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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 15.2

Home Win Probability

Illinois 15%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
141401442
IllinoisIllinois
0710825

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-210-2810-2817-2825-3525-42
IllinoisMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICPUNT37ydTD565ydPUNT35ydMISS1165ydPUNT728ydTD470ydPUNT710ydTD17ydPUNT34ydTO559ydPUNT33ydTD580ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT31ydTD667ydEND312ydPUNT3-5ydFG1031ydDOWNS726ydTD1580ydTO211ydTD636ydTD1079ydTO1-5ydDOWNS48ydTO2-11ydTD11ydPUNT3-5ydEND744yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Illinois
StatisticMichiganIllinois
Passing11-2216-29
Pass Yards194192
Rush Yards29564
Total Yards489256
Turnovers22
3rd Down4-103-13
Penalties7-5410-95
Possession29:4730:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
11/22, 194 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Hassan Haskins
12 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
3 REC, 98 YDS
defense
Jordan Glasgow
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Illinois
passing
Matt Robinson
16/25, 192 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dre Brown
8 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Imatorbhebhe
5 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Matt Robinson run for 7 yds to the Illin 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 33 yds, downed at the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Zach Charbonnet run for 16 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.09

Hassan Haskins run for 29 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 22

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Dominic Stampley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mich 18

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.34

Zach Charbonnet run for 18 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Zach Charbonnet run for 16 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 10 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Tru Wilson run for 14 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Penalty-16 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ben Mason) to the Illin 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ben Mason

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Charbonnet

3rd & 26Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Illin 21

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Illin 16

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Quinn Nordin 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Dre Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Dre Brown run for 15 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dre Brown run for no gain to the Illin 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.05

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 12 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Donny Navarro run for 6 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Vederian Lowe) to the Mich 41

2nd & 9Sack-16 ydsPPA -1.85

Matt Robinson sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 16 yards to the ILLINOIS 43 ILLINOIS Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Illin 43

3rd & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Matt Robinson pass complete to Justice Williams for 5 yds to the Illin 48

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 30

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.55

Hassan Haskins run for 28 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Shea Patterson pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 25 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.07

Matt Robinson pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 13 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 30

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 48 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 38

1st & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Matt Robinson pass complete to Donny Navarro for 7 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.55

Matt Robinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 39

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Matt Robinson pass incomplete

4th & 16Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Jordan Glasgow for a 1ST down blocked by Jordan Glasgow for a 1ST down for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Illin 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 70 yds, downed at the Mich 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 5 yds to the Mich 6

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 22 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -3.16

Zach Charbonnet run for 10 yds to the Illin 40 Zach Charbonnet fumbled, recovered by Illin Stanley Green

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 38

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tru Wilson run for no gain to the Mich 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+71 ydsPPA +4.52

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 71 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tru Wilson run for 6 yds to the Illin 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tru Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 27

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Williams sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 54 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 3 yds to the Mich 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Mich 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Illin 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 18 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Matt Robinson pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 4 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Matt Robinson pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 6 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Carlo Kemp) to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 23 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Mich 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Zach Charbonnet run for 9 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 21 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Mich Shea Patterson

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik Black

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 43 yds, downed at the Illin 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Robinson pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 4 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.33

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 14 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Matt Robinson run for 7 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Matt Robinson run for 9 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 32

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Robinson pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +1.97

James McCourt 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 9 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Christian Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 49

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach Charbonnet

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Matt Robinson pass complete to Donny Navarro for 9 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Ra'Von Bonner run for 12 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Illin 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Reggie Corbin

3rd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.39

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 35 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Mich 11

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Mich 9

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Matt Robinson run for no gain to the Mich 9

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Matt Robinson pass complete to Donny Navarro for 2 yds to the Mich 7

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Mich 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Mich 3

3rd & 3Penalty+2 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the Mich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Mich 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Matt Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Tru Wilson run for 6 yds to the Mich 36 Tru Wilson fumbled, recovered by Illin

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dominic Stampley run for 3 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.70

Matt Robinson pass complete to Casey Washington for 20 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 23

1st & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.29

Matt Robinson pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 19 yds to the Mich 4

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dre Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (D. Brown Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 12 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Shea Patterson run for 10 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 18 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Illin 19

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Shea Patterson run for 6 yds to the Illin 13

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.71

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Matt Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 20 Matt Robinson fumbled, recovered by Mich Jordan Glasgow

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Illin 12

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.90

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Illin 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Matt Robinson pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 1 yd to the Illin 13

2nd & 9Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.34

Matt Robinson sacked by Trente Jones for a loss of 12 yards to the Illin 1 Matt Robinson fumbled, recovered by Mich Carlo Kemp , return for 0 yards

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Robinson sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.29

Hassan Haskins run for 24 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Hassan Haskins run for 14 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 13

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 16

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
35 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
27%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play