21:4838:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
TJ Green
6/10, 62 YDS
rushing
Isaiah Bowser
10 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Ben Skowronek
5 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Stanford
passing
K.J. Costello
16/20, 152 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cameron Scarlett
22 CAR, 97 YDS
receiving
Connor Wedington
7 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 15 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

K.J. Costello run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 8 yds to the Nwest 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Cameron Scarlett

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.93

K.J. Costello run for 1 yd to the Nwest 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Johnson pass intercepted Andrew Pryts return for no gain to the Nwest 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Nwest 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 3 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 53 yds , Michael Wilson returns for no gain to the Stanf 18 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Stanf 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Dorian Maddox run for 8 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.83

Dorian Maddox run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 21

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 29

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.30

K.J. Costello pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 21 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

K.J. Costello run for 7 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 6 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 4 yds Connor Wedington fumbled, recovered by Stanf Connor Wedington

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 39

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Dorian Maddox run for 8 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.62

K.J. Costello sacked by Earnest Brown IV for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 34

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 34 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 25

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Hunter Johnson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hunter Johnson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Hunter Johnson run for no gain to the Nwest 41

4th & 1Punt+48 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 48 yds , Michael Wilson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 7 yds to the Stanf 17

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 2 yds to the Stanf 19

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.39

Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 17 yds to the Stanf 48 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.16

K.J. Costello pass complete to Dorian Maddox for 27 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 9 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Nwest 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

TJ Green pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 14 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

TJ Green pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds to the Nwest 47

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.26

TJ Green pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 2 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 43

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

TJ Green run for 13 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

TJ Green pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 8 yds to the Stanf 35

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

TJ Green run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

TJ Green pass incomplete to Riley Lees

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

TJ Green pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 8 yds to the Stanf 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.08

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 1 yd to the Stanf 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

K.J. Costello run for 4 yds to the STANFORD 48 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (-1 Yards) to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+51 ydsPPA -0.24

Jet Toner 51 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

TJ Green pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 7 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Bowser run for 10 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

TJ Green pass incomplete to Riley Lees

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

TJ Green pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.56

TJ Green pass complete to Jesse Brown for 23 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.47

Isaiah Bowser run for 15 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Stanf 5

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.57

TJ Green sacked by Curtis Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 9 TJ Green fumbled, recovered by Stanf

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.58

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 26 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davis Mills run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -1.44

Davis Mills run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 21 Davis Mills fumbled, recovered by Nwest Greg Newsome II , return for 18 yds to the Stanf 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Brown

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Stanf 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Charlie Kuhbander 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Cameron Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Stanf 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Osiris St. Brown

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Osiris St. Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Michael Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Cameron Scarlett

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 7 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 31

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.17

Hunter Johnson pass intercepted Paulson Adebo return for no gain to the Nwest 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.56

Davis Mills pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 26 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Davis Mills pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Nwest 11

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Jet Toner 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

John Moten IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.87

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 17 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Hunter Johnson pass complete to John Moten IV for 13 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

John Moten IV run for no gain to the Nwest 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.69

Hunter Johnson sacked by Dalyn Wade-Perry for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 40 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Nwest 40

3rd & 19Punt0 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 44 yds, downed at the Stanf 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 6 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Davis Mills pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 3 yds to the Stanf 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.57

Dorian Maddox run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Davis Mills pass complete to Houston Heimuli for 4 yds to the Stanf 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Davis Mills run for 1 yd to the Stanf 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Connor Wedington

4th & 5Punt+20 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 39 yds , Riley Lees returns for 20 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Hunter Johnson run for 10 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

John Moten IV run for 4 yds to the Stanf 36

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Hunter Johnson run for 13 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (J.J. Parson) to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Charlie Mangieri

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hunter Johnson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 11

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jesse Brown run for 5 yds to the Stanf 6

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.19

Hunter Johnson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

John Moten IV run for 1 yd to the Stanf 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

John Moten IV 1 Yd Run (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hunter Johnson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 1 Hunter Johnson fumbled, recovered by Nwest Hunter Johnson

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Cameron Scarlett run for 17 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Greg Newsome II) to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.64

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 3 yds to the Nwest 28 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 38

1st & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Davis Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 39

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Cameron Scarlett run for 6 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Davis Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 35 Davis Mills fumbled, recovered by Nwest

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 6 yds to the Stanf 44

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Penalty-12 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-12 Yards) to the Nwest 44

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Hunter Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47

4th & 13Punt+35 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the STANFORD 18 STANFORD Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Kick ( Yards) to the Stanf 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 21

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Cameron Scarlett run for 12 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.73

Jordan Fox 0 Yd Fumble Return (Jet Toner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 9 yds to the Nwest 39

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
45%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play