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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 24.3

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 93%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
737017
MinnesotaMinnesota
313141040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-710-716-723-1030-1037-1740-17
MinnesotaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINILLPUNT620ydPUNT518ydPUNT35ydTD418ydPUNT831ydTO34ydFG43ydPUNT620ydTD485ydPUNT514ydPUNT417ydMISS745ydTD675ydFG947ydEND1-1ydTD475ydPUNT39ydTD665ydPUNT934ydTD45ydTD875ydPUNT35ydPUNT414ydDOWNS831ydFG932ydEND619yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Minnesota
StatisticIllinoisMinnesota
Passing20-399-17
Pass Yards157155
Rush Yards91332
Total Yards248487
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-172-10
Penalties8-804-25
Possession24:1635:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Matt Robinson
15/29, 125 YDS
rushing
Reggie Corbin
14 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Trevon Sidney
5 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
9/17, 155 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rodney Smith
24 CAR, 211 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashod Bateman
2 REC, 71 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.18

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 11 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Peters run for 3 yds to the Minn 40 Brandon Peters fumbled, forced by Kamal Martin, recovered by Illin Richie Petitbon

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Minn 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 45 yds , Kyron Cumby returns for 5 yds to the Illin 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.56

Shannon Brooks run for 11 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 28

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-40 ydsPPA -7.35

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Dele Harding return for 40 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Illin 49

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rodney Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, downed at the Illin 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe, broken up by Coney Durr

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 9

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-13 ydsPPA +0.22

Brandon Peters pass intercepted Austin Winfield return for 13 yds to the Illin 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Illin 8

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 9

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.72

Michael Lantz 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brandon Peters pass complete to Kyron Cumby for no gain to the Illin 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 4 yds to the Illin 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.62

Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 13 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 4 yds to the Minn 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 33 yds, downed at the Minn 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 3Rush+64 ydsPPA +3.62

Rodney Smith run for 64 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Matt Robinson run for 4 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Robinson,Matt pass incomplete to Smalling,Ricky, dropped pass, PENALTY ILL ineligible downfield on pass (Kramer,Doug) 5 yards to the ILL31, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.82

Matt Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 28 Matt Robinson fumbled, recovered by Illin Matt Robinson

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Matt Robinson run for 11 yds to the Illin 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Benjamin St-Juste

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds, downed at the Minn 13

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Rodney Smith run for 16 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kyron Cumby at the Illin 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Reggie Corbin run for 10 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Reggie Corbin run for 21 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Matt Robinson pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+43 yds

James McCourt 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 20 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Minn 45

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.39

Rodney Smith run for 18 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Shannon Brooks run for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Matt Robinson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 10 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Matt Robinson pass complete to Donny Navarro for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Matt Robinson pass complete to Donny Navarro for 16 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Donny Navarro, broken up by Coney Durr

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney, broken up by Braelen Oliver

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Matt Robinson pass complete to Donny Navarro for 6 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +0.22

James McCourt 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.51

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 59 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rodney Smith for 4 yds to the Illin 10

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.78

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 9

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 15

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matt Robinson run for 4 yds to the Illin 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.16

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 20 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.77

Shannon Brooks run for 21 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Matt Robinson pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 12 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Benjamin St-Juste

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Robinson,Matt pass incomplete to Sidney,Trevon, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Williamson, C) 10 yards to the ILL45, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Matt Robinson sacked by Micah Dew-Treadway and Winston DeLattiboudere for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Matt Robinson pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Matt Robinson pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 6 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside (Tai'yon Devers) to the Minn 39

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Matt Robinson sacked by Braelen Oliver for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 7

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 15

2nd & 8Sack+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Tanner Morgan sacked by Jake Hansen for a loss of 8 yards Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Illin Milo Eifler , return for 0 yards , return for 7 yds, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Rodney Smith run for 15 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 8Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.85

Shannon Brooks run for 25 yds to the MINNESOTA 33 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Jake Hansen) to the Illin 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Illin 12

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Illin 9

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Illin 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds, downed at the Minn 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Minn 44

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 39

4th & 8Punt+51 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MINNESOTA 20 ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Khalan Tolson) to the Illin 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Matt Robinson pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 11 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Matt Robinson pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Matt Robinson pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 4 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Matt Robinson sacked by Chris Williamson for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 31

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Robinson pass complete to Justice Williams for 2 yds Justice Williams fumbled, forced by Kamal Martin, recovered by Illin Justice Williams

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Matt Robinson pass complete to Justice Williams for 8 yds to the Illin 41

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Seth Green run for 8 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Illin 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Illin 26

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Seth Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 30

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Autman-Bell, C, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Witherspoon,D.) 15 yards to the ILL15, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 16

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Illin 12

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Illin 9

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Illin 14

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside (Calvin Avery) to the Illin 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.88

Michael Lantz 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Matt Robinson pass complete to Luke Ford for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Kyron Cumby

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Matt Robinson pass complete to Jordan Holmes for 10 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Kyron Cumby, broken up by Tyler Nubin

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 44

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
29%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
33 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play