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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2019Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 13.2

Home Win Probability

Illinois 78%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
3771229
IllinoisIllinois
073010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-1010-1710-2310-29
IllinoisNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLPUNT727ydPUNT30ydFG1345ydPUNT32ydTO46ydTD439ydTD1575ydPUNT3-16ydDOWNS822ydEND15ydMISS1136ydTD669ydFG1440ydTD783ydPUNT31ydMISS967ydTO416ydTD836ydTO537yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Illinois
StatisticNorthwesternIllinois
Passing6-1011-23
Pass Yards55146
Rush Yards37814
Total Yards433160
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-164-11
Penalties3-235-40
Possession41:4818:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Andrew Marty
6/10, 55 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Coco Azema
7 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Riley Lees
5 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Illinois
passing
Matt Robinson
8/17, 108 YDS
rushing
Dre Brown
5 CAR, 17 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Reams
5 REC, 57 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Andrew Marty pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Andrew Marty pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Nwest 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Andrew Marty pass complete to Riley Lees for no gain to the Nwest 40

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Andrew Marty run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andrew David punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 20

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Robinson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+21 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 40 , Riley Lees returns for 21 yds to the Nwest 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.11

Drake Anderson run for 12 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Illin 40

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Coco Azema run for 4 yds to the Illin 36

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Andrew Marty run for 5 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Illin 24

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Andrew Marty run for 9 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Illin 18 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by Stanley Green, recovered by Nwest Sam Gerak

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Illin 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Trey Pugh

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.18

Charlie Kuhbander 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 21

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt Robinson run for 6 yds to the Illin 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 51 yds , Berkeley Holman returns for 13 yds to the Illin 40 ILLINOIS Penalty, ball on NU40, PENALTY personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Illin 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Illin 45

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 47

3rd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Andrew Marty run for 8 yds to the Illin 39

4th & 4Pass Interception Return-29 ydsPPA -1.74

Andrew Marty pass intercepted Nate Hobbs return for 29 yds to the Nwest 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Donny Navarro, broken up by Trent Goens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.44

Matt Robinson pass complete to Caleb Reams for 29 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt Robinson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Dre Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Andrew Marty run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Drake Anderson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Andrew Marty run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Andrew Marty pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 8 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Andrew Marty run for 4 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Coco Azema run for 6 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Coco Azema run for 3 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jace James run for 1 yd to the Illin 18

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Raymond Niro III run for 4 yds to the Illin 14

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.64

Andrew Marty run for 2 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Andrew Marty run for 12 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Illin 36

3rd & 9Sack-17 ydsPPA -0.63

Matt Robinson sacked by Paddy Fisher for a loss of 17 yards to the Illin 19 ILLINOIS Penalty, intentional grounding (Matt Robinson) to the Illin 19

4th & 26Punt+4 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , Berkeley Holman returns for 4 yds to the Nwest 43

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Andrew Marty run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 42

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Raymond Niro III run for 8 yds to the Illin 49

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.73

Andrew Marty run for 9 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Marty, Andrew pass incomplete to Lees, Riley, PENALTY NU ineligible downfield on pass (Slater, Rashawn) 5 yards to the ILL45, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Malik Washington, broken up by Delano Ware

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Andrew Marty run for 7 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Illin 35

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Jace James

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dre Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 30

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.65

Matt Robinson pass complete to Caleb Reams for 13 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.89

Matt Robinson pass complete to Casey Washington for 20 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Matt Robinson pass complete to Casey Washington for 11 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Matt Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Nwest 31

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+49 yds

James McCourt 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Coco Azema run for 16 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Andrew Marty run for 7 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Coco Azema run for 8 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Illin 34

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.60

Andrew Marty pass complete to Riley Lees for 34 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Matt Robinson run for 9 yds to the Illin 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Matt Robinson pass complete to Caleb Reams for 7 yds to the Illin 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.35

Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Robinson pass complete to Caleb Reams for 4 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.94

Matt Robinson pass complete to Casey Washington for 15 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Matt Robinson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Matt Robinson sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 32

4th & 13Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +1.66

James McCourt 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Andrew Marty pass complete to Riley Lees for 3 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 1Rush+62 ydsPPA +4.00

Coco Azema run for 62 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Andrew Marty run for 2 yds to the Illin 10

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Illin 10

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Marty, Andrew pass intercepted by Green,Stanley at the ILL0, Green,Stanley return to the ILL0, touchback, PENALTY ILL personal foul (Shogbonyo,Ayo) 5 yards to the ILL5, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Andrew Marty run for 4 yds to the Illin 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Matt Robinson pass complete to Casey Washington for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -3.12

Matt Robinson sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 15

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

Azema, Coco rush for 5 yards to the NU20 (Gay,Isaiah), PENALTY NU holding (Pugh, Trey) 7 yards to the NU8, NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 12

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 19

3rd & 6Rush+54 ydsPPA +4.35

Raymond Niro III run for 39 yds to the ILLINOIS 42 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Sydney Brown) to the Illin 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Andrew Marty run for 7 yds to the Illin 20

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.15

Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Illin 12

3rd & 7Penalty-11 yds

James, Jace rush for loss of 3 yards to the ILL15 (Green,Stanley), PENALTY NU holding (Pugh, Trey) 11 yards to the ILL23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Raymond Niro III run for 5 yds to the Illin 18

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Charlie Kuhbander 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Illin 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Caleb Reams for 4 yds to the Illin 29

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 36 Isaiah Williams fumbled, forced by Trent Goens, recovered by Nwest Bryce Jackson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Illin 36

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Illin 35

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Andrew Marty run for 4 yds to the Illin 31

4th & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.90

Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Illin 25

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Illin 25

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Illin 24

4th & 8Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.33

Coco Azema run for 24 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Daniel Barker for 9 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.90

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for 25 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.95

Isaiah Williams pass intercepted, touchback. A.J. Hampton return for no gain

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play