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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2019Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 53%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
7710731
NorthwesternNorthwestern
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-73-143-213-243-3110-31
NorthwesternMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSNORNORMSNORMSNORMSNORMSNORMSNORNORMSNORMSNORMSNORMSNORMSNORMSNORMSTD975ydTO30ydDOWNS824ydPUNT517ydFG1243ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydTO427ydPUNT30ydTO1231ydTD1162ydEND119ydPUNT38ydMISS1137ydPUNT35ydTD1053ydPUNT36ydFG846ydTO42ydTD322ydTO1041ydPUNT30ydTD963ydPUNT33ydDOWNS720ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Northwestern
StatisticMichigan StateNorthwestern
Passing18-3119-37
Pass Yards228126
Rush Yards109139
Total Yards337265
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-158-20
Penalties5-473-25
Possession28:1431:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
18/31, 228 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Elijah Collins
17 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darrell Stewart Jr.
5 REC, 77 YDS
defense
Joe Bachie
2 TFL, 2 PD
Northwestern
passing
Hunter Johnson
15/26, 88 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Drake Anderson
17 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ben Skowronek
3 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 12 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.60

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 29 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 9 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.90

Hunter Johnson sacked by Joe Bachie for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 26

2nd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 4 yds to the Nwest 35

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 44 yds , Cody White returns for 6 yds to the MchSt 27 Cody White fumbled, recovered by Nwest

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Penalty+3 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hunter Johnson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 17

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Hunter Johnson run for 10 yds to the MchSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the MchSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the MchSt 1

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Hunter Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 3

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Brian Lewerke sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 13

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 8

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 14

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the MchSt 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nwest 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 18 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Drake Anderson for 2 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 5 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.10

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 33

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 21

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the MchSt 21

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.60

Charlie Kuhbander 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MchSt 27

1st & 25Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 22

2nd & 30Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the MchSt 27

3rd & 25Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.60

Brian Lewerke pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 18 yds to the MchSt 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 15

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 17

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 16

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 3 yds to the Nwest 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 42 yds, downed at the MchSt 39

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 39

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.26

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 31

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for 11 yds to the MchSt 42

4th & 7Punt+11 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 53 yds , Riley Lees returns for 11 yds to the Nwest 16

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.53

Isaiah Bowser run for 21 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 6 yds to the Nwest 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 26 yds , Cody White returns for no gain to the MchSt 31 Cody White fumbled, recovered by MchSt

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Hunter Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 6 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

Hunter Johnson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the Nwest 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.92

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Johnson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 48

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.15

Hunter Johnson pass intercepted Josiah Scott return for no gain to the MchSt 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 18 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 9 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Connor Heyward run for 9 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.81

Brian Lewerke sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 32

3rd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.48

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 21 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.77

TEAM run for 19 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 33

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 38 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 12 yds to the MchSt 41

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the Nwest 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.80

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Nwest 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Matt Coghlin 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+14 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 40 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 14 yds to the MchSt 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 9 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 11 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.25

Elijah Collins run for 13 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 9 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-3 yds

Connor Heyward run for 6 yds to the Nwest 1 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Nwest 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Nwest 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hunter Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Daniel Kubiuk punt for 23 yds, downed at the MchSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 15 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the Nwest 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 4 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.77

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 27 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brian Lewerke run for no gain to the Nwest 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for no gain to the Nwest 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Coghlin 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Aidan Smith pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 8 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.97

Aidan Smith sacked by Raequan Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 27

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Cody White run for 13 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Heyward run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 4 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Aidan Smith run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.08

Drake Anderson run for 15 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.37

Drake Anderson run for 14 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aidan Smith run for a loss of 12 yards to the MchSt 30 Aidan Smith fumbled, recovered by Nwest Aidan Smith Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jace James run for 5 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Aidan Smith pass incomplete

4th & 13Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -2.01

Aidan Smith pass intercepted Joe Bachie return for 19 yds to the MchSt 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Anthony Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 35

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the MchSt 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 29 yds, downed at the Nwest 36

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Drake Anderson run for 11 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Nwest 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Aidan Smith pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 20 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Drake Anderson run for 17 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Aidan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.23

Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 5

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the MchSt 6

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the MchSt 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the MchSt 28

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Aidan Smith run for 5 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Aidan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Aidan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Drake Anderson run for 9 yds to the MchSt 14

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.90

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 15

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 12

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
47%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
62%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays