Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 16.3

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 82%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
0100010
Ohio StateOhio State
3240734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-717-1027-1034-10
Ohio StateMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSPUNT3-16ydTO211ydMISS47ydTO22ydFG40ydPUNT828ydPUNT725ydPUNT515ydTD586ydTD575ydTD775ydFG949ydTD375ydPUNT35ydFG1045ydEND1-2ydMISS966ydTO651ydPUNT32ydPUNT511ydPUNT66ydTD1180ydPUNT523ydTO621ydTO10ydPUNT33ydPUNT820ydEND346yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Ohio State
StatisticMichigan StateOhio State
Passing20-3817-25
Pass Yards218206
Rush Yards67323
Total Yards285529
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-138-15
Penalties4-3010-85
Possession28:2331:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
20/38, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Collins
12 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Darrell Stewart Jr.
6 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ohio State
passing
Justin Fields
17/25, 206 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
J.K. Dobbins
24 CAR, 172 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Binjimen Victor
3 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke Farrell

3rd & 8Sack-18 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Fields sacked by Joe Bachie for a loss of 18 yards to the OhSt 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Drue Chrisman punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.38

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 9 yds Cody White fumbled, forced by Damon Arnette, recovered by OhSt Malik Harrison , return for 22 yds to the MchSt 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Davis) to the MchSt 30

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 20

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Blake Haubeil 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 23

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 22 Brian Lewerke fumbled, recovered by OhSt Davon Hamilton

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd to the MchSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for no gain to the MchSt 21

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Justin Fields sacked by Joe Bachie for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 22

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.37

Blake Haubeil 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Elijah Collins

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Brian Lewerke run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Brian Lewerke pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 1 yd to the MchSt 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.87

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 42 yds, downed at the OhSt 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 5

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 9

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 15 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jonah Jackson) to the OhSt 14

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kevin Jarvis) to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen Victor

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Drue Chrisman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 9 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Anthony Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 33

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Matt Carrick) to the MchSt 28

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 11 yds to the MchSt 39

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 15

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 10 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

J.K. Dobbins run for 13 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 60 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Brian Lewerke run for 13 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.90

Elijah Collins run for 23 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 19 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 2 yds to the OhSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.76

Justin Fields run for 35 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 9 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Fields run for 13 yds to the MchSt 11 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 21

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.33

Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 21 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marcus Hooker) to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Brian Lewerke sacked by Chase Young and Zach Harrison for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 38

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 42

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.44

Brian Lewerke pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 16 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 4 yds to the OhSt 38

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Elijah Collins) to the OhSt 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.72

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 18 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 2 yds to the OhSt 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the OhSt 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Coghlin 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd to the OhSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

J.K. Dobbins run for 67 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 4 yds to the OhSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Fields pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.79

Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 19 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin Mack

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 7 yds to the MchSt 24

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Binjimen Victor) to the MchSt 29

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 26

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.17

Blake Haubeil 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Elijah Collins run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 18 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.41

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 19 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Cody White run for 11 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 7 yds to the OhSt 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Matt Coghlin 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.42

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 23 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Justin Fields run for 18 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-34 ydsPPA -4.21

Justin Fields pass intercepted Josiah Scott return for 34 yds to the MchSt 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 2 yds to the MchSt 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 8

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Master Teague III run for no gain to the OhSt 14

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 15

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. Hill

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Drue Chrisman punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Brian Lewerke sacked by Jashon Cornell for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.82

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 15 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Cody White run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 49

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.89

Brian Lewerke sacked by Baron Browning for a loss of 9 yards to the MchSt 40

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.47

Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 12 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.14

J.K. Dobbins run for 29 yds to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 15

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Justin Fields run for 9 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Fields run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 18 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Shaun Wade) to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass complete to White, Cody for 18 yards to the OHIOST29, PENALTY MICHIGANST illegal formation 5 yards to the MICHIGANST48, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Master Teague III run for 9 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Master Teague III run for 13 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Master Teague III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 38

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Justin Fields sacked by Mike Panasiuk for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 34 Justin Fields fumbled, recovered by MchSt Drew Beesley , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-41 ydsPPA -3.81

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Jordan Fuller return for 26 yds to the OhSt 8 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the OhSt 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Master Teague III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Drue Chrisman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Julian Barnett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 9 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Elijah Collins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 9 yds to the OhSt 49

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

Williams Jr., Anthony rush for 2 yards to the OHIOST47, PENALTY OHIOST substitution infraction 5 yards to the OHIOST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Julian Barnett

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.60

Brian Lewerke sacked by Shaun Wade for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 49

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.25

Master Teague III run for 41 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Branden Bowen) to the MchSt 44

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the MchSt 34

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
30 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
15 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
29%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play