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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 20.1

Home Win Probability

Iowa 88%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
00303
IowaIowa
177101448

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-017-024-027-334-341-348-3
IowaMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWMTIOWMTIOWMTIOWMTIOWMTIOWMTMTIOWMTIOWMTIOWMTIOWMTTD965ydPUNT3-1ydFG944ydPUNT38ydTD571ydPUNT620ydTD981ydPUNT632ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-5ydMISS1378ydEND111ydPUNT54ydFG555ydFG1349ydTD780ydPUNT34ydTD1072ydPUNT717ydTD1379ydEND25yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Iowa
StatisticMiddle TennesseeIowa
Passing17-2720-29
Pass Yards136293
Rush Yards80351
Total Yards216644
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-1210-16
Penalties8-723-20
Possession24:0335:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Asher O'Hara
15/22, 110 YDS
rushing
Asher O'Hara
10 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Jarrin Pierce
6 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Nathan Stanley
17/25, 276 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Toren Young
11 CAR, 131 YDS
receiving
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
3 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 9 yds to the Iowa 44

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.46

Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.45

Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 19 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

[SG], O'HARA, Asher pass complete to MARSHALL, Jimmy for 6 yards to the MT31 (Niemann,Nick), PENALTY MT illegal block (GILCHRIST, Will) 12 yards to the MT13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee

3rd & 22Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.07

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 11 yds to the MTnSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 51 yds, downed at the Iowa 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Smith,Brandon, PENALTY IOWA illegal shift (Paulsen,Levi) 5 yards to the IOWA20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 10 yds to the Iowa 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the Iowa 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Nate Stanley run for 10 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 49

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Toren Young run for 16 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SG], Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Wieting,Nate, PENALTY IOWA holding (Banwart,Cole) 10 yards to the MT45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Mekhi Sargent run for 18 yds to the MTnSt 27

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Toren Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 31

4th & 6Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.74

Keith Duncan 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Asher O'Hara sacked by Cedrick Lattimore for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 8 yds to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 29

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Sargent,Mekhi rush right for 17 yards to the IOWA46, out-of-bounds (ROSS, Teldrick), PENALTY IOWA illegal block off-setting, PENALTY MT face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Mekhi Sargent run for 12 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for no gain to the Iowa 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.08

Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 33 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 18 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Terelle West run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Asher O'Hara run for 15 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

[SG], O'HARA, Asher pass complete to WINDHAM, CJ for 7 yards to the IOWA38, out-of-bounds (Johnson,D.J.), PENALTY MT holding (JONES, Robert) 10 yards to the MT45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Chaton Mobley

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 19

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Toren Young run for 18 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 43

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Toren Young run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.97

Nate Stanley sacked by Tyshun Render for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 48

2nd & 20Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.72

Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 38 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Toren Young run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 11

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 5

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.55

Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brady Ross run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jayy McDonald run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Jayy McDonald run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.03

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 21 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brad Anderson run for no gain to the Iowa 45 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the Iowa 40

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

[SG], PENALTY MT false start (HARRIS, Luke) 5 yards to the IOWA45, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 8

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 2

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 7

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the Iowa 41

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

DJ England-Chisolm run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 45

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 7 yds to the Iowa 38

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.30

Asher O'Hara sacked by Daviyon Nixon for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 46 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, tripping ( Yards) declined

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 45 yds, downed at the Iowa 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 4

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Stanley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 5

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.00

Nate Stanley pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 27 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 12 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Shaun Beyer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.95

Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 14 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Keith Duncan 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Jayy McDonald run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 6 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 9 yds to the MTnSt 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by A.J. Epenesa

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

[SG], O'HARA, Asher rush up middle for 2 yards to the MT49 (Lattimore,C.), PENALTY MT holding (OWENS, Angelo) 10 yards to the MT37, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Penalty-15 yds

[SG], O'HARA, Asher pass complete to ALI, Yusuf for 13 yards to the 50 yardline (Ojemudia,M.), PENALTY MT pass interference (PIERCE, Jarrin) 15 yards to the MT22, NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 21

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.59

Toren Young run for 52 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Toren Young run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.22

Keith Duncan 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Brad Anderson run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 42

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brad Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 9 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 5 yds to the Iowa 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to DJ England-Chisolm

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 8 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the Iowa 27

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the Iowa 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Terelle West for no gain to the Iowa 21

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

[SG], PENALTY MT false start (WINDHAM, CJ) 5 yards to the IOWA26, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ Windham

4th & 11Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.85

Crews Holt 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Toren Young run for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Shaun Beyer

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 13 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.06

Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 33 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 14 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 5 yds to the MTnSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 42

2nd & 2Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.46

Nate Stanley sacked by Rakavian Poydras for a loss of 11 yards to the Iowa 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.87

Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 35 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 10

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 10 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 14 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to DJ England-Chisolm

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Isiah Upton for 12 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Jayy McDonald run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 48

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chase Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

[SG], MCDONALD, Jayy rush up middle for 17 yards to the IOWA31 (Harris, Jermari), PENALTY MT holding (LUCKETT, Amir) 10 yards to the MT42, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to DJ England-Chisolm

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 21

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.15

Tyler Goodson run for 25 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Spencer Petras pass complete to Oliver Martin for 4 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 36

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 37

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.35

Tyler Goodson run for 27 yds to the MTnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Monte Pottebaum run for no gain to the MTnSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Turner Pallissard run for no gain to the MTnSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayy McDonald run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jayy McDonald run for no gain to the MTnSt 30

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
22 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
63%
32 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play