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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2019Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 15.6

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 16%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
7207337
NebraskaNebraska
777021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-1014-1714-2714-3421-3421-37
NebraskaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISPUNT943ydTO544ydTD563ydTD00ydDOWNS841ydFG1053ydTD573ydTD586ydTO10ydTD321ydPUNT415ydFG1373ydEND1-4ydPUNT30ydMISS633ydTD976ydTD475ydPUNT631ydDOWNS681ydFG1073ydDOWNS1274ydEND532yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Nebraska
StatisticWisconsinNebraska
Passing13-2113-23
Pass Yards162220
Rush Yards320273
Total Yards482493
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-96-12
Penalties4-363-31
Possession34:4025:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Jack Coan
13/21, 162 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
25 CAR, 204 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
A.J. Taylor
2 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nebraska
passing
Adrian Martinez
13/23, 220 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dedrick Mills
17 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kanawai Noa
3 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Eric Burrell

3rd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.86

Dedrick Mills run for 27 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 46

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.49

Adrian Martinez run for 14 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.14

Adrian Martinez sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 40

3rd & 14Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Adrian Martinez sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 43

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 24 yds, downed at the Wisc 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for 7 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -3.16

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 13 yds Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, recovered by Neb Lamar Jackson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.31

Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.56

Adrian Martinez run for 26 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 44

3rd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.94

Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 6 yds to the Wisc 32

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Wyatt Mazour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 33 Wyatt Mazour fumbled, forced by Eric Burrell,

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.45

Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 34

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Danny Davis III run for 17 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Jonathan Taylor run for 19 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Neb 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 7 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aron Cruickshank run for 4 yds to the Neb 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 13

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Neb 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.73

Collin Larsh 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.96

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, roughing passer (Zack Baun) to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 14 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 12 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.65

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 55 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -0.92

Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jack Sanborn return for 11 yds to the Neb 21

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kendric Pryor run for 6 yds to the Neb 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Dedrick Mills run for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick Mills, broken up by Zack Baun

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Noah Burks

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 40 yds , Danny Davis III returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 21

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus, broken up by Ben Stille

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.22

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 12 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.72

Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Neb 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Collin Larsh 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.51

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Danny Davis III run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Coan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 21

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.80

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 21 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-20 ydsPPA -3.83

Adrian Martinez sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 20 yards to the Wisc 44

2nd & 30Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 25Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 15 yds to the Wisc 24

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Barret Pickering 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.73

Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Neb 44

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Neb 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Aron Cruickshank run for 9 yds to the Neb 11

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Dedrick Mills run for 21 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 20 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 23 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 8Penalty+11 yds

Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Ferguson, Jake, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Eric Lee Jr.) 11 yards to the WIS45, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 40

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 6 yds to the Wisc 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 4 yds to the Neb 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 4

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.02

Adrian Martinez run for 45 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the Neb 34

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.67

Dedrick Mills run for 43 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 5 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Wyatt Mazour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Wyatt Mazour run for 2 yds to the Wisc 17

4th & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -3.55

Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.35

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Neb 25

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.24

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Neb 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.84

Collin Larsh 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Wyatt Mazour) to the Neb 38

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.69

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 20 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.03

Adrian Martinez sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 47

3rd & 15Penalty+6 yds

Adrian Martinez sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NEB48 (Sanborn, Jack), PENALTY WIS offside defense (Burton, Donte) 6 yards to the WIS41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.15

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 36 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Wisc 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Wisc 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -4.02

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 3 yds to the Wisc 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mason Stokke run for 4 yds to the Wisc 5

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 8

3rd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.06

Danny Davis III run for 29 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 35

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 33

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays