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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2019Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 10.3

Home Win Probability

Penn State 71%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
077721
Penn StatePenn State
7140728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-721-1428-21
Penn StateMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSPUNT628ydPUNT415ydPUNT3-1ydTD566ydDOWNS1150ydTD664ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydTO514ydTD549ydTD875ydPUNT34ydMISS523ydPUNT39ydEND1-2ydPUNT412ydPUNT624ydPUNT32ydPUNT640ydPUNT33ydTD865ydTD675ydTD975ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS1244ydEND61yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Penn State
StatisticMichiganPenn State
Passing24-4114-25
Pass Yards276182
Rush Yards141101
Total Yards417283
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-174-13
Penalties8-485-58
Possession37:4522:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
24/41, 276 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Zach Charbonnet
15 CAR, 81 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nico Collins
6 REC, 89 YDS
defense
Kwity Paye
0.5 TFL
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
14/25, 182 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ricky Slade
3 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
KJ Hamler
6 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 17 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 2 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 7 yds to the PnSt 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the PnSt 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Journey Brown run for 11 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for no gain to the PnSt 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 11

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 14

4th & 11Punt-3 yds

Will Hart punt for 49 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PnSt 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 3 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.62

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 37 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.84

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 19 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 30

2nd & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.31

Shea Patterson run for 13 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the PnSt 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the PnSt 36

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the PnSt 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.53

Ricky Slade run for 44 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

KJ Hamler run for 2 yds to the Mich 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Sean Clifford run for 10 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the Mich 5

2nd & 5Penalty+2 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Mich 3

2nd & 3Penalty+1 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Mich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Shea Patterson run for no gain to the Mich 25

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Will Hart punt for 49 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 3 yds to the PnSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 4 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 3 yds to the Mich 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Mich 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 5 yds to the Mich 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.81

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-18 ydsPPA -0.68

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Tariq Castro-Fields return for 3 yds to the Mich 43 PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Mich 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.22

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 18 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.13

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 25 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 30 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 49

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Hassan Haskins run for 10 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the PnSt 33

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 27

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mich 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 19 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the PnSt 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+58 yds

Jake Moody 58 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt+43 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 43 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 6

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Noah Cain run for 13 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the Mich 40

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.54

Noah Cain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 43

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 35 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 2 yds to the Mich 10

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Shea Patterson run for 12 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 37

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 41

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.00

Shea Patterson sacked by Garrett Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 34

4th & 13Punt+7 yds

Will Hart punt for 51 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 7 yds to the PnSt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt-6 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 60 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 17 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 6 yds to the Mich 49

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 17

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the PnSt 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Zach Charbonnet run for 14 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 11 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 9 yds to the PnSt 28

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Zach Charbonnet run for 10 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the PnSt 12

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 26

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Sean Clifford sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 24

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the PnSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 4 yds to the PnSt 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 8 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 53 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 13 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 15 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.30

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 35 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+3 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (3 Yards) to the PnSt 3

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the PnSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the PnSt 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 21

2nd & 14Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.26

Sean Clifford sacked by Cameron McGrone for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 16

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for 6 yds to the PnSt 22

4th & 13Punt+14 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 14 yds to the PnSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 14 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 6 yds to the PnSt 27

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 6 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the PnSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Shea Patterson pass complete to Erick All for 10 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the PnSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the PnSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the PnSt 10

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

KJ Hamler run for 4 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 10

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.12

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 7

3rd & 17Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.03

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 4

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
39%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th