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← Back to GamesNov 29, 2019Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 13.5

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 81%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
0140620
Mississippi StateMississippi State
777021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-714-1421-1421-20
Mississippi StateOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSPUNT3-7ydTO538ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydTD472ydPUNT68ydTD1374ydTD1081ydDOWNS828ydTD949ydEND15ydPUNT32ydTO36ydTO1140ydTD740ydPUNT730ydTO647ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydTO450ydPUNT627ydTD1282ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Mississippi State
StatisticOle MissMississippi State
Passing15-2610-14
Pass Yards245108
Rush Yards136210
Total Yards381318
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-144-12
Penalties5-345-41
Possession28:3131:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Matt Corral
6/12, 124 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jerrion Ealy
15 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Braylon Sanders
2 REC, 88 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Garrett Shrader
10/14, 108 YDS
rushing
Kylin Hill
27 CAR, 132 YDS
receiving
Deddrick Thomas
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Erroll Thompson
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.40

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 26

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Jaquarius Landrews) to the MisSt 24

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 31

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

John Rhys Plumlee run for 12 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Jerrion Ealy run for 14 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jerrion Ealy run for 1 yd to the MisSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 9 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.10

Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the MisSt 31 Jerrion Ealy fumbled, forced by Erroll Thompson, recovered by MisSt Brian Cole II

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Kylin Hill for 1 yd to the MisSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 37

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Garrett Shrader sacked by Benito Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the Miss 30

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Dontario Drummond) to the Miss 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Elijah Moore

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 20 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Farrod Green for 23 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Nick Gibson run for 27 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Elijah Moore

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Jerrion Ealy run for 8 yds to the Miss 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Miss 37

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.11

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 32

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the Miss 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Shrader, Garrett pass complete to Guidry, Stephen for 13 yards to the MISSSTATE41, PENALTY MISSSTATE holding (Sharp, LaQuinston) 10 yards to the MISSSTATE18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.44

Garrett Shrader run for 16 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 8 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the Miss 40

3rd & 1Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.27

Kylin Hill run for 28 yds to the Miss 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the Miss 5

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the Miss 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the Miss 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jerrion Ealy run for no gain to the Miss 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.79

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Elijah Moore for 27 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jerrion Ealy run for 6 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.69

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.41

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 12 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.75

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 31 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the MisSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Snoop Conner run for 5 yds to the MisSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Kylin Hill run for 13 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Austin Williams for 9 yds to the MisSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 45

4th & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tucker Day run for 4 yds to the MisSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 19 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the MisSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Elijah Moore

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Elijah Moore for 6 yds to the MisSt 23

4th & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.20

John Rhys Plumlee run for 11 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the MisSt 5

1st & 1Penalty-4 yds

Ealy, Jerrion rush for no gain to the MISSSTATE1, PENALTY OLEMISS illegal formation 4 yards to the MISSSTATE5, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Octavious Cooley

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the MisSt 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the Miss 15

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the Miss 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 37 yds, downed at the MisSt 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the MisSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 7 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 29 yds , Elijah Moore returns for no gain to the Miss 17 Elijah Moore fumbled, recovered by Miss Elijah Moore

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.20

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 4 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Jerrion Ealy run for 13 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Jaden Crumedy for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 35

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the Miss 39

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.05

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 12 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 1 yd to the MisSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Snoop Conner run for 14 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the MisSt 33

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.91

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Fabien Lovett for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 38

3rd & 14Sack+17 ydsPPA +2.72

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Chauncey Rivers for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 40 John Rhys Plumlee fumbled, forced by Chauncey Rivers, recovered by MisSt Willie Gay Jr. , return for 0 yards , return for 17 yds to the Miss 40 Willie Gay Jr. fumbled, recovered by MisSt Willie Gay Jr. , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Garrett Shrader sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 42

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the Miss 38

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the Miss 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.01

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 20 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Miss 9

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the Miss 5

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jerrion Ealy run for 6 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jerrion Ealy run for 9 yds to the Miss 43

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Snoop Conner run for 6 yds to the MisSt 47

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.70

Snoop Conner run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.54

Nick Gibson run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nick Gibson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Garrett Shrader pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 11 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the Miss 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Miss 33

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.31

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Miss 33 Garrett Shrader fumbled, forced by Keidron Smith, recovered by Miss Josiah Coatney

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 32

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds to the Miss 37

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the Miss 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Malik Dear at the MisSt 13

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 10

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 12

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 10 yds to the MisSt 22

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 48 yds , Elijah Moore returns for no gain to the Miss 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 12 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.94

Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 38 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Snoop Conner run for no gain to the MisSt 20

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -4.01

Matt Corral pass intercepted Marcus Murphy return for 6 yds to the MisSt 12

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Kylin Hill run for 16 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 47

3rd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.89

Garrett Shrader sacked by Jacquez Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 39

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Tucker Day punt for 51 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 8 yds to the Miss 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 9 yds to the Miss 27

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Corral run for 1 yd to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan Mingo

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jerrion Ealy

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Corral, Matt pass complete to Sanders, Braylon for 20 yards to the OLEMISS48, PENALTY OLEMISS ineligible downfield on pass (Brown, Ben) 5 yards to the OLEMISS23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

Matt Corral sacked by Chauncey Rivers and Kobe Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 14

4th & 24Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.61

Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 57 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Mingo, Jonathan, PENALTY MISSSTATE roughing passer (Cole II, Brian) 14 yards to the MISSSTATE15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Elijah Moore

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 6 yds to the MisSt 9

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marquiss Spencer) to the MisSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Pellerin, Jason, PENALTY OLEMISS ineligible downfield on pass (Givens, Alex) 5 yards to the MISSSTATE9, NO PLAY.

1st & 9Penalty+7 yds

Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Moore, Elijah (TEAM), PENALTY MISSSTATE pass interference (Cole II, Brian) 7 yards to the MISSSTATE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matt Corral run for no gain to the MisSt 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jason Pellerin

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 2 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Elijah Moore) to the MisSt 18 (Luke Logan PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 46

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
80%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play