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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2019Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 5

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 38%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
7147028
Michigan StateMichigan State
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-130-217-28
Michigan StatePenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSPSMSMSPSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSPUNT37ydPUNT39ydTD862ydPUNT725ydTD1386ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydMISS1559ydDOWNS410ydTD445ydEND930ydPUNT613ydTO35ydTD16ydTD875ydTO515ydTO10ydPUNT64ydTO937ydPUNT641ydPUNT38ydPUNT321ydDOWNS35ydPUNT30ydPUNT723ydPUNT36ydTO10ydEND422yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Michigan State
StatisticPenn StateMichigan State
Passing18-3219-43
Pass Yards189182
Rush Yards11383
Total Yards302265
Turnovers14
3rd Down4-145-17
Penalties9-1044-31
Possession31:4028:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
18/32, 189 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Journey Brown
12 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Pat Freiermuth
5 REC, 60 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
16/34, 165 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Collins
17 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Cody White
3 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the PnSt 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the PnSt 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 2 yds to the PnSt 26

4th & 3Punt+58 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 58 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 38 yds, downed at the PnSt 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the PnSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 15 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Noah Cain run for 8 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the MchSt 35

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Clifford run for no gain to the MchSt 30

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the MchSt 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 10 yds to the MchSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 16 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 8 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Dotson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Elijah Collins

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 26 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 14

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Journey Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 13

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Shakur Brown) to the PnSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the PnSt 32

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Journey Brown run for 7 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Journey Brown run for 10 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 6 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 9 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Journey Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Daniel George

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Sean Clifford run for 14 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

KJ Hamler run for 4 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 19 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Laress Nelson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 7Punt+36 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the MICHIGANST 31 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the PnSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the PnSt 41

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 2 yds to the MchSt 13

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Brian Lewerke run for 12 yds to the MchSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Wright run for 4 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Brandon Wright run for 1 yd to the MchSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 11 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Laress Nelson for 3 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 7Penalty+14 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the PnSt 36

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the PnSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Brandon Sowards

4th & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.23

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 9 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the PnSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion-11 ydsPPA -2.62

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr. MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-11 Yards) to the PnSt 35

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brian Lewerke run for no gain to the PnSt 35

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 7 yds to the PnSt 28

4th & 11Blocked Field Goal+8 yds

Matt Coghlin 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shaka Toney Keaton Ellis return for 8 yds to the PnSt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the MchSt 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.02

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Devyn Ford run for 16 yds to the MchSt 28 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 11 yds to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 27 yds for a TD, (S. Clifford Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 9 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Seybert

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 5 yds to the MchSt 44

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Trenton Gillison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 7 yds to the PnSt 44

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Brian Lewerke sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 46 Brian Lewerke fumbled, recovered by MchSt

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Elijah Collins run for 9 yds to the MchSt 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Max Rosenthal for 3 yds to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 6 yds to the PnSt 43

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.05

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by PnSt

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the PnSt 45

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for no gain to the MchSt 6 Brandon Sowards fumbled, recovered by PnSt

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 6 yds to the MchSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Seybert

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.02

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 10 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.41

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 49 yds to the PnSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Anthony Williams Jr.

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Ricky Slade run for 9 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sean Clifford pass intercepted David Dowell return for no gain to the MchSt 32

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.48

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Marquis Wilson return for no gain to the MchSt 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the MchSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Devyn Ford run for no gain to the MchSt 35

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Sean Clifford sacked by Mike Panasiuk for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 42

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 19 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.12

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 14 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Brian Lewerke run for 7 yds to the PnSt 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 6 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Dotson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Elijah Collins

3rd & 10Sack+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Brian Lewerke sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 24 Brian Lewerke fumbled, recovered by PnSt Ellis Brooks , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 40 PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the PnSt 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Journey Brown run for no gain to the PnSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.05

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 38 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 34 yds, downed at the MchSt 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the MchSt 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Matt Dotson for 5 yds to the MchSt 9

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 55 yds, downed at the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.10

Ricky Slade run for 27 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.86

Sean Clifford sacked by Antjuan Simmons for a loss of 6 yards to the MchSt 43

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 35 yds, downed at the MchSt 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Brandon Sowards

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Elijah Collins

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the MchSt 13

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 44 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 22 PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the PnSt 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for no gain to the PnSt 37

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 6 yds to the MchSt 21

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Theo Day pass complete to Tre Mosley for 8 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Theo Day run for no gain to the MchSt 44

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.40

Theo Day pass complete to Julian Barnett for 4 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MchSt

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 5 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the MchSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the MchSt 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-44 ydsPPA -0.56

Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Jaquan Brisker return for 29 yds to the MchSt 49 PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MchSt 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Journey Brown run for 5 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Journey Brown run for 5 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Journey Brown run for 11 yds to the MchSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the MchSt 12

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
31%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play