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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2019Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 5

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 63%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
008614
WisconsinWisconsin
14147035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-035-035-835-14
WisconsinMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICMICWISMICWISMICWISMICMICWISMICWISTD1275ydTO371ydPUNT847ydPUNT35ydTD172ydPUNT611ydTD1580ydTO418ydPUNT55ydPUNT3-12ydTD243ydEND39ydPUNT521ydTD1384ydTD975ydPUNT621ydPUNT30ydMISS743ydTD869ydTO1037ydPUNT39ydTO46ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Wisconsin
StatisticMichiganWisconsin
Passing17-4213-16
Pass Yards259128
Rush Yards40359
Total Yards299487
Turnovers40
3rd Down0-115-13
Penalties3-459-69
Possession18:5341:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
14/32, 219 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dylan McCaffrey
3 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Ronnie Bell
2 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Jack Coan
13/16, 128 YDS
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
23 CAR, 203 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Garrett Groshek
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Coan run for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Coan run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Ross) to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds to the Mich 17

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Mich 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Mich 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jonathan Taylor 1 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+68 ydsPPA +3.88

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 68 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.39

Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4 Ben Mason fumbled, forced by Reggie Pearson, recovered by Wisc Eric Burrell

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 10 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Mich 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 5 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

4th & 5Punt+14 yds

Will Hart punt for 61 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 14 yds to the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Jonathan Taylor 72 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Mich 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Peoples-Jones, Donovan, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Wildgoose, Rachad) 6 yards to the MICHIGAN36, NO PLAY, PENALTY MICHIGAN unsportsmanlike conduct (Peoples-Jones, Donovan) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN21, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 11 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Christian Turner for 4 yds to the Mich 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Will Hart punt for 53 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Mason Stokke run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Wisc 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 20 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 3 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Mich 42

4th & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.85

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 26 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Mich 13

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

A.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Mich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Mich 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jack Coan run for no gain to the Mich 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Mich 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jack Coan 1 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Williams, Caesar) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -1.81

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Eric Burrell return for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 2 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 3 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Quintez Cephus) to the Mich 48

3rd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.22

Jack Coan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 47

4th & 15Punt+5 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 43 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 5 yds to the Mich 15

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 12

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Shea Patterson sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 4

3rd & 21Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.01

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 3

4th & 22Punt+5 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 5 yds to the Mich 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 18 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jack Coan 25 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Mich 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 9 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Tarik Black

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 16

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 5 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.18

Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Groshek, Garrett rush for 10 yards to the MICHIGAN27, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Seltzner, Josh) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN47, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.20

Garrett Groshek run for 23 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

John Chenal run for 3 yds to the Mich 5

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Mich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

John Chenal 2 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.37

Dylan McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Eric Burrell) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down. Eric Burrell ejected for targeting

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 13 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.08

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Sean McKeon for 18 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Dylan McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Reggie Pearson) to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST down. Reggie Pearson ejected for targeting

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Sean McKeon 6 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Shea Patterson Pass to Tarik Black for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 22

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 35

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 41 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 3 yds to the Mich 27

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for no gain to the Mich 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Will Hart punt for 58 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 11 yds to the Wisc 26

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.14

Bradrick Shaw run for 42 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Jason Erdmann) to the Mich 26

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Brady Schipper

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.86

Jack Coan sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 31

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Collin Larsh 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass complete to Collins, Nico for 36 yards to the WISCONSIN28, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Collins, Nico) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.63

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 32 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.32

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 32 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty+2 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Eubanks, Nick, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Wilder, Collin) 2 yards to the WISCONSIN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Donovan Peoples-Jones 5 Yd pass from Shea Patterson , (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

4th & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.92

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 20 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik Black

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shea Patterson pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 3 yds to the Wisc 33

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.60

Jon Runyan run for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 42 Jon Runyan fumbled, recovered by Mich Ben Bredeson

4th & 16Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +4.04

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 23 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Shea Patterson sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 16 Shea Patterson fumbled, forced by Zack Baun, recovered by Wisc Chris Orr , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 21

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Schipper run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25

4th & 1Punt+12 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 53 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 12 yds to the Mich 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joe Milton run for no gain to the Mich 34

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Joe Milton run for 6 yds to the Mich 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Hassan Haskins

4th & 4Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -0.23

Joe Milton pass intercepted John Torchio return for 9 yds to the Mich 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 47

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 48

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
21%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
48%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays