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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 19.8

Home Win Probability

Baylor 87%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stephen F. Austin
7001017
BaylorBaylor
142114756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-721-728-735-749-756-1056-17
BaylorStephen F. Austin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYSFABAYPUNT37ydTD645ydPUNT3-8ydTD546ydTD1175ydPUNT420ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydTO2-6ydTD634ydPUNT39ydTD781ydPUNT38ydTD845ydPUNT36ydPUNT521ydEND2-5ydTD475ydPUNT33ydTD663ydMISS1055ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT424ydTO416ydFG715ydTD1180ydTD775ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stephen F. Austin and Baylor
StatisticStephen F. AustinBaylor
Passing16-3026-37
Pass Yards158250
Rush Yards119268
Total Yards277518
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-168-13
Penalties4-505-30
Possession30:0729:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stephen F. Austin
passing
Trae Self
15/29, 140 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Thomas Hutchings
10 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Xavier Gipson
3 REC, 61 YDS
defense
Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
21/31, 199 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
John Lovett
8 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
R.J. Sneed
5 REC, 57 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Thomas Hutchings run for 3 yds to the SFAus 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trae Self pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Trae Self pass complete to Calvin Clater for 4 yds to the SFAus 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt, downed at the SFAus 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 8 yds to the SFAus 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the SFAus 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.52

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the SFAus 31

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.47

John Lovett run for 15 yds to the SFAus 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 16 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for a loss of 3 yards to the SFAus 13

2nd & 13Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.18

Thomas Hutchings run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFAus 8

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Trae Self pass incomplete to Calvin Clater

4th & 18Punt+13 yds

Max Quick punt for 51 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 13 yds to the SFAus 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.88

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 23 yds to the SFAus 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the SFAus 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 6 yds to the SFAus 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 11 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 26 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Thomas Hutchings run for 4 yds to the Bayl 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Thomas Hutchings run for 8 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Josh McGowen run for 10 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Josh McGowen run for 4 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Trae Self pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.99

Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 15 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Thomas Hutchings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 9

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Thomas Hutchings run for 6 yds to the Bayl 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Trae Self run for 3 yds for a TD, (Storm Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 12 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 8 yds to the Bayl 49

4th & 2Punt+17 yds

Issac Power punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFAus 30 , Romello Bentley returns for 17 yds to the SFAus 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Thomas Hutchings run for no gain to the SFAus 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 4 yds to the SFAus 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Trae Self pass incomplete to Thomas Hutchings, broken up by Terrel Bernard

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFAus 49

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Ebner,Trestan for 4 yards to the SFA45, out-of-bounds (Roland, Gavin), PENALTY BU holding (Sneed,R.J.) 10 yards to the BU41, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 2 yds to the Bayl 43

3rd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 12 yds to the SFAus 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFAus 24

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Trae Self sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 18

2nd & 16Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA +0.20

Trae Self pass intercepted Blake Lynch return for 1 yd to the SFAus 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to John Lovett

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

John Lovett run for 6 yds to the SFAus 28

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 30

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds to the SFAus 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for no gain to the SFAus 21

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Trestan Ebner run for 21 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trae Self pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Trae Self pass complete to Calvin Clater for 7 yds to the SFAus 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the SFAus 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

JaMycal Hasty run for 4 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 7 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SFA Penalty, personal foul (Eli Jones) to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 21 yds to the SFAus 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the SFAus 34

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Platt,Chris, PENALTY SFA pass interference (Jones, Eli) 15 yards to the SFA19, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the SFAus 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 5 yds to the SFAus 11

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Trae Self pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 8 yds to the SFAus 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Da'Leon Ward run for no gain to the SFAus 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Trae Self pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFAus 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the SFAus 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.93

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 8 yds to the SFAus 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds to the SFAus 32

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

SFA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the SFAus 27

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the SFAus 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the SFAus 19

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.84

John Lovett run for 19 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trae Self run for 4 yds to the SFAus 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the SFAus 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Max Quick punt for 48 yds , R.J. Sneed returns for 1 yd to the Bayl 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.13

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 18 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Trenton Gordon

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Romello Bentley at the SFAus 20

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Da'Leon Ward run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 14

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the SFAus 15

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.03

John Lovett run for 38 yds to the SFAus 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

John Lovett run for 9 yds to the SFAus 28

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.36

John Lovett run for 7 yds to the SFAus 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 21 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the SFAus 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Trae Self pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Max Quick punt for 39 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 37 Grayland Arnold fumbled, recovered by Bayl Grayland Arnold

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Gerry Bohanon run for 22 yds to the SFAus 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

John Lovett run for 9 yds to the SFAus 32

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.36

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the SFAus 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 16 yds to the SFAus 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the SFAus 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 9 yds for a TD, (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the SFAus 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Trae Self pass complete to QuenTyvian Borders for a loss of 3 yards to the SFAus 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Trae Self pass complete to QuenTyvian Borders for 9 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the SFAus 39

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Self, Trae pass complete to Clater, Calvin for 8 yards to the SFA47 (Milton,Mark;Williams,Jordan), PENALTY SFA pass interference (Gipson, Xavier) 15 yards to the SFA24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.94

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 34 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Thomas Hutchings run for 13 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Trae Self pass complete to Cody Williams for 9 yds to the Bayl 20

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Trae Self pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Trae Self pass incomplete

4th & 1Blocked Field Goal+37 yds

Storm Ruiz 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Gabe Hall TEAM return for no gain to the Bayl 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 21

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 16

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Romello Bentley at the SFAus 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Trae Self pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 23 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Da'Leon Ward run for no gain to the Bayl 38

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Trae Self sacked by Niadre Zouzoua for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 43

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Trae Self pass complete to Thomas Hutchings for 6 yds to the Bayl 37

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 9 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Abram Smith run for 2 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 9 yds to the Bayl 34

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.17

Abram Smith run for no gain to the Bayl 30 Abram Smith fumbled, forced by Quin Jones, recovered by SFAus Willie Roberts

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Josh McGowen run for 6 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Josh McGowen run for 3 yds to the Bayl 21

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Thomas Hutchings run for 5 yds to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 1 yd to the Bayl 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Trae Self pass incomplete to Calvin Clater

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trae Self pass complete to Cody Williams for no gain to the Bayl 15

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.27

Storm Ruiz 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Gerry Bohanon run for 16 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the Bayl 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Koby Bullard for 8 yds to the SFAus 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Qualan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 43

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 48

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Gerry Bohanon run for 5 yds to the SFAus 43

3rd & 11Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.05

Gerry Bohanon run for 34 yds to the SFAus 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Abram Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh McGowen run for 3 yds to the SFAus 28

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Cam Arnold sacked by Brayden Utley and Matt Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the SFAus 24

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Cam Arnold run for 11 yds to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Cam Arnold pass complete to Josh Thompson for 18 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh McGowen run for 11 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.07

Thomas Hutchings run for 35 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh McGowen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Storm Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacoby Clarke run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacoby Clarke run for 3 yds to the Bayl 27

Situational Analysis

Stephen F. Austin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
49%
35 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
62%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play