Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 82%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
00077
MinnesotaMinnesota
7720034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-034-7
MinnesotaNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINDOWNS1246ydTD571ydPUNT537ydPUNT614ydPUNT827ydTD680ydPUNT617ydPUNT957ydPUNT37ydEND430ydTD563ydDOWNS622ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydTD945ydPUNT3-5ydTD246ydTD1480ydPUNT36ydDOWNS421ydPUNT37ydDOWNS835ydEND732yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Minnesota
StatisticNebraskaMinnesota
Passing15-298-13
Pass Yards148128
Rush Yards151322
Total Yards299450
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-168-13
Penalties5-334-42
Possession27:1332:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Noah Vedral
14/23, 135 YDS
rushing
Noah Vedral
15 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
JD Spielman
3 REC, 59 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
8/13, 128 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rodney Smith
18 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Johnson
5 REC, 109 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 3 yds to the Neb 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Neb 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.45

Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Vedral pass complete to Jaron Woodyard for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 11 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 2 yds to the Minn 33

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.93

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Maurice Washington

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 3Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.33

Rodney Smith run for 35 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 22

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.12

Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, IS (-5 Yards) to the Neb 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Neb 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.24

Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 51 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.11

Noah Vedral sacked by Chris Williamson and Thomas Barber for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 36

2nd & 20Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Noah Vedral sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 38

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 13

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Conner Olson) to the Minn 8

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 15

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rodney Smith, broken up by Lamar Jackson

4th & 9Punt+10 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 50 yds , JD Spielman returns for 10 yds to the Neb 33 JD Spielman fumbled, forced by Phillip Howard, recovered by Neb Caleb Tannor

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Noah Vedral run for 9 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 45

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.40

Noah Vedral run for 22 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Boe Wilson) to the Minn 38

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 13Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.57

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Minn 35 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (Kanawai Noa) to the Minn 45

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Shannon Brooks run for 25 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 8 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Rodney Smith run for 15 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 28

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Neb 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 9 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 1 yd to the Neb 40

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Neb 45

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Neb 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 8

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 9

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Shannon Brooks run for 13 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Shannon Brooks run for 28 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 36

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 35

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 20 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 15 MINNESOTA Penalty, kick catching interference (Tyler Nubin) to the Neb 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Neb 35

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Neb 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Maurice Washington, broken up by Micah Dew-Treadway

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 52 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 4 yds to the Minn 41 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (Tyler Nubin) to the Minn 8

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 12 Rodney Smith fumbled, forced by Carlos Davis, recovered by Minn Sam Schlueter

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 12

3rd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.94

Rodney Smith run for 23 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.46

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 45 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 19

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Neb 11

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.85

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Darien Chase

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Dedrick Mills run for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Sam Renner

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Neb 44

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 45

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Austin Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Jake Paulson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Neb 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Lamar Jackson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 40 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 2 JD Spielman fumbled, recovered by Neb JD Spielman

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 3

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 4

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Noah Vedral pass incomplete NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 41 yds, downed at the Neb 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 36

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds to the Neb 22

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Neb 21

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Khalil Davis) to the Neb 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Neb 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Neb 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Sam Renner

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Noah Vedral sacked by Sam Renner for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 15 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Noah Vedral pass complete to Maurice Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Isaac Armstrong punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.61

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 45 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Noah Vedral pass complete to Kade Warner for 26 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Vedral pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Noah Vedral run for 9 yds to the Minn 22

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Noah Vedral pass complete to Kade Warner for 7 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Minn 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 21

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Kanawai Noa at the Neb 44

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Jaron Woodyard, PENALTY MINN pass interference (St-Juste, B) 15 yards to the MINN41, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Andrew Bunch sacked by Austin Winfield for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 48

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.80

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 13 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Darien Chase

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.13

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to JD Spielman

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 35

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kanawai Noa at the Neb 19

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.78

Brody Belt run for 22 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler Nubin

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Brody Belt run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Brody Belt run for 2 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Brody Belt run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 48

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Andrew Bunch run for 6 yds to the Minn 46

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Brody Belt

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Neb 39

3rd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.99

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 20

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 22

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
62%
13 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
56%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
4th