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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2019Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 21.5

Home Win Probability

Florida 91%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
7010017
FloridaFlorida
7237340

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-713-720-727-730-737-1040-17
FloridaFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOTD1175ydTD1075ydTD1375ydPUNT37ydTD385ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-19ydTD540ydPUNT67ydFG851ydEND13ydFG1044ydTD1175ydTD575ydFG1152ydPUNT713ydDOWNS49ydMISS4-7ydPUNT38ydPUNT6-5ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Florida
StatisticFlorida StateFlorida
Passing16-2535-48
Pass Yards181390
Rush Yards6977
Total Yards250467
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-148-16
Penalties13-973-25
Possession26:0633:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
James Blackman
14/23, 150 YDS
rushing
Cam Akers
17 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tamorrion Terry
7 REC, 131 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
Kyle Trask
30/41, 343 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Emory Jones
7 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Kadarius Toney
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 5 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle Trask pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.76

Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 19 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 8 yds to the FlaSt 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.02

Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 8 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kyle Trask pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 10 yds to the FlaSt 21

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.80

Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 19 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for no gain to the FlaSt 32 to Cam Akers for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

James Blackman pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 9 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.11

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 45 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 19

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 13 yds to the Fla 6

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

James Blackman run for no gain to the Fla 6

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the Fla 5

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.64

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Fla 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the Fla 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the Fla 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, personal foul (Hamsah Nasirildeen) to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Emory Jones pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 16 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kyle Trask pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 6 yds to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kyle Trask pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 8 yds to the FlaSt 21

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Pierce,D. rush over right guard for no gain to the FS21 (Durden,C;Nasirildeen,H), PENALTY FS offside (Cooper,R) 5 yards to the FS16, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Hammond run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 11

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.49

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 21

3rd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

James Blackman run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.53

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 47 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Kyle Trask pass complete to Lucas Krull for 15 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 23 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 1 yd to the Fla 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts, broken up by Cyrus Fagan

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.55

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 24

3rd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.32

James Blackman sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaSt 11

4th & 21Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 6

4th & 26Penalty-3 yds

Martin,T punt 29 yards to the FS35, Swain,F. return to the FS35, fumble by Swain,F. recovered by FS Lytton,A at FS49, PENALTY FS illegal formation 3 yards to the FS3, NO PLAY.

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the FlaSt 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.02

Emory Jones pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 11 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Asante Samuel Jr.) to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kyle Trask pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +4.40

Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 13 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Travis pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.60

Jordan Travis sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 38 Jordan Travis fumbled, , return for 0 yards

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.56

James Blackman sacked by James Houston IV and Ventrell Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 32

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.53

Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 31 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland, broken up by Asante Samuel Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Kyle Trask run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland, broken up by Stanford Samuels III

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kyle Trask pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

4th & 3Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +0.46

Evan McPherson 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 20

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Cam Akers run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 28 FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the FlaSt 28

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 12 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry, broken up by CJ Henderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

James Blackman pass complete to Keith Gavin for 16 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.86

D.J. Matthews pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 25 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the Fla 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews, broken up by Donovan Stiner

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews

4th & 6Penalty-15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, personal foul (D.J. Matthews) to the Fla 31

4th & 21Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +2.33

Ricky Aguayo 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for no gain to the Fla 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 2 yds to the Fla 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 13 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kyle Trask pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Kyle Trask run for 8 yds to the Fla 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.27

Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.09

Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 30 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.52

Emory Jones run for no gain to the FlaSt 18 FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Pitts) to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 25Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.75

Emory Jones run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 18

3rd & 10Penalty+12 yds

Trask,K. post pass incomplete to Jefferson,V. (Samuels,S), PENALTY FS pass interference (Samuels,S) 12 yards to the FS6, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Emory Jones pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

James Blackman pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 7 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Cam Akers run for 50 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Fla 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.52

Kyle Trask pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 25 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadarius Toney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 19 yds to the FlaSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 5 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Robert Cooper) to the FlaSt 1

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the FlaSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kyle Trask run for no gain to the FlaSt 1

3rd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle Trask pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Evan McPherson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Cam Akers run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the Fla 49

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.27

James Blackman sacked by James Houston IV for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 49 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 16Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.08

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 49

3rd & 18Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.64

James Blackman sacked by Mohamoud Diabate and Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 40

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 15

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 15

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 19

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA +0.14

Tommy Townsend run for no gain to the Fla 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

James Blackman pass incomplete to Cam Akers, broken up by Luke Ancrum

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Cam Akers run for no gain to the Fla 19

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Akers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 21

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 26

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Ricky Aguayo 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for no gain to the Fla 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the Fla 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 36 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.90

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 22 yds to the FLORIDA 44 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, personal foul (Brady Scott) to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.26

James Blackman sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 18Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.40

James Blackman sacked by Tedarrell Slaton and Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 28

3rd & 23Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.07

James Blackman sacked by Adam Shuler and Luke Ancrum for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 24

4th & 27Punt+12 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 36 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 12 yds to the FlaSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 49

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.40

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 17 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
86%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play