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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2019Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 0.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 46%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
007714
MichiganMichigan
31472145

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-024-731-738-745-14
MichiganNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDMICMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICNDMICPUNT934ydTO36ydFG965ydPUNT611ydTD859ydPUNT32ydTD760ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-6ydDOWNS46ydPUNT621ydPUNT35ydEND3-1ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTD757ydTD675ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT32ydPUNT35ydTD464ydPUNT3-10ydTD247ydTO720ydTD445ydTD375ydEND528yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Michigan
StatisticNotre DameMichigan
Passing11-298-14
Pass Yards133134
Rush Yards47303
Total Yards180437
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-154-13
Penalties7-624-50
Possession25:2334:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
8/25, 73 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jahmir Smith
5 CAR, 15 YDS
receiving
Javon McKinley
2 REC, 42 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
6/12, 100 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Hassan Haskins
20 CAR, 149 YDS
receiving
Mike Sainristil
3 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.51

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 18 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 43

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.71

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NDame Ian Book

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 49

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ian Book pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 38 yds, downed at the Mich 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 10

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

4th & 4Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for 20 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Mich 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Mich Daxton Hill

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 36

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference 15 yards to the NOTREDAME49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.45

Zach Charbonnet run for 35 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the NDame 2

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 4 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Mich Shea Patterson

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the NDame 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Moody 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 5 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 30

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Braden Lenzy run for 1 yd to the NDame 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 28 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 41

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.06

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.97

Hassan Haskins run for 25 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the NDame 19

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the NDame 7

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Zach Charbonnet 7 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris Finke

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Ian Book pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 16 yds to the Mich 40

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Hassan Haskins run for 20 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the NDame 40

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the NDame 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Shea Patterson pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 13 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.47

Shea Patterson run for 22 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the NDame 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Zach Charbonnet 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jahmir Smith run for 4 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jahmir Smith run for no gain to the NDame 27

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 61 yds, downed at the Mich 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 12

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 19

3rd & 3Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.46

Shea Patterson sacked by Jamir Jones for a loss of 13 yards to the Mich 6 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Mich

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 36

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.03

Ian Book pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Mich 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Mich 40

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the NDame 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys III

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 29 yds, downed at the NDame 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.70

Tru Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 40

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.33

Shea Patterson sacked by Jack Lamb for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 47 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Mich Shea Patterson , return for 0 yards

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 40 yds, downed at the NDame 32

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Ian Book sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 58 yds, downed at the Mich 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 15

2nd & 7Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 8

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Ian Book pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 7 yds to the Mich 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 16

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 23

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Mich 41

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Ian Book run for 9 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.55

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 24 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ian Book run for 1 yd to the Mich 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Cole Kmet 7 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +4.06

Hassan Haskins run for 49 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference 15 yards to the NOTREDAME11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 14

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the NDame 12

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Peoples-Jones, Donovan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Crawford, Shaun) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.46

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Donovan Peoples-Jones 8 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ian Book pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 4 yds to the NDame 24

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Mich 42

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Mich 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jahmir Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ian Book pass complete to Jahmir Smith for 6 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 39 yds, downed at the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.47

Hassan Haskins run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.27

Shea Patterson pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 34 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Nico Collins 16 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.26

Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 12 yards to the NDame 13

2nd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the NDame 14

3rd & 21Penalty-7 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the NDame 7

3rd & 28Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Phil Jurkovec run for 8 yds to the NDame 15

4th & 20Punt+1 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 33 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 1 yd to the NDame 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.87

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 20 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Tru Wilson 27 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jahmir Smith run for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Jahmir Smith run for 7 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.43

Avery Davis run for no gain to the NDame 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Avery Davis run for 3 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys III

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Luiji Vilain for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 45 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, recovered by Mich Daxton Hill , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Tru Wilson run for 7 yds to the NDame 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Mike Sainristil 26 Yd pass from Dylan McCaffrey (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Javon McKinley for 28 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 yds

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Cole Kmet for 18 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Taylor Upshaw) to the Mich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Javon McKinley 14 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Christian Turner run for 9 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Christian Turner run for 13 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NDame 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Ben VanSumeren run for 2 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 47

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play