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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2019Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Duke 30%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
14771038
DukeDuke
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-217-217-287-317-38
DukeNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDPUNT37ydPUNT418ydTD1085ydPUNT39ydTD565ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT833ydPUNT34ydPUNT324ydPUNT31ydTD572ydPUNT618ydPUNT38ydTD239ydTO220ydMISS825ydTO533ydTD870ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS823ydPUNT35ydPUNT30ydFG759ydTO10ydTO48ydPUNT34ydTD413ydDOWNS718ydUncategorized61yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Duke
StatisticNotre DameDuke
Passing18-3216-31
Pass Yards181102
Rush Yards27295
Total Yards453197
Turnovers22
3rd Down9-173-16
Penalties8-768-63
Possession28:4427:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
18/32, 181 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ian Book
12 CAR, 139 YDS
receiving
Chase Claypool
5 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Duke
passing
Quentin Harris
16/28, 102 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Deon Jackson
14 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Aaron Young
2 REC, 30 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 4 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ian Book pass incomplete, broken up by Josh Blackwell

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 1 yd to the Duke 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 6 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 42 yds, downed at the NDame 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 16

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 14 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 30 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet, broken up by Marquis Waters

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 13 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ian Book run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to C. CLAYPOOL, PENALTY DU offside (Jordan,D.) 5 yards to the DU18, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.11

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 18 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Quentin Harris run for 3 yds to the Duke 23

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 35

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.54

Jahmir Smith run for 40 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Lawrence Keys III run for 15 yds to the Duke 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jahmir Smith run for 3 yds to the Duke 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet, broken up by Leonard Johnson

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Quentin Harris pass complete to Mataeo Durant for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 3 yds to the Duke 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 53 yds, downed at the NDame 23

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 21 NOTRE DAME Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 12Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.06

Ian Book run for 17 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the NDame 39

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jafar Armstrong run for 7 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the Duke 49

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to J. McKINLEY, PENALTY DU offside (Dimukeje,V.) 5 yards to the DU44, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Ian Book pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the Duke 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, false start (Jalon Calhoun) to the Duke 16

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Duke 17

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 8 yds to the Duke 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 21

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to C. CLAYPOOL, PENALTY DU pass interference (Johnson,L.) 15 yards to the ND36, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 5 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 45

4th & 1Punt+6 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 6 yds to the Duke 15 Josh Blackwell fumbled, forced by Alohi Gilman,

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Quentin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 14

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 16

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 28

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.31

Ian Book run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +1.96

Ian Book run for 45 yds to the Duke 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to C. CLAYPOOL, PENALTY DU pass interference (Johnson,L.) 3 yards to the DU2, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Quentin Harris pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 6 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 3 yds to the Duke 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the NDame 15

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

3rd & 4Penalty-7 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive holding (-7 Yards) to the NDame 8

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to C. KMET, QB hurry by Quansah,K., PENALTY DU offside (Dimukeje,V.) 5 yards to the ND13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 4 yds to the NDame 17

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 22 yds, downed at the NDame 39

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Mataeo Durant run for 10 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 29 yds for a TD (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to C. FINKE, PENALTY DU pass interference (Carter,M.) 15 yards to the ND45, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

I. BOOK pass incomplete to J. ARMSTRONG, PENALTY ND illegal touching (J. ARMSTRONG) 0 yards to the ND45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -1.56

Ian Book pass intercepted Shaka Heyward return for 12 yds to the Duke 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 8 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 9 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 32

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.61

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Harris,Q. rush for 2 yards to the ND26, out-of-bounds, PENALTY DU holding (Holman,C.) 10 yards to the ND38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Quentin Harris pass complete to Aaron Young for 1 yd to the NDame 37

2nd & 19Penalty+5 yds

Harris,Q. pass incomplete, PENALTY ND offside (K. KAREEM) 5 yards to the ND32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

AJ Reed 44 yd FG MISSED

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Deon Jackson run for 19 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the NDame 49

4th & 5Penalty+9 yds

Parker,A. pass incomplete to Pancol,E., PENALTY ND holding (T. AGORO) 9 yards to the ND40, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-69 ydsPPA -3.81

Quentin Harris pass intercepted Troy Pride Jr. return for 39 yds to the NDame 1 NOTRE DAME Penalty, illegal block (30 Yards) to the NDame 30

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the NDame 25

1st & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.59

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 23 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.43

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 35 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 22

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 2 yds to the Duke 20

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Ian Book run for 6 yds to the Duke 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 7 yds to the Duke 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Duke 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the Duke 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Quentin Harris pass complete to Eli Pancol for 4 yds to the Duke 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Eli Pancol, broken up by Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 50 yds, downed at the NDame 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jahmir Smith run for no gain to the NDame 9

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Ian Book sacked by Shaka Heyward for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 8

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ian Book pass incomplete, broken up by Josh Blackwell

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, downed at the NDame 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 1 yd to the NDame 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the NDame 43

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.89

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 11 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the NDame 24

3rd & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Quentin Harris sacked by Drew White for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 25

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.13

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Scott Bracey, broken up by Donte Vaughn

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys III

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the Duke 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Mataeo Durant

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Quentin Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Noah Gray

4th & 10Punt+5 yds

Austin Parker punt for 52 yds , Chris Finke returns for 5 yds to the NDame 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 4 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 1Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.56

Ian Book run for 53 yds to the Duke 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lawrence Keys III run for 5 yds to the Duke 8

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.00

Ian Book run for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 16

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ian Book pass incomplete, broken up by Victor Dimukeje

4th & 13Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.16

Jonathan Doerer 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -1.22

Quentin Harris run for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 29 Quentin Harris fumbled, recovered by NDame TaRiq Bracy

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jahmir Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 31

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jahmir Smith run for 6 yds to the Duke 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 4 yds to the Duke 21

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.50

Ian Book pass intercepted Michael Carter II return for no gain to the Duke 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris Katrenick run for 1 yd to the Duke 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Katrenick pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Katrenick run for 3 yds to the Duke 5

4th & 6Punt+46 yds

Austin Parker punt for 54 yds , Chris Finke returns for 46 yds to the Duke 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jahmir Smith run for 5 yds to the Duke 8

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jahmir Smith run for 4 yds to the Duke 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Jahmir Smith run for 2 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ian Book pass complete to George Takacs for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chris Katrenick pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Mataeo Durant run for 8 yds to the NDame 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the NDame 45

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the NDame 41

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the NDame 39

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Chris Katrenick pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Phil Jurkovec run for 13 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 4Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.81

C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the Duke 34 NOTRE DAME Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Duke 49

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the Duke 43

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-21 ydsPPA -4.04

TEAM run for a loss of 21 yards to the NDame 41

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
22%
9 plays
25%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play