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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2019Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 17.8

Home Win Probability

Michigan 85%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
703010
MichiganMichigan
017101744

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-717-724-1027-1037-1044-10
MichiganMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMSMICMSMICPUNT617ydPUNT638ydDOWNS746ydTD960ydTD768ydPUNT926ydTD1298ydPUNT31ydFG750ydEND1-1ydTO315ydTD457ydFG1359ydFG1134ydPUNT415ydTD122ydTO222ydFG829ydTO511ydPUNT320ydTD674ydPUNT3-10ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Michigan
StatisticMichigan StateMichigan
Passing17-3024-33
Pass Yards166384
Rush Yards5483
Total Yards220467
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-138-13
Penalties7-939-91
Possession30:0529:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
17/30, 166 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Collins
12 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Cody White
6 REC, 78 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
24/33, 384 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Giles Jackson
2 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Ronnie Bell
9 REC, 150 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.73

Shea Patterson sacked by Raequan Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 9

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 8 yds to the Mich 17

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Tarik Black) to the Mich 12

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 16 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 47 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for no gain to the MchSt 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 23

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the MchSt 27 Brian Lewerke fumbled, recovered by MchSt Dominique Long

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Nelson, Laress, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hill, Daxton) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Brian Lewerke run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Carlo Kemp) to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the Mich 38

3rd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Brian Lewerke sacked by Michael Danna for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 28 yds, downed at the Mich 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Shea Patterson pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 15 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Giles Jackson run for 21 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the MchSt 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik Black, broken up by Josh Butler

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.77

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes, broken up by Lavert Hill

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Brandon Wright run for 1 yd to the MchSt 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Dominique Long

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 6 yds to the Mich 37

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.84

Brian Lewerke run for 7 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Max Rosenthal for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 15 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.77

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the MICHIGAN 44 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Shakur Brown) to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 8 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 18 yds to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 24

2nd & 11Penalty+16 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Aidan Hutchinson) to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 20 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cody White) to the MchSt 48

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Luke Campbell) to the MchSt 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Wright run for 2 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Wright run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.32

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 10 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the MchSt 49

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Mich 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 47 yds, downed at the Mich 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 5

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 16

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Shea Patterson run for 15 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 18 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Charbonnet run for 14 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Shea Patterson pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 6 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Brown, Shakur) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Seybert

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Tre Mosley

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Shea Patterson run for no gain to the Mich 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.83

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 42 yds to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the MchSt 10

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the MchSt 10

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik Black, broken up by Shakur Brown

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.55

Quinn Nordin 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Barnett, Julian, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer (Paye, Kwity) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brian Lewerke run for no gain to the MchSt 40

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.36

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Ambry Thomas return for 4 yds to the Mich 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.37

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 19 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 20 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 18 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Tre Mosley

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the MchSt 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Julian Barnett run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.03

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 20 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 8 yds to the Mich 23

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Mich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 1 yd to the Mich 17

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the Mich 16

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Trenton Gillison

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.28

Matt Coghlin 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Giles Jackson run for 11 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 27 yds to the MICHIGAN 23 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tarik Black) to the MchSt 38

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.10

Shea Patterson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 13 yards to the MICHIGAN 49 MICHIGAN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Shea Patterson) to the Mich 49

2nd & 23Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tru Wilson for 3 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 20Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +4.03

Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 27 yds to the MchSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 19

3rd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.97

Shea Patterson sacked by Antjuan Simmons for a loss of 12 yards to the MchSt 31

4th & 20Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +2.25

Quinn Nordin 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 7 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (AJ Arcuri) to the MchSt 40

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Khaleke Hudson blocked by Khaleke Hudson

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 22 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 22 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -2.90

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Lavert Hill return for 5 yds to the MchSt 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the MchSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Shea Patterson run for 8 yds to the MchSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the MchSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.93

Shea Patterson sacked by Drew Beesley for a loss of 11 yards to the MchSt 32 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Mich

2nd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.79

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 15 yds to the MchSt 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.65

Quinn Nordin 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 7 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Dominique Long

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

4th & 10Punt+50 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 35 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 50 yds to the MchSt 21 Donovan Peoples-Jones fumbled, recovered by MchSt

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Brian Lewerke sacked by Jordan Glasgow and Carlo Kemp for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 7 yds to the MchSt 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 5 yds to the MchSt 41

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mich 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.46

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jacub Panasiuk) to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Tru Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 39

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.88

Shea Patterson pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 39 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the MchSt 15

2nd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.37

Brian Lewerke sacked by Carlo Kemp for a loss of 11 yards to the MchSt 4

3rd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.01

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for no gain to the MchSt 4

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 47

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 44

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
20%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
14%
14 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
29 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
69%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play