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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 73%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
00000
WisconsinWisconsin
71002138

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-024-038-0
WisconsinMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISMSWISMSWISMSWISMSWISMSWISMSWISMSMSWISMSWISMSWISMSWISPUNT3-6ydPUNT38ydTD1175ydPUNT35ydTD875ydPUNT613ydFG1452ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydEND2-6ydPUNT1239ydTD1592ydTD35ydPUNT54ydTD166ydPUNT30ydPUNT741ydPUNT36ydPUNT36ydTO737ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Wisconsin
StatisticMichigan StateWisconsin
Passing12-3018-21
Pass Yards119180
Rush Yards30222
Total Yards149402
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-146-13
Penalties5-401-10
Possession20:5039:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Rocky Lombardi
5/14, 66 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyriq Thompson
1 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Darrell Stewart Jr.
5 REC, 59 YDS
defense
Antjuan Simmons
1 TFL, 1 PD
Wisconsin
passing
Jack Coan
18/21, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
26 CAR, 80 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jake Ferguson
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Chris Orr
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 9 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Taylor, J. rush for 8 yards to the MSU41 (Bachie, Joe), PENALTY WIS holding (Erdmann, Jason) 10 yards to the WIS41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.29

Jack Coan run for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 33 Jack Coan fumbled, recovered by Wisc Jack Coan

3rd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36

4th & 16Punt+52 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 35 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the MchSt 11

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 9

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 10 yds to the MchSt 19

4th & 2Punt+5 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 61 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 5 yds to the Wisc 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.29

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the MchSt 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.05

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 27 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Danny Davis III at the Wisc 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Taylor, J. rush for 5 yards to the WIS38 (Simmons, A.), PENALTY MSU offside (Panasiuk, Mike) 5 yards to the WIS38, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 5 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

John Chenal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.05

Nakia Watson run for 19 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the MchSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 19 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the MchSt 24

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brian Lewerke run for no gain to the MchSt 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 5 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr., broken up by Eric Burrell

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wisc 37

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 45

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Ferguson, Jake, PENALTY MSU offside (Willekes, Kenny) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jack Coan pass incomplete, broken up by Antjuan Simmons

4th & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.22

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the MchSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Coan pass complete to John Chenal for 1 yd to the MchSt 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the MchSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for no gain to the MchSt 11

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.57

Collin Larsh 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 29 , Danny Davis III returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 3 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Wisc 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 7 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 24

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Danny Davis III at the Wisc 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 46

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Jack Coan sacked by Jacub Panasiuk for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 39 Jack Coan fumbled, recovered by Wisc Cole Van Lanen , return for 0 yards

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 37

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.05

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 33 Brian Lewerke fumbled, recovered by MchSt Brian Lewerke

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the MchSt 38

4th & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.74

Tyriq Thompson run for 20 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cody White run for no gain to the Wisc 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 11 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.77

Brian Lewerke sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 35

2nd & 18Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.74

Brian Lewerke sacked by Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 39

3rd & 22Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 44

3rd & 27Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 8 yds to the Wisc 36

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wisc 8

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

John Chenal run for 9 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.20

Aron Cruickshank run for 5 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.11

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 18 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the MchSt 20

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.48

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 21 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete, broken up by Isaiahh Loudermilk

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown-34 ydsPPA -7.26

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted for a TD Zack Baun return for 34 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 6 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Matt Dotson, broken up by Chris Orr

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.13

Rocky Lombardi run for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 29 Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by MchSt Rocky Lombardi

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cody White

4th & 18Punt+2 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds , Danny Davis III returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Kendric Pryor run for 66 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes, broken up by Mike Maskalunas

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 54 yds, downed at the Wisc 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Nakia Watson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

John Chenal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Aron Cruickshank run for 23 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

John Chenal run for 2 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Adam Krumholz

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the MchSt 13

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 8

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cody White for 8 yds to the MchSt 16

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Danny Davis III at the Wisc 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 43

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to White, Cody, PENALTY MSU pass interference (White, Cody) 15 yards to the MSU28, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

3rd & 25Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.76

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cody White for 19 yds to the MchSt 47

4th & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.60

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 18 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 15 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -4.01

Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Rachad Wildgoose return for 11 yds to the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 11

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play