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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 58%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
01071431
Kansas StateKansas State
303612

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-33-103-176-1712-2412-31
Kansas StateBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYKSBAYPUNT37ydPUNT35ydPUNT749ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydFG1060ydFG857ydPUNT922ydTD698ydPUNT32ydPUNT30ydPUNT421ydEND2-1ydPUNT37ydTD691ydTO638ydPUNT39ydFG1261ydPUNT3-12ydTO412ydTD663ydTD967ydTD243ydDOWNS1043ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Kansas State
StatisticBaylorKansas State
Passing15-2422-34
Pass Yards268218
Rush Yards158123
Total Yards426341
Turnovers02
3rd Down2-96-17
Penalties7-525-35
Possession23:1536:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
14/23, 230 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
JaMycal Hasty
8 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Tyquan Thornton
4 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
22/34, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
James Gilbert
18 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Dalton Schoen
6 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense
AJ Parker
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the Bayl 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by Kalon Barnes

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.46

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 13 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.84

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 23 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 8 yds to the KanSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

James Gilbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by AJ Parker

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 9 yds to the KanSt 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 6 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.42

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 48 James Gilbert fumbled, forced by Jordan Williams, recovered by KanSt James Gilbert

3rd & 4Penalty+7 yds

Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Youngblood, J., PENALTY BU DPI (Texada,Raleigh) 7 yards to the BU45, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 15 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

James Gilbert run for 15 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 5 yds to the Bayl 10

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Joshua Youngblood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.46

Blake Lynch 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.51

John Lovett run for 8 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Elijah Sullivan) to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.13

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 27 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the KanSt 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 1 yd to the KanSt 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.24

John Mayers 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the KanSt 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Harry Trotter run for no gain to the KanSt 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.45

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 7 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 32

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.34

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 9 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

James Gilbert run for no gain to the KanSt 46

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Skylar Thompson sacked by James Lockhart and James Lynch for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 2

1st & 10Penalty-1 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Bayl 1

1st & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Bayl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 12

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.84

JaMycal Hasty run for 33 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.87

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 27 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 29 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Joe Ervin run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32

2nd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Skylar Thompson sacked by Jalen Pitre for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chris Herron

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 25

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal Hasty

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 5 yds to the Bayl 30

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.28

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 27 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joshua Youngblood

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 6 yds to the Bayl 35

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 37

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (Devin Anctil) to the Bayl 42

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Anctil, Devin punt 40 yards to the BU2, downed, PENALTY KS illegal touching (Wheeler, Samuel) 5 yards to the BU47, NO PLAY.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 20

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 20

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Nick Lenners

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.96

James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the KanSt 44 James Gilbert fumbled, forced by Chris Miller, recovered by KanSt James Gilbert

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Joe Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 49 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.49

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 25 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 14 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chris Platt run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.96

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 25 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 12 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

John Lovett run for 13 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 10 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

James Gilbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 42

2nd & 12Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.16

James Gilbert run for 29 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Scott Frantz) to the Bayl 31

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 27

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Skylar Thompson sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 28 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by Bayl JT Woods , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 27

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 10 yds to the Bayl 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 35 yds, downed at the KanSt 28

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Joe Ervin run for 12 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 15 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the Bayl 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joe Ervin run for 4 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Joe Ervin run for no gain to the Bayl 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 18

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the Bayl 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Skylar Thompson pass complete to James Gilbert for 5 yds to the Bayl 11

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.81

Blake Lynch 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30

3rd & 5Sack-17 ydsPPA -0.66

Charlie Brewer sacked by Bronson Massie for a loss of 17 yards to the Bayl 13 BAYLOR Penalty, intentional grounding (Charlie Brewer) to the Bayl 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.49

Skylar Thompson sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 42

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.84

Skylar Thompson run for 11 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA -3.39

Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Grayland Arnold return for 17 yds to the Bayl 30 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (Jameson Houston) to the Bayl 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 43

2nd & 4Penalty-4 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Thornton,Tyquan, PENALTY BU ineligible downfield on pass (Fruhmorgen,Jake) 4 yards to the BU39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.89

JaMycal Hasty run for 31 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Mims,Denzel for 27 yards to the KS0, clock 11:11, PENALTY BU pass interference (Mims,Denzel) 15 yards to the KS42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

3rd & 22Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.76

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 38 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 11 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.01

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 13 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Chris Miller) to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the Bayl 10

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 2

3rd & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Skylar Thompson sacked by Grayland Arnold for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 5

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 5 yds for a TD, (Skylar Thompson fumbled)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 46 Gerry Bohanon fumbled, recovered by Bayl JaMycal Hasty

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.96

John Lovett run for 46 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Brooks, Phillip, PENALTY KS ineligible downfield on pass (Brooks, Phillip) 5 yards to the KS23, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.84

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 18 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Samuel Wheeler, broken up by Terrel Bernard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Skylar Thompson pass complete to James Gilbert for 16 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to AJ Parker

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Skylar Thompson sacked by James Lynch and Bravvion Roy for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the Bayl 40

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.64

JaMycal Hasty run for 19 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 45

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

John Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 47

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
78%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play